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Episode 196 | Q & A – Negative Gearing Changes – Should I Still Invest in Property?

“Labor risks $12bn housing hit over ending negative gearing” — if you’re like us folks… this headline has us all concerned!!

And the concern didn’t stop at the headline.

As we read on, the full news article, published by The Australian on the weekend, highlighted that the $32 billion plan to end negative gearing would — quote — lead to a fall in new housing construction of up to 42,000 dwellings over five years and 32,000 fewer jobs across the country, according to independent modelling — end quote.

Yep… that’s a drop in a whole lot of new housing construction (ie. supply) AND just a-bit-more-than-a-few losses (up to 32,000) in jobs!!

Folks… this is crazy stuff.

And those stats aren’t the only ones coming out of recent independent research digging into the numbers of what’s likely to happen if negative gearing’s ditched.

So, today we’re looking at a few of the worst-case scenarios from two different reports (the links to both of these are further down in the show notes) and unpacking — with both a short term and long term view — how this change to negative gearing might affect the property market and those investing in it.

But negative gearing changes — and the possible consequences on housing prices and for first home buyers — isn’t the only question we’re answering today! We’ve got plenty of gold on how to time your exist strategy, retiring debt and the right asset to invest in!

 

Oh, and if you’d like the Geospatial Heat Notes — the heat map that shows the Compounding Annual Growth in Median Value for Houses from 1974 till the end of 2017 that is sourced from the Valuer General data —  you can get them here.

 

Back to today’s Q’s…

Question about Negative Gearing Changes from Shadi:
Hey Bryce and Ben. Thank you for all the information and for all the podcasts you provide. Apologies in advance if this question has been answered in previous episodes. I’ve been binging myself since episode 1 a few months ago, and am not quite up to date yet. I just have a question specifically about the abolishment of negative gearing and the impact it will have on first time investors. I’ve been looking to invest since listening to your podcast, and am interested to hear how this will affect my first purchase — whether or not it will just be a short term problem that effects cash flow or if it will have a long term effect, especially when entering the market.

 

Question about Your Exit Strategy from Anne-Marie:
Hi guys, this is Anne-Marie in Victoria. I’m 56 and my husband is 51. I started listening to you many years ago after we had our 7 properties. Our last property was 3 years ago. There all on fixed term interest only, which makes no offset available to them. And we’ve paid off our home, which is worth 1.1 million (1 of the 7 properties). It takes us $13,000 a year to hold all the properties, we just put our tax in, which is amazing. So property has done really well for us, and the mortgage we have on all of them is about 2.5 million, with domain value being low sitting at $3.9 mill, and high $5.2 with middle there all about 4.6 million. I want to start going into doing less hours at work — I’d like to retire on a passive income in maybe 4 years’ time. How do you transition to get the passive income we’ll need for retirement without too much of a tax liability? I paid about $10K in tax this year and I really don’t want to be paying a lot of tax while I’m getting to this point. Can you give me any pointers? And I can’t have an offset account as I said. I’d like some advice on this.

 

Question about the Right Asset for a First Home Buyer from Carrie:
I have a question about the best type of asset you should invest in. I’m looking to buy my first property, which I’ll live in initially. I have a budget of $750K. I’ve been looking at 70s and 80s free standing villa units in small blocks of 12 – 6 in Melbourne’s east. This puts me in middle ring suburbs around 20km from the city, with a land size of 350sqm. It’s a good balance between decent landmass without being out in the sticks. Alternatively, I could by a 2bdrm apt in an older, low density block — the type with only 2 or 3 stories closer to the CBD. Are either of these good investments? And which of the two is better? Or is there anything else I should look into. Love your work guys, keep bringing out those podcasts! Thank you

 

 

The Articles Ben mentions:

The Australian Article — Labor risks $12bn housing hit over ending negative gearing

Housing Industry Association (HIA) — Media Release

 

Significant Urban Area (SUA) Tracker Report | October 2018

Spring is definitely in the air and so is hay fever. But are Australia’s Significant Urban Areas affected by it as well?

As mentioned in Episode 193, we are sharing LocationScore’s SUA Tracker Report for October 2018!

Fill in the form below to download the Report now to get access to it now.

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What’s in this SUA Tracker Report?

