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RBA Cash Rate Mar 2024 | Are We Facing Challenges with Sticky Inflation?

Welcome to the second RBA Rate Release of 2024!

Once again, our esteemed independent economist Evan Lucas and affable host, Ben Kingsley, reunite to decipher the latest economic trends and data in this month’s episode.

In this instalment, we embark on a journey into the realm of economics – endeavouring to unravel its rich tapestry and better understand its implications. Here’s a glimpse into the topics Ben & Evan will cover:

📈 Sticky Inflation in the US: We delve into inflation and its tenacity within the US economy, exploring its implications for consumers and businesses alike.

📊 Deep Dive into December GDP Quarter Numbers: We take a close look at the recently released GDP quarter numbers for the Australian market, seeking to glean insights into the underlying economic dynamics.

🏦 Bank of Japan’s Interest Rate Decision: Venture with us into the East as we explore the deliberations of the Bank of Japan regarding a potential rate “hike” after over 15 years, and its potential ripple effects on the global economic landscape.

🇦🇺 Australian Economic Outlook and Predictions: We offer our perspectives on the prevailing economic conditions in Australia and the conundrum faced by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) as it navigates through uncertain waters.

💡 Monetary Policy and its Limitations: We discuss the effectiveness of monetary policy as the sole tool for managing inflation, considering interest rate movements only impacts one-third of the Australian population.

Join us as we embark on this quest to demystify the complexities of the economic realm and provide clarity amidst the fog of uncertainty. Now, let’s delve into this month’s update!

 

 

PSA: If it’s been some time since you last took a look at your home loan, it might be time to hit up your Mortgage Broker and get a review sorted.

If you’re on the lookout for a savvy Mortgage Broker, our award-winning sister company Empower Wealth, has you covered! Our expert team can give your current mortgage a once-over – just fill in the form below to book your free consultation.












485 | Must the Plane Have Landed BEFORE I Retire?

 

Is 64 too old to be starting a property portfolio?  

Must your investment property be fully funded by the time one retires?  

And why does investing with intention matter – even after you’ve acquired 5 properties?  

In today’s Q&A we’re answering these fantastic questions that explore the many layers folks should consider BEFORE they choose to enter or exit the property game.  

This episode highlights the importance of planning and intention, from calculating how much you really need (and gaining clarity around your next step) to why you shouldn’t invest in property like stepping stones. 

Plus, we have a Listener Tale (or horror story) highlighting why property management matters. Listen now! 

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

  • Moorr Webinar: Best Tools for the Job – What to Use When?
    7:30pm AEDT, 19 March
    Within Moorr, our money management platform, there are currently over 25 features and tools, providing more than 100 different insights! In our webinar we’ll guide you on the best tools for the job and reveal how all your data comes together to give you meaningful insights through our “track your progress” approach to money management. Find out more or reserve your spot >>  
  • Corelogic’s Women in Property Report just released! Read it now >>  
  • Leave us a Q or share your story with the TPC community!
    Leave us a Q for our next Q&A Day (and we’ll give you a free Start & Build course!) or share your property journey and be in our next Winter Series.  Send us a voice message now >>   

 

Questions We Answer

Q1) How important is it that an investment property is fully funded by the time you retire? from Richard  

Hi Ben and Bryce, Richard here.

I just wanna start by thanking you both for everything that you do for the community. It’s real eye opener and it helps me to get my head in the right spaces.

I look towards everyone my house fully paid off and looking to start my 1st investment, but my question is, I’m 52 just about paying my own property out.

How important is it that an investment property is fully funded by the time you retire, or is it okay if it’s just looking after itself and can continue on for another few years, whilst your in retirement and fund itself in the background, if you can give us any help on that, that would be great.

Thank you.

 

Q2) Investing at 64 from Ralph 

Hi, I just wanna know if I can build a property portfolio at the age of 64. Thank you. 

 

Q3) Multiple IP’s already and wondering what to do next? from Matt   

Hi guys, it’s Matt here. 

I live down in Torquay, VIC. We have a number of investment properties: 2 in Queensland, 3 Victoria and we own our home. 

We own most of our investment properties. There is still a little bit of debt there. 

Basically, just looking for a financial plan or some advice as to what to do to move forward. I plan to step away from our business within the next five years and just see whether we can somehow live off the equity. 

I basically just want a plan and just maybe get you guys to have a look at our overall situation and offer some advice, and look forward to hear back from you. Bye. 

 

Listener Tale: The Importance of Property Management 

Hey Ben and Bryce, 

Just wanted to reach out and say Ep. 480[How to Fail to Retire on $2k per week] 

Guys! This is phe . nom . enal ! I can relate to some if not all of the “how to fail to build” points you raised here. 

