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RBA Dec 2018 Announcement – Stock Market Corrections

It’s the first Tuesday of the month Ben… which means the RBA Board has met and announced the official cash rate!

Ben’s update today focuses on not only the cash rate, but on the biggest story of the last six weeks as well… the stock market corrections!

Plus, Ben explains why Scott Morrison’s latest announcement signals the timing of the upcoming election, and how this will impact the economy moving forward.

So… for the last Cash Rate announcement of 2018, what will be RBA’s decision on the cash rate?

Most namely the biggest story of the last six weeks, and certainly into November, has been the stock market corrections that we’ve seen around the globe on the fears of a slowing global economy. You can also factor in the spike that the US economy had and the US share market had through the lower tax rates introduced by Donald Trump. So we’ve got that as a backdrop, but also the share market has also lost confidence because of the trade wars that are going on.

Interestingly, over the weekend China and the US met and they’ve put a truce in place — well, it’s short term so it might be a false dawn, but we have a truce in place — which means the US aren’t going to increase their tariff percentages and China has promised to buy a significant amount of US goods.

What has that meant? Well, we’ve definitely seen the stock market have a very, very good couple of days and that’s potentially put some confidence back into the broader stock market, and hopefully the broader economies around the world. But it is short term; we need to get through this Christmas period, which is going to see some significant changes.

If you’d like to check out his previous commentaries, click here.

 

 

 

 

DISCLAIMER: This video is general information only and is an opinion comment by Ben Kingsley. The information contained in this video is for Australian residents only. The information does not take into account the particular investment objectives or financial situation of any potential viewer. It does not constitute, and should not be relied on as, financial or investment advice or recommendations (expressed or implied) and it should not be used as an invitation to take up any investments or investment services. No investment decision or activity should be undertaken on the basis of this information without first seeking qualified and professional advice.

The Property Couch, its employees or contractors do not represent or guarantee that the information is accurate or free from errors or omissions and therefore provide no warranties or guarantees. The Property Couch disclaims any and all duty of care in relation to the information and liability for any reliance on investment decisions, claiming the use or guidance of this publication or information contained within it.

For more information, please visit: http://thepropertycouch.com.au

 

Episode 199 | Q & A – Future Proofing your Portfolio in a Changing Market

Folks, with State Election around the corner and the Federal Election less than a year away, it’s time to future-proof your portfolio.

The market has changed and will continue to change. We’ve also got some challenges in the Macro landscape as well — lending regulations, potential changes to negative gearing and interest rate rises, just to name a few.

So you might be asking yourself, “How is it still possible to build a property portfolio and earn $2K per week in passive income with all of this other stuff happening?”

And you’ve got a good point. There IS a reason to be concerned, but this does NOT mean you have to abandon ship altogether. Far from it.

So in today’s episode — before our Surprise Superstar Guest joins us next week for our 200TH EPISODE!! — we’re going to answer some of your questions about how to do exactly this.

 

This is just a few of the things we’re discussing:

 

Before we get to the questions, Ben is coming to all of you who are based in Perth! As the Chair of PICA of course. Details below:

When: 6:30 pm – 9:00 pm AWST, Tuesday, 4 December 2018
Where: Queens Building, Lecture Room, Level 1, 97 William Street, Perth, WA
Cost: FREE!

Link to secure your ticket: Reserve your Seat here

 

And if you’re after the video that Bryce mentions in today’s show to Know Your Number… Watch it below or click here to watch it now.


 

Finally, the questions we’re answering today…

Question from Mirella:

When talking about earning $2,000 per week in passive income is this measured before or after outgoings; eg. rates, land tax, etc.?

 

Question from James:

Trying to build a portfolio whilst the future of interest rates and a change in government and a change to negative gearing could potentially impact the market. How should one approach 2019?

 

Question about market sentiment/right time to buy from Kirthika:

Thanks for this session guys! Quick Q… there’s a lot of media activity discussing the impending drop in property prices over the next few years. As a result, my husband and I are worried about investing now? in the event we could buy for cheaper in a year! What are your thoughts?

 

Question about increasing cash flow and paying off debt from Nipper:

I feel confident with how to select investment grade properties. But I’m not so sure on how to hold them then get to the cashflow stage. Do you propose changing loans to P&I or selling down some properties to then pay off the debt of others, or something else?

 

Question about having no equity from Dan:

You mention using equity. If you don’t yet have access to equity… do you have any tips to get started?

 

Question about realising equity for cash flow purposes from Kosta

Do you ever recommend using some equity release to pay the monthly repayments to improve cash-flow?

 

 

 

RBA Nov 2018 Announcement – When Will RBA Move Rates?

Hello folks, as promised, we’ll be posting Ben’s short commentary on the RBA Cash Rate Decision on a regular basis!
Let us know if you like this segment below! 🙂

So, on this Melbourne Cup Tuesday, what will be RBA’s decision on the cash rate?

Let’s start with some positive news! The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate has unexpectedly dropped to 5% in September 2018, the lowest job rate since April 2012 while markets estimated 5.3%. But what about wage growth?

Ben will be unpacking how this will be affecting the RBA’s decision to move the cash rate, which had been at 1.5% since August 2016. And of course, a bit of an update on the equity and property market as well!

There’s still buying opportunities in that particular market; but you’ve got to be very, very careful in terms of where you’re buying. So stick to the fundamentals and focus in on where you’ll get that good return over time.

