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RBA July 2019 – Twice in a row??

75% of economists predicted another rate drop… Are they right?… or wrong?

As mentioned previously, unemployment and wage growth is a priority for the RBA and despite last month’s cut, there wasn’t a lot of movement found in these two economic indicators.

So the RBA Board has decided to drop another 25 basis points bringing the cash rate to 1%. Find out what other factors have triggered this decision including if the US-China Trade Deals has anything to do with it!

AND if you’d like more data on Ben’s commentary today, here are a few resources:

Now, let’s dive into RBA July 2019 Cash Rate Announcement!

DISCLAIMER: This podcast is general information only and is an opinion comment by Ben Kingsley. The information contained in this video is for Australian residents only. The information does not take into account the particular investment objectives or financial situation of any potential viewer. It does not constitute, and should not be relied on as, financial or investment advice or recommendations (expressed or implied) and it should not be used as an invitation to take up any investments or investment services. No investment decision or activity should be undertaken on the basis of this information without first seeking qualified and professional advice.

The Property Couch, its employees or contractors do not represent or guarantee that the information is accurate or free from errors or omissions and therefore provide no warranties or guarantees. The Property Couch disclaims any and all duty of care in relation to the information and liability for any reliance on investment decisions, claiming the use or guidance of this publication or information contained within it.

For more information, please visit: http://thepropertycouch.com.au

RBA June 2019 Announcement – Why there’s more to this Rate Cut than you think…

So… no surprises here folks. We’ve got a rate cut!

Phillip Lowe has already indicated RBA’s decision to cut the cash rate two weeks ago at his Address to the Economic Society of Australia.

Nonetheless, we are still excited to share that the cash rate is now at 1.25%.

AND there are heaps to unpack today folks and is probably the longest RBA Commentary that Ben has ever done. Before we get there, here are a few resources that he’s mentioned:

 

Now, let’s dive into RBA June 2019 Cash Rate Announcement!

 

 

p.s. And here’s a little teaser. 😉

DISCLAIMER: This podcast is general information only and is an opinion comment by Ben Kingsley. The information contained in this video is for Australian residents only. The information does not take into account the particular investment objectives or financial situation of any potential viewer. It does not constitute, and should not be relied on as, financial or investment advice or recommendations (expressed or implied) and it should not be used as an invitation to take up any investments or investment services. No investment decision or activity should be undertaken on the basis of this information without first seeking qualified and professional advice.

The Property Couch, its employees or contractors do not represent or guarantee that the information is accurate or free from errors or omissions and therefore provide no warranties or guarantees. The Property Couch disclaims any and all duty of care in relation to the information and liability for any reliance on investment decisions, claiming the use or guidance of this publication or information contained within it.

For more information, please visit: http://thepropertycouch.com.au

Episode 234 | Have We Bottomed Out Sooner Than We Thought? The Exclusive Data Insights from Louis Christopher from SQM Research

Well, well, well…. Have we hit the bottom of the market folks???

In the shadows of the election — aka the Coalition’s surprise victory — it appears that confidence has returned to the property market!

And now the crystal ball question — “When’s the bottom of the property market happening?”may not be as cryptic (or as distant from us!!) as we first thought!

So. What do we mean by this?

Well, let’s put it another way… We jumped on a plane last week especially to bring you back the insights from today’s guest!!! And you just might recognise him —Louis Christopher the Director of SQM Research and one of Australia’s most respected and impartial Research Property Analysts. He has extensive knowledge and experience of property and is regular quoted in the media on his insights!

And he’s NOT afraid to tell it like it is.

So… what’s his latest data suggesting?

Before you meet the man behind the media and get to hear his forecasts, we just want to remind you that, yes, even though PICA likely had a bit of an impact on the election results, our work on behalf of all Australian property investors is by no means done.

And as Ben talks about in today’s show —- there’s obvious MUCH more PICA’s aiming to achieve, so if you’d like to become a member for as little as $5, please Become a Member Today.

