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169 | Alan Oster – NAB’s Group Chief Economist – on Interest-Rate Rise, Tax Cut and The Future of Residential Property

Let’s get down to business, folks! Today we’re tackling the past, present and future of Australia’s economy…

And who better to help us out than Alan Oster, Group Chief Economist of the National Australia Bank (NAB)!

Alan sure knows his stuff, folks — as Group Chief Economist, Alan is responsible for NAB’s global economic and financial forecasts. Not to mention, before he started at NAB (which was in 1992, mind you), he worked as Senior Adviser in Treasury specialising in economic forecasting and modelling for an impressive 15 years. Oh, and in 1987 he was seconded for nearly four years as Counsellor-Economic and Financial with Australia’s delegation to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development — OECD — in Paris.

Yes, he’s definitely the man you want to speak to if you’ve got a question about Australia’s economy!

 

Hold on to your seat folks cause here’s what you’re in for:

  • Where is the economy going in the next 12 – 18 months?
  • Rather than mortgage stress, what’s the number one issue at present?
  • What’s going to happen, on average, to house prices?
  • Will your wage increase any time soon?
  • Federal Budget 2018: What’s in store and will we see tax cuts?
  • Who will struggle most with postcode restrictions?
  • What needs to happen to benefit the economy?
  • Is the Australian economy going to be better or worse?
  • How do foreign buyers and the Chinese market fit in?
  • Will APRA keep tightening the lending regulations?
  • When’s the cash rate likely going to increase?
  • Is inflation on the rise?
  • What’s in store for interest-only loans?
  • What’s happening in the US with the 10-year bond rates?
  • Why do banks care about outer city living and inner city living?
  • Is the demand in Sydney and Melbourne slowing?
  • What’s the riskiest sector should unemployment starts to rise?
  • What’s the difference between “the bricks” and the “the clicks”?
  • What do banks ALWAYS look for before handing out loans?
  • Who owns most of the apartments in the capital cities and what are his thoughts on the future of the apartment market?
  • What about the second-tier cities (Brisbane, Adelaide etc.)
  • Which states are having the fastest rental growth?
  • Is Perth now an investment-grade location?
  • Where would Alan invest his money?
  • What happened when then Treasurer Paul Keating removed negative gearing?
  • What will be the economic impact and consequences if negative gearing is removed again at the current time?
  • How should we tackle housing affordability?

 

p.s. Looking for the special reports mentioned in today’s show?

 

162 | Q&A – Second-tier Lenders, Brisbane’s units market and the order in Investment Assumptions (PLUS a special appearance from Jeremy Sheppard)

We have a couple of treats in store for you today, folks!!

Not only is it Q & A Day — we know: it seems like forever since we had one, and we love ‘em!! — we’ve also created A BRAND NEW SEGMENT, which is kicking off on the Couch TODAY.

Yep. Think property markets. Think sneak peak. Think data!

Actually, speaking of data, joining us for a portion of today’s episode (hint, hint) is Jeremy Sheppard! He’s our other third of LocationScore.com.au and the pioneer of the DSR Formula, which collects, analyses and researches the level of supply and demand across every market and 15,000 suburbs in Australia!

(You would have heard his insights back on Episode 125 | Everything You Need to Know about Picking the Next Hotspot — Chat with Jeremy Sheppard or on our last Facebook Live!)

 

…. What will be covered from today’s questions?

  • Should you invest in a Brisbane unit?
  • What are the pros and cons of second-tier lenders?
  • Are the assumptions about property investing making you confused?

Alright folks, before we kick off the questions, you’ll notice soon that all of them are voice recorded messages! Yep, we’re officially prioritising all of our questions that come in through our SpeakPipe widget! So leave us a quick, 60 second voicemail here!

 

Question about Investment Assumptions from Matthew:

“I’m wondering if you guys can take a moment and reflect on the investment assumptions in property, particularly on stuff like, “Hey, you should always buy in this order for capital gains: you should by a free standing house, and then a townhouse or a free standing house and a duplex and a townhouse and an apartment”… all of these investment based assumptions, which are general rules of investing in property. It’d be good to examine when they’re true and when they’re not true with different cases. I look forward to your answer. Cheers guys!”