My true story goes a little something like this:  

I bought my first house and land package as a PPR just before the GFC hit and after living in it for a year, rented it out because I went off traveling the world in my mid 20s for the next 8/9 years. After the real estate agency secured what I thought was a good tenant, I gave them the flick and managed the property privately. Thought it was a great idea to save a few dollars on fee’s right. Those same tenants moved out 5 years later and I had to replace all the carpets, repaint the walls and replace some fans the kids had swung off of. Needless to say, the bond certainly didn’t cover this. I kept the bond and offered the tenants to pay the rest of the bill. Obviously, I heard crickets from them so had to pay the rest out of my own pocket. I had landlords insurance but this is a worst case insurance for me and I never use it to claim small things. Its just for the “what if the house burns down”. 

You’d think I’d learn right? Wrong. I went and got another tenant, funny enough it was the family next door and they were moving out of that house because it was up for sale. I saw an opportunity to save of management fees again and 2 weeks rent the real estate would have charged for finding a new tenant. The new family moved in under a private agreement. Sweet as right? Nope.. after trying to manage this house from a yacht somewhere in the Bahamas (which I worked on btw not owned) I found out while doing my own tax return one year that they had under paid me rent. I had to send them emails and show them spread sheets from a far of how much they were behind and it was more than 5 grand. I thought enough was enough and got a property manager to helped sort them out and they did pay me what I was owed and all was fine. 

But do you know what the kicker is, well it’s not keeping up with what the rental market is doing. I.e. rents around my house had gone up and considerably, but because I was managing this house myself from a far I didn’t have the finger on the pulse. After all of this learning, let me tell you fella’s.. I have now learnt! I maintained a property manager for this house from then on. 

That lesson had taught me about property management and it’s importance. What it didn’t teach was having the right strategy in place, and so I sold that house at roughly the 10 year mark (insert palm in face emoji). 

I can whole heartly say that the net of the money I 

saved in management fee’s over the years was surely a net negative and as you can see to top it off I sold the property and paid commission to do so. I can’t bring myself to check the growth of that suburb and what the house would be worth now or event to check what it’s rental yield would be. For context I sold it in 2022. 

Final point I’ll make on this and for people who may read this, I wish I got accredited professional help because my future self would have thanked me for it. My wife and I have now got that help through Empower Wealth and we are on a path of retribution. 

I am a dedicated listener to your podcast. Keep up the great work! 

You guys are my Joe Rogen! 

Cheers Trev. 

 

Timestamps

  • 0:00 – Must the Plane Have Landed BEFORE I Retire? 
  • 1:39 – The lengths we go through, Moorr webinar & a listener message!  
  • 7:29 – Mindset Minute: Rich vs Poor Mindset 
  • 12:17 – Q1) How important is it that an investment property is fully funded by the time you retire? 
  • 14:13 – If you wait, you rob yourself of the power of…  
  • 15:47 – We need to understand THIS before we start 
  • 18:05 – What your investment property should look like in retirement  
  • 19:34 – Why property investing isn’t like stepping stones  
  • 21:29 – “Strategy has to be informed by cashflow 
  • 23:53 – Q2) Investing at 64 
  • 24:50 – Work back from your needs 
  • 27:39 – Considerations for older investors 
  • 28:13 – Why market cycle timing is important 
  • 30:13 – Access to funding & lenders  
  • 34:41 – Q3) Multiple IP’s already and wondering what to do next? 
  • 35:42 – Why intention matters!  
  • 36:42 – Should Matt live off equity?  
  • 38:46 – How to figure out what is possible 
  • 39:49 – When rates or costs of living go up, how does it affect a Living Off Equity strategy? 
  • 41:57 – This is a perfect “What if” example 
  • 44:06 – The 4 Expense Categories  
  • 45:59 – What living off equity means  
  • 46:45 – Listener Tale: The Importance of Property Management 
  • 50:42 – You either pay with money or time!  

And… 

  • 52:13 – Lifehack: With or Without Me energy  
  • 55:22 – WMPN: Moving the dial for women!  

Redefining Debt: The Game Changing Strategy You Need to Hear

In this week’s episode, Bryce makes a guest appearance on the Wealth Time Freedom (WTF) podcast, hosted by Terry Condon!   

They cover a wide range of topics including:
        💵 Horrible, tolerable and productive debt
        🏘️ How to pick an investment grade property
        👩‍👦‍👦 Demographic shifts that are likely to impact property prices over the next 5-10 years 

This bonus episode is all about the courage to pursue passion over expectations, cultivating financial resilience, and playing the long game of property investment! 