In this month’s SUA Tracker, we see Ballarat on its 6 consecutive upward trend to a LocationScore of 70. But it’s still slightly behind Hobart which is holding its high score of 74. Meanwhile, the cities of Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide are still holding their Location Score in the 60s.

What’s also interesting is the rise of Mackay. 3 years ago it had a very low score of 36. Now the LocationScore is up to a very healthy 60. But will it keep going or start levelling out?

But of course, we’re not just focusing on the positives here cause not all of the markets are on an upward trend. Wollongong’s LocationScore for example has slid around 10% in the last year and there are a couple of SUAs that are showing slight downward trends such as: Port Macquarie and Busselton.

Overall, most of the suburbs in this month’s SUA Tracker are maintaining their current LocationScore.

Download the Report now to find out more.

Note: LocationScore’s Top 50 SUA Tracker Report is available to paid LocationScore subscribers every month! Not yet a Subscriber? Subscribe to LocationScore now and get access to this report every month as well as: Suburb Analyser Reports covering thousands of House and Unit markets across Australia; Top 250 Fast Track Filter on each state and more! And since you’re a listener of The Property Couch, use this code for a 20% OFF discount: TPC20

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ps: We’ve got heaps of other Free Resources on the site! Make sure to check them all out here.

 

 

Episode 190 | Q & A – Addressing Media Alarmists, Investing in Your 50s and The Truth About Lenders Mortgage Insurance…

If you’ve heard the latest media reports, folks, you might have reason to believe the property market is all bricks and slaughter… but is that really the case?

Today on the Couch, we’re addressing media alarmists — the recent noise shouting out alarm that they’ll be a total housing crash in Australia! So… is there any truth to the gloom and doom?

PLUS, we’re deep-diving into investing later in life and what this really looks like for people in their fifties, including the ramifications of investing in property can have on pension allowances.

And, of course, Lenders Mortgage Insurance… let’s run the basics, and work out when too much is WAY too much!

Before we kick off the Qs… guess what??

 

If you want the 30% discount on our new book Make Money Simple Again you need to join our waitlist BEFORE 11:59PM TOMORROW  (Friday 21st September 2018)

Yes, this is a limited-time only discount, folks!

>> CLICK HERE to Get 30% Discount of our New Book

 

And before we jump into the questions, here are some recommendations from Stiggy to help you go through this episode:

  • Do you want the recording from on the VIC Residential Tenancies Act Amendments? PICA will be sending out the slides AND the replay to their members next week. Not a member yet? Click here to join.
  • (Spoiler Alert) And finally… Here’s the link to the Granny Flat that we’ve chat about on today’s show. Make sure you consult a qualified and experienced Financial Planner before making any investment decisions folks! 🙂

 

Alrightey, let’s get to today’s questions!

Question about Investing in Your 50s from Darren

Me and my wife made a mistake late in life. We bought a house and sold it back in 2000, so we’re not first home buyers. We’re 50, looking forward to getting on the property train and have a good income of about $180K per year. We have about 4.5K in disposable income that we can put into property. Given everything I’ve heard from you guys, how could a couple, now 50, with that available cash, make their way through to give themselves a passive income by mid-60s, earning $80 – $100K per year in passive income. We were thinking of buying a house for around $450K, perhaps on the north side of Brisbane, around Petrie and Kallangura area, and we could smash out as much as we could in a year and a half, build up some equity and buy then move onto the 2nd house with a maybe a bit of renovation between. So my question is: how do people of our age group get onto the property ladder and make this happen for ourselves?

 

Question from Steph the “Serial Coucher”

We’re looking at purchase a home from my father in law over a period of time. Essentially, he is an asset rich, cash poor retiree who is living fortnight-to-fortnight on the pension. Yes, it’s certainly an emotional driver, but the asset does stack up. So my question is: how does something like this work? Can you acquire traditional financing, or is it a specialty class of financing? And what specialist should we look to engage? I want to get as much info as possible before even bringing up the subject with him. Thanks guys!

 

Question about Lenders Mortgage Insurance from Alasdair

I’m looking to increase my portfolio from 2 Investment Properties (IP) to 3IPs, and possibly a 4th. I’m sitting at around about 90% when I get my loans. I read somewhere that around the $1million mark it gets difficult. And I’ve heard that the global portfolio is impossible to get it over $2.5 mil. Can you speak to that idea?

 

 

Episode 189 | Q & A – Vic Residential Tenancy Changes and “Legoland” in a Good Location

Folks, today we’re tackling your questions around some tough topics!