Is something stopping you from joining PICA? Let Ben know here.

Here’s what we discuss in today’s episode:

  • What happened with Louis’s grandma that made him interested in property?
  • What’d he do to make his tenants pay rent on time? (Warning: not for everyone!)
  • What used to happen in the data space?
  • Why was there controversy starting SQM?
  • What data was he desperate to get his hands on? How’d they get it?
  • What does SQM stand for?
  • What else do they measure aside from property data?
  • How do they pick the turning point of the market place?
  • How often do they “get it right”?
  • Are the observations coming out from the election revealing a trend?
  • What does he see happening in the next 2 – 4 years?
  • And what had he modelled if Liberal was re-elected?
  • How has the uncertainty of the market been lifted?
  • How will APRA’s recent changes affect the property market?
  • Will the RBA cut their rate by MORE than 25 basis points next month?
  • What are the issues with Auction Clearance Rates?
  • Can they forecast for Capital Growth?
  • What do they use at a locality level vs the macro level?
  • How does he measure fair market value?
  • Is it a good idea to have a market that’s totally dependent on housing?
  • Is the Australian economy looking up?
  • Why’s it hard to create inflation if there is so much debt?
  • What happened to rents and construction levels in 1985?
  • What makes for a good economy?
  • The First Home Buyers Deposit Scheme: Will it have a material or immaterial impact on the property market?
  • What do we think of the NRAS scheme?
  • Is it time to invest in Perth??
  • Does a rental market predict that capital growth will likely happen?

AND THE BIGGIE…

  • When’s the bottom of the market likely going to happen?

Episode 233 | Is it Tick, Tick… Boom? Post Election & Off the Plan Pain with Angie Zigomanis from BIS Oxford Economics

Well, folks — Australia’s officially had their say after Saturday’s voting spree… and The Coalition are holding tight on their power for another term! Which surprised a lot of us. BUT there is a silver lining…

… Negative Gearing has survived another day!!

Which basically means… NO dumb policy is about to cripple the property market any time soon!!

But the question remains… what are we in for now??

Joining us today is Angie Zigomanis, Senior Manager at BIS Oxford Economics and he’s got his binoculars pointing to the horizon… because the data he’s been scrutinising is exposing a LOT about what we’re about the see unfold in the property market!

The big picture??

Off the Plan properties…. !!!

Resources mentioned in today’s show:

Oh, and if you’re around tonight folks, tune in to Escape From the CityBryce is on ABC TV TONIGHT at 8:00PM!

Here’s what you’re in for…

  • Our election stories: how’d we get the news?
  • Where does BIS Oxford Economics sit in the economic arena?
  • And how many different countries do they analyse?
  • What did they discover about negative gearing changes prior to the election?
  • What happened to the stock market AFTER the election?
  • What’s likely to happen with business confidence as a result?
  • How is the First Home Buyers Deposit going to affect the property market?
  • What’s happening with construction?
  • Will we start to see economic growth?
  • How likely is it that the RBA is going to DROP their cash rate next month?
  • What did Governor Phillip Lowe state in his press conference on Tuesday?
  • What have APRA done with their assessment rate?
  • What’s the latest with the US/China Trade Talks?
  • How might the Australian economy be affected by this?
  • PERILS OF OFF THE PLAN: What is the data revealing about Off the Plan Properties?
  • In Melbourne alone, how many were sold at a loss?
  • Who is most likely to be the second buyer of Off the Plan properties?
  • What may happen to developments in future?

Is affordability a real issue?

RBA May 2019 Announcement – Have they finally pulled the trigger?

With a zero inflation for the quarter and an upcoming election, this month’s RBA Cash Rate is probably one the most interesting one we’ve had for a while!

It’s that time of the month again which means the RBA Board has met and announced the official cash rate.

And wow! There must be an intense discussion going on within the board. Here’s a quick update on what’s been happening:

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