Looking for the CoreLogic’s Monthly Housing Update? Click here to find out more!

If you’d like to check out his previous commentaries, click here.

 

 

 

 

DISCLAIMER: This video is general information only and is an opinion comment by Ben Kingsley. The information contained in this video is for Australian residents only. The information does not take into account the particular investment objectives or financial situation of any potential viewer. It does not constitute, and should not be relied on as, financial or investment advice or recommendations (expressed or implied) and it should not be used as an invitation to take up any investments or investment services. No investment decision or activity should be undertaken on the basis of this information without first seeking qualified and professional advice.

The Property Couch, its employees or contractors do not represent or guarantee that the information is accurate or free from errors or omissions and therefore provide no warranties or guarantees. The Property Couch disclaims any and all duty of care in relation to the information and liability for any reliance on investment decisions, claiming the use or guidance of this publication or information contained within it.

For more information, please visit: http://thepropertycouch.com.au

 

Episode 196 | Q & A – Negative Gearing Changes – Should I Still Invest in Property?

“Labor risks $12bn housing hit over ending negative gearing” — if you’re like us folks… this headline has us all concerned!!

And the concern didn’t stop at the headline.

As we read on, the full news article, published by The Australian on the weekend, highlighted that the $32 billion plan to end negative gearing would — quote — lead to a fall in new housing construction of up to 42,000 dwellings over five years and 32,000 fewer jobs across the country, according to independent modelling — end quote.

Yep… that’s a drop in a whole lot of new housing construction (ie. supply) AND just a-bit-more-than-a-few losses (up to 32,000) in jobs!!

Folks… this is crazy stuff.

And those stats aren’t the only ones coming out of recent independent research digging into the numbers of what’s likely to happen if negative gearing’s ditched.

So, today we’re looking at a few of the worst-case scenarios from two different reports (the links to both of these are further down in the show notes) and unpacking — with both a short term and long term view — how this change to negative gearing might affect the property market and those investing in it.

But negative gearing changes — and the possible consequences on housing prices and for first home buyers — isn’t the only question we’re answering today! We’ve got plenty of gold on how to time your exist strategy, retiring debt and the right asset to invest in!

 

Oh, and if you’d like the Geospatial Heat Notes — the heat map that shows the Compounding Annual Growth in Median Value for Houses from 1974 till the end of 2017 that is sourced from the Valuer General data —  you can get them here.

 

Back to today’s Q’s…

Question about Negative Gearing Changes from Shadi:
Hey Bryce and Ben. Thank you for all the information and for all the podcasts you provide. Apologies in advance if this question has been answered in previous episodes. I’ve been binging myself since episode 1 a few months ago, and am not quite up to date yet. I just have a question specifically about the abolishment of negative gearing and the impact it will have on first time investors. I’ve been looking to invest since listening to your podcast, and am interested to hear how this will affect my first purchase — whether or not it will just be a short term problem that effects cash flow or if it will have a long term effect, especially when entering the market.

 

Question about Your Exit Strategy from Anne-Marie:
Hi guys, this is Anne-Marie in Victoria. I’m 56 and my husband is 51. I started listening to you many years ago after we had our 7 properties. Our last property was 3 years ago. There all on fixed term interest only, which makes no offset available to them. And we’ve paid off our home, which is worth 1.1 million (1 of the 7 properties). It takes us $13,000 a year to hold all the properties, we just put our tax in, which is amazing. So property has done really well for us, and the mortgage we have on all of them is about 2.5 million, with domain value being low sitting at $3.9 mill, and high $5.2 with middle there all about 4.6 million. I want to start going into doing less hours at work — I’d like to retire on a passive income in maybe 4 years’ time. How do you transition to get the passive income we’ll need for retirement without too much of a tax liability? I paid about $10K in tax this year and I really don’t want to be paying a lot of tax while I’m getting to this point. Can you give me any pointers? And I can’t have an offset account as I said. I’d like some advice on this.

 

Question about the Right Asset for a First Home Buyer from Carrie:
I have a question about the best type of asset you should invest in. I’m looking to buy my first property, which I’ll live in initially. I have a budget of $750K. I’ve been looking at 70s and 80s free standing villa units in small blocks of 12 – 6 in Melbourne’s east. This puts me in middle ring suburbs around 20km from the city, with a land size of 350sqm. It’s a good balance between decent landmass without being out in the sticks. Alternatively, I could by a 2bdrm apt in an older, low density block — the type with only 2 or 3 stories closer to the CBD. Are either of these good investments? And which of the two is better? Or is there anything else I should look into. Love your work guys, keep bringing out those podcasts! Thank you

 

 

The Articles Ben mentions:

The Australian Article — Labor risks $12bn housing hit over ending negative gearing

Housing Industry Association (HIA) — Media Release

 

Achieving your Great Australian Dream on Weekend Property, Today Show!

This time on the Today’s Show, Weekend Property, Bryce and Ben chat with Peter Stefanovic and Deborah Knight on suburbs

Hope you enjoy this segment! If you’d like to learn more about affordability and achieving your Great Australian Dream, here are some helpful episodes! >>

 

And there are heaps of other free resources on our website. We update them every week so make sure you check them out before you go. 🙂

Any questions or suggestions for new topics? Just send them in to info@thepropertycouch.com.au or fill in the form below and we’ll chat about it at our future Q&A episodes.

 

 

 

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