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Episode 234 | Have We Bottomed Out Sooner Than We Thought? The Exclusive Data Insights from Louis Christopher from SQM Research

Well, well, well…. Have we hit the bottom of the market folks???

In the shadows of the election — aka the Coalition’s surprise victory — it appears that confidence has returned to the property market!

And now the crystal ball question — “When’s the bottom of the property market happening?”may not be as cryptic (or as distant from us!!) as we first thought!

So. What do we mean by this?

Well, let’s put it another way… We jumped on a plane last week especially to bring you back the insights from today’s guest!!! And you just might recognise him —Louis Christopher the Director of SQM Research and one of Australia’s most respected and impartial Research Property Analysts. He has extensive knowledge and experience of property and is regular quoted in the media on his insights!

And he’s NOT afraid to tell it like it is.

So… what’s his latest data suggesting?

Before you meet the man behind the media and get to hear his forecasts, we just want to remind you that, yes, even though PICA likely had a bit of an impact on the election results, our work on behalf of all Australian property investors is by no means done.

And as Ben talks about in today’s show —- there’s obvious MUCH more PICA’s aiming to achieve, so if you’d like to become a member for as little as $5, please Become a Member Today.

Is something stopping you from joining PICA? Let Ben know here.

Here’s what we discuss in today’s episode:

  • What happened with Louis’s grandma that made him interested in property?
  • What’d he do to make his tenants pay rent on time? (Warning: not for everyone!)
  • What used to happen in the data space?
  • Why was there controversy starting SQM?
  • What data was he desperate to get his hands on? How’d they get it?
  • What does SQM stand for?
  • What else do they measure aside from property data?
  • How do they pick the turning point of the market place?
  • How often do they “get it right”?
  • Are the observations coming out from the election revealing a trend?
  • What does he see happening in the next 2 – 4 years?
  • And what had he modelled if Liberal was re-elected?
  • How has the uncertainty of the market been lifted?
  • How will APRA’s recent changes affect the property market?
  • Will the RBA cut their rate by MORE than 25 basis points next month?
  • What are the issues with Auction Clearance Rates?
  • Can they forecast for Capital Growth?
  • What do they use at a locality level vs the macro level?
  • How does he measure fair market value?
  • Is it a good idea to have a market that’s totally dependent on housing?
  • Is the Australian economy looking up?
  • Why’s it hard to create inflation if there is so much debt?
  • What happened to rents and construction levels in 1985?
  • What makes for a good economy?
  • The First Home Buyers Deposit Scheme: Will it have a material or immaterial impact on the property market?
  • What do we think of the NRAS scheme?
  • Is it time to invest in Perth??
  • Does a rental market predict that capital growth will likely happen?

AND THE BIGGIE…

  • When’s the bottom of the market likely going to happen?

Episode 233 | Is it Tick, Tick… Boom? Post Election & Off the Plan Pain with Angie Zigomanis from BIS Oxford Economics

Well, folks — Australia’s officially had their say after Saturday’s voting spree… and The Coalition are holding tight on their power for another term! Which surprised a lot of us. BUT there is a silver lining…

… Negative Gearing has survived another day!!

Which basically means… NO dumb policy is about to cripple the property market any time soon!!

But the question remains… what are we in for now??

Joining us today is Angie Zigomanis, Senior Manager at BIS Oxford Economics and he’s got his binoculars pointing to the horizon… because the data he’s been scrutinising is exposing a LOT about what we’re about the see unfold in the property market!

The big picture??

Off the Plan properties…. !!!

Resources mentioned in today’s show:

Oh, and if you’re around tonight folks, tune in to Escape From the CityBryce is on ABC TV TONIGHT at 8:00PM!