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

  • New to The Property Couch? Download our Binge Guide – 20 of the first episodes condensed into one easy-to-digest booklet! 
  • Check out our brand-new appMoorr. This free app automates money management and lets you create your lifestyle by design! 
  • Previous episode with Jan Somers 
  • Previous episodes with Evan Lucas 
    • Ep 389: Why rising interest rates aren’t all bad! 
    • Ep 433: Scary Ugly, Spendvesting & Turning an Ugly Duckling into a Swan 
    • RBA Cash Rate Feb 2024 | Shifting Tides: Exploring the Global Influence on Australia’s Economy in 2024 
  • Ep 467 | Back to the FutureAre Our 2015 Investing Strategies Still Relevant Today?

 

Additional Resources

 

Timestamps

  • 0:00 – Redefining Debt: The Game Changing Strategy You Need to Hear 
  • 0:50 – The “Man in the Ferrari” paradox 
  • 4:09 – What piqued Bryce’s interest in property (back in 1998!) 
  • 6:50 – On Dad’s generation, mindset & influence 
  • 13:27 – Starting his own business 
  • 17:10 – When the Global Financial Crisis hit 
  • 18:27 – What advice Bryce has for his younger self 
  • 20:16 – Leaning into the “Scary Ugly” 
  • 21:49 – How The Property Couch podcast started in 2015 
  • 23:39 – We Fix Bad Advice – the barbershop analogy 
  • 25:09 – People need guides, not heroes! 
  • 29:18 – Why the best way to learn is to teach 
  • 30:52 – The journey to helping 10,000 clients get into the property market 
  • 34:26 – Horrible, tolerable and productive debt 
  • 37:21 – How to retire on $2,000 a week 
  • 42:14 – Control your debt to control your life 
  • 44:45 – How to pick a great investment asset! 
  • 56:35 – Emotional forecasting – do you do this? 
  • 58:43 – How baby boomer wealth transfers will reshape the housing market 
  • 1:01:36 – Must listen for anyone looking to get into property, but not quite sure if it’s the right time! 

 

484 | Cracking the Code: Mastering the 60% Land to Asset Ratio

 

With soaring immigration and construction hitting historic lows, Australia’s property market faces an accommodation crisis. 

In Bryce’s words, “Disincentives have been happening for over a decade.”   

Kicking off our first Q&A session for 2024, we’re diving into the widespread economic and political factors that have become “the perfect recipe” for today’s housing crisis.  

We also dissect how to master the 60% of land-to-asset ratios and tackle this burning question:   

Is Brisbane a wise choice for investment with the 2032 Olympics on the horizon? Can we anticipate a property surge post-game? 

 Tune in now to find out! 

  

P.S. Happy International Women’s Day! To celebrate all the incredible women in our lives, how far we’ve come, and the work still to be done, we’ve got a special message from some of our great friends and past guests on The Property Couch. 

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

  • Moorr Webinar: Best Tools for the Job – What to Use When?
    7:30pm AEDT, 19 March
    Within Moorr, our money management platform, there are currently over 25 features and tools, providing more than 100 different insights! In our webinar we’ll guide you on the best tools for the job and reveal how all your data comes together to give you meaningful insights through our “track your progress” approach to money management. Find out more or reserve your spot >>  
  • Previous Episodes mentioned: 480 | How to FAIL to Retire on $2K Per Week 

 

Graphs mentioned

484 - Q2 Land to Value Ratios

 

Questions We Answer 

 Q1) Investment in Brisbane for 2032 Olympics from Jeremy  

“Hey Bryce and Ben, this is Jeremy from Brisbane. 

I’ve been listening to you guys now for approximately five months after I discovered your book. I’m up to episode 95 today, plus the one a week that you release. 

With this level of immersion, I think I’m actually hearing you guys talk in my dreams. I think I’ve finally got past the foreign language sign ups too, which is a big step. 

I really appreciate what you guys are offering with your knowledge and insight based on your experiences and expertise, it’s really helping me personally to make better choices in regards to where I’m coming with my investments. 

Anyway, the question is, what do you think about investing in the areas that are being upgraded for the upcoming Olympics in Brisbane? 

Do you think they will be good up until then and then crash, or at least decline? 

Or you believe that the infrastructure in the area will then support the growth for years to come? 

Thanks boys. Appreciate your help and keep up with work” 

 

Q2) Land to Asset Ratio from Bronwyn 

 “Hi Ben and Bryce, my name is Bronwyn and I just wanted to ask a general question in regards to Land values. We talk about Land to Asset ratios when purchasing property.  

I do have a property, and this doesn’t need to be generally specific to that property, but the council valuations or government valuations on the land are far lower than what land is being sold for in the area.   

I just wanted to understand when you’re looking at land to asset ratios, which land value were we actually utilizing to get our percentages?”  

 

Q3) Challenges in Addressing the Accommodation Crisis from Michael 

“Hi Bryce and Ben, my name is Michael. 

