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458 | Are We At The Turning Point? From Slow Growth To A Surge in Listings – Chat with Tim Lawless

Want to know what areas are booming with new listings?   

Or when the market tide will turn?    

Or even, how real estate agents accurately research and predict market trends?  

Well folks, returning to the couch for the FIFTH time (Yep. We seriously can’t get enough of this awesome guest!!) is: CoreLogic’s Research Director, Tim Lawless!  

He is one of Australia’s leading property market analysts and commentators who also heads a team of analysts in Australia and New Zealand. Together with his team, he provides reports on property market conditions and the interplay between economic and demographic forces.  

In this episode, we’ll be unpacking it all, from the economic and market conditions we’re seeing today to the surprising Winter data that was recorded and – of course – what this means for Buyers and Sellers alike as Spring approaches. 

Plus, we make the most of Tim’s super data-charged brain as he reveals the biggest factors impacting the affordability story this spring and the standout markets to watch for.   

A seriously insightful episode for investors heading into the spring buying season. Get prepared and give it a listen now! 😊 

 

 Give it a listen now or watch the Episode below! 

 

Free Stuff Mentioned… 

  • Research like a real estate agent! Check out CoreLogic now (Formerly RP Data).  
  • Discover the newest housing market trends this spring in CoreLogic’s August Property Pulse Report.  
  • Want more data-rich insights from Tim Lawless?  Listen to his previous episodes here.  

 

Here’s some of the gold we cover… 

  • 0:00 – Welcome back for the 5th time, Tim Lawless!  
  • 2:59 – Inside the Lawless household 
  • 4:47 – The newest CoreLogic report & the market today 
  • 10:38 The Resurgence of Fresh Listings! 
  • 11:49 – Navigating the Rate Hiking Rollercoaster 
  • 12:51 – The sellers’ waiting game  
  • 14:40 – Winter data and the upward trend no one expected 😮 
  • 16:49 – Why Tim thinks housing prices will balance out soon… 
  • 18:53 – Is the Fixed Rate Cliff real?  
  • 19:59 – Are borrowers falling behind on their mortgages?  
  • 21:50 – Stock Levels & Standout Markets! 
  • 24:07 – The Biggest Factors Impacting the Affordability Story  
  • 27:07 APRA is limiting our borrowing power… 
  • 29:04 – Population growth & migration on the housing market 
  • 31:04 Which areas have had the biggest rise in listings?   
  • 34:21 – …And here’s the ones with the lowest listings! (EXPLAINED!)  
  • 35:34 The hotspot drivers you should be looking for     
  • 40:27 – What game are you playing as an investor?  
  • 41:51 – How do Real Estate Agents research & predict the market?  
  • 45:25 The Turning Point: S_n_im_ _t is the key factor!   
  • 49:12 – Spring Season Preview: What Lies Ahead?  

And… 

  • 50:40 Thank You Tim + Key Takeaways!  
  • 54:05 Lifehack: How to easily see written transcripts on YouTube  
  • 55:51 What’s Making Property News: 2024 changes to tax brackets – how does it impact you?  

 

Want to work with Bryce & Ben’s Award-Winning Team? 

 

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438 | REVEALED: Avoid these Property Buying Myths

There are many myths about buying property, but… it is important to avoid the hype of the headlines folks! 

In this week’s episode, we tackle some of the biggest property-buying myths going around – and bust them right open with facts and real-life examples from our team on the ground.  

This is Part 2 of our series on myths and misconceptions and today we unpack some of the big ones; 

🔎 Are property prices dropping?? 

🔎 The Time it takes to transact   

🔎 What is a Bargain Property? 

🔎 Unpacking the perfect property myth   

🔎 Set and forget strategies are non-existent…  

🔎 What is the Growth Corridor and what is the corridor measuring???   

🔎 How to avoid the hype!! 

Another jam-packed episode for you as we separate fact from fiction when it comes to buying property! 

Tune in now or watch the episode below 😊 >>

 

Free Stuff Mentioned… 

  • Looking for an experienced Buyers Agent? Book in a free, no-obligation consultation with our team who’ll steer you away from any myths towards financial freedom. Get your free appointment here >>  
  • Are you MoneyFIT? Find out in Moorr, your next-generation money management platform. Sign up online, or download the Apple or Google Play app now!

Want to work with Bryce & Ben’s Award-Winning Team? 

 