Because chances are, you’ve heard about the amendments that’ve recently been passed on Victoria’s Residential Tenancies Act — laws that allow tenants to keep pets and make ‘minor’ modifications to the property, regardless of the landlord’s wishes.

So we’re going to give our take on this, as well as take a deep dive on “Legoland” and whether or not these properties are worth considering if they’re sitting in a good location. Plus a certain Donald Trump gets a mention, as does the interest rate rise we’ve seen from the big banks right here on our home turf!

And why the tough topics now?

Well folks, it’s pretty simple… we’ve sweated out our brand new book, Make Money Simple Again (Get 30% off here), and now that it’s off to the printers… we’re ready to take on some of your other challenges!

 

Before we kick it off, just a shout out that PICA’S holding a limited-seating event on Tuesday 18th September at 6pm — to discuss on the amendments to the Victorian Residential Tenancy Act…

This is an exclusive event (only 60 seats available) with Yvonne Martin and will take place at Madgwicks Lawyers, Level 6, 140 William Street, Melbourne.

Register Here: PICA – Changes to the Residential Tenancies Act

 

And yes,

WE FINALLY FINISHED OUR BOOK, Make Money Simple Again!!!

Get 30% OFF IF YOU JOIN THE WAITLIST
(AND get it before anyone else!)

CLICK HERE TO GET THE DETAILS: Make Money Simple Again

 

But back to the tricky Q & A….

 

Question — Chris on Tenancy Changes

I’m disappointed at your quick video overview regarding proposed rental tenancy changes in Victoria. I have no problem with most of the suggested changes but, how can you not be alarmed at tenants being given the right to have pets and make modifications deemed ‘minor’ – whatever that means? We are not just talking about picture hooks here! After investigating further, this may include security measures and air conditioning! Who pays for these? You flippantly dismiss the pet comment with a remark about ’tiles’. Are you serious??? What about carpets and polished floorboards taking a pounding from pets’ claws and their excrement! I will tell you from experience that any sort of steam cleaning and fumigating of carpets etc….even at the tenant’s expense is not the answer. I’ve had to on at least two occasions (where both urine and faecal matter was so prevalent) had no choice, but to change the carpets! Forget the floorboards – too damn expensive to re-sand and polish!  Please tell me that these abovementioned points are also concerns for you?

 

SpeakPipe Question – Emma on Rate Statement showing a Decline

I have a 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1 car spot investment apartment in Maribyrnong. I’ve just noticed on my new rate statement that the Capital Improved Value and the Site Value have decreased. It is a long term investment, should I be worried? Or should I just enjoy the lower rates this year? Thanks!

 

SpeakPipe Question — Lucas about Trump and IO Loans

… As we know, America runs at huge deficits, and Trump’s now starting trade wars with a whole bunch of economic blocks and their interest rates are going up so it’s going to be harder for them to service their debt. Deficits are going to become bigger & in case that backfires, and causes another GFC situation, what impact will Trump have on the Australian housing market? And, also, we’ll probably have another compounding problem with tougher lending criteria and people having less opportunity to roll interest-only with banks. So I’d like to know what you think will happen to the property market if these things happen, which is the worst case scenario. Thank you.

 

Question — Nick on History of Sales

Hi, I am a casual listener of the podcast and a first time buyer looking for a place to live in Melbourne. We have found a townhouse in Thornbury, a property that ticks all the boxes for us and looks like a good price. However, the property is selling for only a fraction over that which it was purchased in 2014 and is amongst about 50 of other similar townhouses — the property next door is also for sale. It is probably the best located/nicest property we can afford that we have found in Melbourne but those seem like red flags from an investment point of view. I thought I might just ask and see if you might be able to point us in the right direction as to how much we should read into previous sale prices and also about what saturation means in the townhouse market? Thank you and keep up the rad podcasts!

 

 

Data Dive! Better Price Point, Better Location and Better Returns

YES, WE ARE DOING A DATA DIVE!!! 

And you can expect lots of this kind of bonuses to come through folks because we’ve completed our research platform and we can’t wait to share all our findings with all of you in our community.

Now, for this particular Data Dive, Ben will be focusing on the importance of a better price point, better location and ultimately, a better return on investments. So what are you waiting for? Just fill in the link below and we’ll send it to you right away! 🙂

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