 

Question about Investing in Brisbane Units from Pia:

“I’m a 31 year-old single woman from Brisbane with a budget of $360,000. My question is about the Brisbane unit market.
My priority is investment and I’m open when it comes to the location or type of property I purchase, but ideally I’d like to buy a place I can live in for the short to medium term, and a Brisbane unit is the best fit in that regard. I’ve been looking a 2br, 1 – 2 bathroom units in a 3 – 10km radius of the city in older boutique blocks. I’ve heard all of the warnings about the oversupply of apartments in the Brisbane market at the moment, but I’m wondering if this is the time when “Others are fearful and I should be greedy”? Where do you think we are in the market cycle? Are Brisbane units about to go up in value or are we still looking at another couple of years of downward or flat growth?

 

Question about Second-tier Lenders from James:

“My question is there have been a lot of media articles and posts around lenders outside of the big four banks, or second-tier lenders…. What are the Pros and Cons of using these lenders?”

 

 

And our chat with Jeremy Sheppard?

  • Why there’s not much data in January?
  • Recapping what is Online Search Interest and should investors be worry about the impact the season would have on the property market?
  • What’s the BIG NEWS on Perth??
  • Auction Clearance Rates and who are the outperformers and underperformers in this cycle?
  • How’s the month to month trend for each of the state?
  • What does Adelaide and Gold Coast’s property market trend have in common?
  • How about Days on Market data for February 2018?

 

P.S. Leave us a Voicemail Message here.

P.P.S. Want to find the best locations to invest in? REGISTER FOR A FREE WEBINAR here!

 

 

154 | The Do’s and Don’ts: The Discoveries We’ve Learnt in Property Investing (PART 2)

Alright, folks! It’s that time again… Podcast Day!

And today we’re bringing you PART 2 of our Summer Series on the Foundational Principles of Property Investing, featuring THE best bits of gold from our guests!

So if you’re interested in building a property portfolio in a tough market, learning the key elements of property investing or wouldn’t mind a handful of renovating tips to increase that capital growth……. then this episode’s got it all!

But before we jump in and tell you which FIVE GUESTS are featuring today, we thought we’d slap on a sticky note here that reads:

Remember: $5 is all you need to become a PICA Member!

At the end of the day, it’s important we come together and join forces in protecting our investments, livelihood and ability to determine our own future.

 

That said, let’s get on with today show!

Featuring in today’s episode include the following guests…

Answering these questions:

 

153 | The Do’s and Don’ts: The Discoveries We’ve Learnt in Property Investing (PART 1)

Happy New Year, folks!!! We hope you celebrated this new beginning in style — and also gave yourself a pat on the back for the great things you made happen in 2017!!

Indeed, 2018 is now with us……. and we are SO excited to share this new chapter with you. We also have a few surprises up our sleeve this year, with more than a handful of epic guests lined up!!

** If you’re super keen on hearing from someone in particular, or about a topic you’ve been dying to learn about, simply head to our Contact Us page or feel free to drop us a line at [email protected]**

And remember: $5 is all you need to become a PICA Member!

 

But back to today’s episode…. The Summer Series (Part 1 of 2) on the Foundational Principles of Property Investing, featuring THE best bits of gold from our guests.

In plain English, please?

You’ll hear The Do’s and The Absolutely-Don’ts of Property Investing from the people who have been there, done that, and have an enviable property portfolio to prove it.

(In a nutshell: all of the gold, snipped and trimmed, to fit into 2 episodes).

 

Featuring in today’s episode include the following guests:

 

Filling in the gold mine includes:

  • The Five Golden Rules of Property Investment
  • What is Gentrification and what signs do you need to look for?
  • Why type of car (yep) can influence the future price of a market?
  • The Checklist to getting a great Property Manager
  • If you’re a first time investor, what things MUST you know?
  • What do you need to be aware of when getting advice?
  • What property type is most risky? Why?
  • What role does the media play?
  • How to determine if you need a building inspection for the particular property?
  • What can go wrong?
  • How can you build a portfolio through rentvesting?
  • Asset selection tips and why is location research crucial?

 

Resources mentioned in the podcast:

Get your Break Even Calculator here

Become a PICA Member here

See the infographics Ben was talking about here

 

 

 

148 | Q&A WITH TWO GUESTS! Why We Support Movember, Where is Australia’s Best Performing Markets and What You Should Be Buying Now

Alright, folks …. This is a jam-packed episode!! 2 GUESTS, Q & A and some big announcements! So, where do we start?