Here’s what you’re in for…

  • Our election stories: how’d we get the news?
  • Where does BIS Oxford Economics sit in the economic arena?
  • And how many different countries do they analyse?
  • What did they discover about negative gearing changes prior to the election?
  • What happened to the stock market AFTER the election?
  • What’s likely to happen with business confidence as a result?
  • How is the First Home Buyers Deposit going to affect the property market?
  • What’s happening with construction?
  • Will we start to see economic growth?
  • How likely is it that the RBA is going to DROP their cash rate next month?
  • What did Governor Phillip Lowe state in his press conference on Tuesday?
  • What have APRA done with their assessment rate?
  • What’s the latest with the US/China Trade Talks?
  • How might the Australian economy be affected by this?
  • PERILS OF OFF THE PLAN: What is the data revealing about Off the Plan Properties?
  • In Melbourne alone, how many were sold at a loss?
  • Who is most likely to be the second buyer of Off the Plan properties?
  • What may happen to developments in future?

Is affordability a real issue?

Episode 202 | We warned you to Prepare for Winter… Did You?

Over 2 ½ years ago, waaay back on Episode 66, we warned you that Winter Was Coming…

The question is folks… did you prepare?

We really hope you did. Because if you caught ABC’s three-part 7:30 Report this week or you read the OECD Housing Report that came out on Monday, then you’ll know that the Australian housing market isn’t the flavour of the month at the moment.

We’ve all seen that the property market come off its peak, and this, combined with the credit crunch following APRA’s lending restrictions and the Banking Royal Commission, as well as the proposed changes to Negative Gearing and Capital Gains Tax has spread a ripple right across market sentiment.

In other words, you could say… Winter is here.

So, today we’re diving into what’s unfolding with housing prices and what we’re likely to see happen in the property market from here. To help with this, we’re revisiting what we discussed 2 ½ years ago — Episode 066 | Winter is coming and the air will be colder up high.

And folks, the similarities between what we said then to what we’re seeing now just might shock you! Those who acted early and pulled out the umbrella won’t be surprised.

BUT the real question is: what does all this mean for you and the future of investing in property?

Or do you simply want a straight answer to “What the heck is going on in the property market right now?”

We’ve got you covered.

 

Here’s the wild ride you’re in for…

 

The REPORTS and Media mentioned…

OECD House Price Report

ABC’s 7:30 Report – Latest figures from CoreLogic

And ABC’s 7:30 three-part video series…

House of Cards Part 1

House of Cards Part 2

House of Cards Part 3

 

P.S. It ALWAYS comes down to the fundamentals!!!

DOWNLOAD our Free Binge Guide Here – The First 20 Episodes

This 80-odd page document is the vault containing all the foundational tips and insights you need to be a successful investor.
Want a Free Copy of The Golden Highlights? You can get it here.

 

 

Your Binge Guide to the Foundations of Property, Finance and Money Management

It’s FINALLY here! Now we know that it’s getting harder and harder to catch up to all our episodes. That is why we’ve prepared this Cheatsheet to our First 20 Episodes of the podcast because these episodes are all about the foundation of property, finance and money management. In other words, it’s alright if you skip some of the podcast but not these ones! 🙂

So what are you waiting for? Fill in the form below and we’ll email it to you right away.

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What to expect in this 90-pages long Cheatsheet? 

  • The Foundational Knowledge in each of the First 20 Episodes
  • The Absolute GOLD that you should not miss out on!
  • Short snippets of quotes from Bryce and Ben that makes all the difference
  • Links to all the Free Resources that they mention in those episodes
  • Additional bonuses that will help you in understanding the Fundamentals more!
  • And of course… Charts and graphs that you can’t find on the podcast!

Fill in the form above and we’ll send it to you NOW! 🙂

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Achieving your Great Australian Dream on Weekend Property, Today Show!

This time on the Today’s Show, Weekend Property, Bryce and Ben chat with Peter Stefanovic and Deborah Knight on suburbs

Hope you enjoy this segment! If you’d like to learn more about affordability and achieving your Great Australian Dream, here are some helpful episodes! >>

 

And there are heaps of other free resources on our website. We update them every week so make sure you check them out before you go. 🙂

Any questions or suggestions for new topics? Just send them in to info@thepropertycouch.com.au or fill in the form below and we’ll chat about it at our future Q&A episodes.

 

 

 

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