I’m interested in your thoughts on the accommodation crisis gripping our country at the moment. We have record levels of immigration while we are recording all time low levels in building approvals and building completions. Builders are going bankrupt every day and leaving the industry. 

We have a skills shortage with a lack of trades people available to do the work. Material costs keep rising faster than inflation there’s a shortage of land to develop, increasing interest rates are severely limiting the amount borrowers can obtain from the banks and APRA are still insisting bank apply a 3% test on interest rates charged. 

The only solution government seems to be able to come up with is to subsidise build to rent with land tax concessions, and massive investment in public housing. But there are not enough trades to build these dwellings. At the same time, the government punishes property investors with higher taxes, increased compliance costs, expectations of ever increasing standards and accommodation provision, and taxes on short term accommodation. 

With private sector provides 97% of private rental accommodation yet I can’t think of one incentive that is being provided to motivate them to provide more. 40% of the build cost goes to three level of government. I feel this needs to be reduced. I would like to see the removal of stamp duty for purchases buying off the plan in order to feed the pipeline for greater supply. 

This will provide developers and necessary pre-purchases required to obtain construction funding. The development section has been in decline ever since stamp duty concessions for off the plan purchases were removed several years ago. 

I’m interested on your thoughts on this proposal and whether you have any other ideas. Thanks.”  

 

Timestamps

  • 0:00 – Cracking the Code: Mastering the 60% Land to Asset Ratio   
  • 2:47 – Happy International Women’s Day!  
  • 10:07 – Moorr Webinar: The best tools for the job…  
  • 12:34 – Mindset Minute: Gold from Poor Charlie’s Almanack  
  • 21:00 – “The time horizon speak is directly proportional to…” 
  • 23:47 – Q1) Investment in Brisbane for 2032 Olympics 
  • 25:35 – What really matters for economic and property growth  
  • 29:03 – The benefits will actually be spread across Australia…  
  • 31:12 – Olympic-sized successes and failures  
  • 35:38 – What happens after the torch?  
  • 36:03 – Our verdict!  
  • 37:46 Q2) Land to Asset Ratio 
  • 38:48 – How to crack the 60% land-to-asset ratio 
  • 41:39 – Note! There are different costs for different types of builds  
  • 42:27 – Hack for properties that are older than 30 years!  
  • 45:08 – Watch the YouTube video to see this in-depth graph  
  • 46:28 – Why we prefer older over new properties  
  • 47:42 – Talk to your local Buyers Agents!  
  • 48:25 – What happens if you don’t care about land value?  
  • 50:05 Q3) Challenges in Addressing the Accommodation Crisis
  • 52:13 – Why did the builders tap out?  
  • 53:27 – The recipe for short-term disaster  
  • 57:31 – “We’ve Been Disincentivised for Over a Decade” 
  • 1:02:27 – Victoria’s Minimum Standards are a great example of this!  

And… 

  • 1:03:49 – Lifehack: How to improve your sleep quality  
  • 1:06:55 – WMPN 1) Fact-checking the Greens  
  • 1:12:02 – WMPN 2) NSW’s “No-Ground Eviction” up for debate 

 

Exploring “Scarcity” in Property Investment

Note: This episode is a re-run of one of our older episodes. It originally aired on 12th November 2015 😊  

In today’s episode, we dive deep into why the old adage of ‘location, location, location’ still rings true for property investment. We explore how 80% of your return is determined by where you buy, and only 20% by what you buy. 

One of the three filters in our asset selection criteria is scarcity, and today we take a close look at that concept. What exactly do we mean when we refer to scarcity in property investing? Are there certain elements in particular to look out for that will increase your property’s value? 

Throughout the episode, we’ll also underscore the importance of considering owner-occupier appeal in your investments, why developers favour high-density projects, and why smaller investors should hone in on scarcity in top-tier locations. 

Get comfy because this bonus episode is all about helping you understand the crucial role of scarcity and how it can ensure your next investment decision is a savvy one! 

 

Free Stuff Mentioned 

 

Timestamps  

  • 0:00 – Exploring “Scarcity” in Property Investment 
  • 04:16 – When searching for your next investment, try asking the agent this question… 
  • 06:33 – 3 important filters when it comes to asset selection 
  • 07:24 – The two different parts to scarcity 
  • 07:33 – 20% of your return comes from the property, while 80% comes from the…?  
  • 11:46 – Consider the property’s proximity to the CBD… 
  • 13:56 – …as well as whether the land is fully utilised 
  • 14:28 – Peter Koulizos on the 3 Ls of property value 
  • 21:51 – Choosing the correct property is important, even though it only represents 20% of the formula! 
  • 24:21 – Linking back to the Buyer’s Decision Quadrant 

 

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