First up … We have reached our Movember target of $10,000 big ones! A massive shout out to those who have donated, and a little reminder for those who haven’t done so yet: Donate $25 or more and get a FREE book! If we hit $11,000 Bryce will do his own Webinar TOO!!

(Ben’s webinar is coming up soon! You can access his Principle and Interest versus Interest Only Webinar AND his Working Out Your Retirement Shortfall Webinar by Downloading our Money SMARTS SYSTEM here.)

 

Speaking of Movember, our first guest is Sam Gledhill. He’s the Global Action Plan (GAP) Program Manager at Movember and he has some seriously interesting (not to mention seriously important) stuff to share with you! With a background in nuclear medicine technology — having been with the Foundation since 2012 and now responsible for the overall investments in Testicular Cancer — Sam will explain exactly why your donation is, literally, lifesaving.

 

Secondly, it’s Q&A day AND we have another guest! Not only are we answering your voicemail messages, but also we’ve bought LocationScore’s director (and data nutcase), Jeremy Sheppard, back to The Couch! This time Jeremy will to tell you the supply and demand for each State and Territory, including the one showing the highest potential for capital growth.

 

Here’s a snapshot on what we’ll be chatting about today:

 

First Voicemail (SpeakPipe) from “Anonymous”:

“I’m thinking of using a Buyers Agent to secure an investment property. I’m curious to know if I need to give them a Letter of Authority or a Power of Attorney, or both. Can you please explain the difference, and how I can use them? Thanks!”

 

Second Voicemail (SpeakPipe) from Stuart:

“Hi guys, great podcast. I’ve spent the last year listening to your podcast trying to get as many tips and advice about my property investment journey, which I’ll hopefully embark on very soon. Bit of a ‘spanner in the works’ though — I’d always envisioned starting out with maybe a 1 bedroom, around $300,000 – $400,000, maybe as a borderless investor (I currently live in Victoria). But our current house that we owner-occupy is looking a bit too small for us … my wife has proposed the question that we look at buying a bigger property. So the key to the question is, What are your thoughts on your first rental property actually being the one you currently occupy? I know you guys like detail, so I’ll shoot through to this: Currently it’s a 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom property in Chelsea, Victoria about 17 – 20 minutes from the train station and the beach. We bought it for about $505,000 in 2013, we owe $467,000 on it, we pay interest-only — about $1500 a month — and I think it’s worth about $650,000. So I’m really interested to know: what are your thoughts on a 3bd, 2bath house in Chelsea becoming our first rental investment? It’s not really what I’d mapped out listening to your podcast, but we’d probably have to buy a bigger, 4bd in Chelsea/Bonbeach area & I just want to see if this is a viable option in your opinion? I look forward to hearing your thoughts! Thanks!”

 

Third Voicemail (SpeakPipe) from Nicole:

“I’m from Canberra, woo! Looking at buying our 3rd property (1 PPOR and 2 IP). We’re looking at investing in a 1 br unit, which is 41 sqm in an old 1970s building, 5 km from CBD. It’s in Canberra, I’m aware of the land tax). $200,000 property with a $300 week yield. Husband can renovate it, which I think out ways the land tax issue. Question about banks’ lending money to under 50sqm. There seems to be banks that will lend these days, but going forward if we were to sell this — say in 20 years’ time, if we do sell it — do you think the banks are going to change their lending criteria on smaller places, considering most people, moving forward, will be living in small places? I guess I’m concerned that it’s going to be hard to sell in the future? What are your thoughts on this?”

 

Fourth Voicemail (SpeakPipe) from Nicole:

“My wife and I have about $180K to invest — we’re looking at buying our first home in Brisbane. Trying to choose between paying, which in our eyes is a premium, about the $600K mark for an older 3 bedroom home somewhere closer to the CBD like Moorooka or the convenient location of Mount Gravatt. Or: Paying early to mid $500K and getting a bigger, 4 bedroom home somewhere further away like Underwood or Springwood and using $120K of our deposit, leaving us about $60K towards our next property down the line. Again, it’s our first home, and we don’t plan on living in it forever. We just want to use this purchase as a stepping stone to our next property. To sum it up: Buying a property closer to the city, which will use up most of our deposit, versus by a home further away, leaving us with a good amount of money to jump into the market again down the line. Would love to know what you think.  I know that you say it’s good to be close to the city as a rule of thumb; but I am worried that this will prolong our next purchase considerably. Thanks guys.”

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