Here’s some of the gold we cover… 

  • 0:00 – The next installment of our Mythbusters series   
  • 03:30 – Yes, we have had an interest rate pause….. BUTbe cautious    
  • 03:36 – What are the rhythms we are really looking for??   
  • 04:12 – Mindset Minute……   
  • 04:45 – Myth #1 – Are property prices _______??    
  • 06:02 – At the coal face of property buying in Melbourne…  
  • 07:18 – Are listings really moving this quickly??  
  • 08:49 – Why our team is missing out… Why we need to be wary of the headlines…    
  • 10:05 – This property was a perfect storm   
  • 15:40 – Is The uncertainty of COVID dissipating??  
  • 16:11 – Are all buyers at the mercy of interest rates??   
  • 17:13 – This is a Warning signal … AND  a leverage point    
  • 18:25 – What about Adelaide..   
  • 19:00 – Is it affordable??  
  • 20:00 – High competition…. Where is the demand coming from?  
  • 22:10 – Why do we keep reinforcing suburb and property types?  
  • 22:35 – How are we learning from the missed deals?  
  • 22:55 – …and the Brisbane market   
  • 23:50 – What is the mindset and conditioning of these buyers??   
  • 26:05 – Perth… Why are they saying it’s nuts!!!   
  • 28:08 – Are Investors acting irrationally???   
  • 29:27 – Is demand exceeding supply??  
  • 30:35 – Will property prices stabilise?    
  • 34:06 – Will we see interest rate falls and what will that do to borrowing power??  
  • 34:33 – Times are very different now… Who does this speak to?   
  • 36:00 – Will we see more growth instead of a correction?   
  • 36:14 – When can you predict the bottom?   
  • 37:00 – Myth # 2 – Time to ______  
  • 37:27 – It takes time to get ready!!!!   
  • 39:05 – Myth #3 – ______ property    
  • 39:41 – Do your fundamentals stack up?   
  • 40:32 – What’s with the bargaining rack at the shopping mall??  
  • 41:42 – Myth #4 – The ______ property myth    
  • 41:59 – Is this an alibi for procrastination???  
  • 44:15 – When do you say enough is enough?  
  • 44:40 – Myth #5 – Low _______ properties   
  • 44:56 – Why Set and forget strategies are non-existent…  
  • 48:12 – Investing is a process…. Not an EVENT   
  • 48:39 – Myth #6 – The ______ Corridor    
  • 48:52 – What is the corridor measuring???   
  • 49:50 – Are you investing in the developers’ profits????   
  • 53:50 – The four ways an investor pays? https://thepropertycouch.com.au/episode-019-four-ways-investor-pay-wrong-asset/   
  • 54:15 – What are the key takeaways?  
  • 54:20 – All of OUR underlying principles remain   
  • 55:40 – Avoid this – SIMPLE!!!  
  • And…   
  • 56:10 – Lifehack: How to game the big tech companies from surveillance capitalism  
  • 59:30 – What’s making property news?? 

 

Get Moorr out of your money:
Log in or create your free account via the
Moorr web platform, or download the app on Apple and Android and transform the way you view and track your wealth. 

 

437 | The Biggest Danger people face when looking at property data

When it comes to property investment, data is a very valuable tool for making informed decisions. However, looking at single data measures can be dangerous, especially when it comes to something as complex as the housing market. To truly understand affordability and sustainability, we need to consider a range of factors and look at the bigger picture.  

Take median house prices, for example. This is a commonly used statistic that can give us a general idea of the state of the housing market. However, by itself, it can be misleading.  

Folks, in episode 437, we have the perfect guest to help us unpack all things property data, what to look for and the dangers of looking at single data measures. We sat down with Kent Lardner, one of Australia’s best and most respected property data analysts. Kent has over 30 years’ experience in the industry focusing on property data and analytics. 

We will be diving deep into:  

🔣 The Dangers of looking at Single Data Measures  

🔣 Looking at Median House Prices as a descriptive statistic 

🔣 Affordability – What To Look For 

🔣 Are Rent Rises Sustainable? 

🔣 Kent’s craft and How it Influences his Decisions  

🔣 And of course, unpacking everything going on in the market today  

You’re in for a massive episode today that’s full of knowledge and insights into what to look for when analysing property data! 

Tune in now or watch the episode below 😊  >>

 

Free Stuff Mentioned… 

  • Looking for an investment-savvy mortgage broker? Book in a free, no-obligation consultation with our team who’ll steer you away from any myths towards financial freedom. Get your free appointment here >>  
  • Are you MoneyFIT? Find out in Moorr, your next-generation money management platform. Sign up online, or download the Apple or Google Play app now!

Want to work with Bryce & Ben’s Award-Winning Team? 

 

Here’s some of the gold we cover… 

  • 00:00 – All the awesome stuff we’re covering today! 
  • 02:28 – Let’s talk about reviews… 
  • 09:24 – Mindset Minute…. Real estate cannot be lost or stolen 
  • 11:10 – Let’s welcome today’s guest…. Kent Lardner  
  • 12:58 – Just some of the reasons we are so excited to have Kent on the couch!! 
  • 13:18 – Let’s take a deeper dive into Kent’s money story growing up 
  • 15:10 – How humour in his family made growing up FUN 
  • 21:28 – The pivotal moment where things shifted from the sale of Price Finder!! 
  • 24:12 – RBA announcement – what does it mean? 
  • 32:07 – What does it mean for us folks when listings pause? 
  • 34:10 – The Dangers of Single Data Measure 
  • 34:47 – Unpacking Suburb Medians 
  • 35:04 – Utilising Time Trendlines… How things change over time 
  • 36:30 – SA1, SA2 and SA3…. What does this actually mean? 
  • 39:37 – What’s the big story??… 
  • 42:31 – New stock being released and the impact it has.. 
  • 43:32 – Volatility through time.. 
  • 44:13 – Hedonic indexes and accounting for variances 
  • 45:38 – Buying at property level, not suburb level 
  • 46:25 – Is the market tanking??? 
  • 46:42 – Why it is important not fall into the hysteria 
  • 47:30 – Creating confidence in analysing the data 
  • 47:32 – What data to analyse… 
  • 48:36 – Prices are tough… Why to look at listings!! 
  • 49:40 – Is a price crash looking likely? 
  • 50:15 – AFFORDABILITY…. What to look for! 
  • 53:02 – Why Rent rises are NOT sustainable 
  • 56:25 – Census data or CHAT GBT?  
  • 59:20 – What happens if markets detach from locals 
  • 1:04:20 – Kents Evergreen Metric for long term suburb growth 
  • 1:05:30 – How to correctly use Census data 
  • 1:06:15 – Using employment categories to analyse data 
  • 1:06:50 – Is it a solid rental market? 
  • 1:15:40 – How does mastering Kent’s craft influence his decisions 
  • 1:16:29 – What is causing Kent’s ANALYSIS PARALYSIS 

And…   

    • 1:18:00 – Thanks so much to you Kent for sharing your amazing knowledge  
    • 1:24:00 – Lifehack: Did you know about The Apple Focus function?? 

 

Get Moorr out of your money:
Log in or create your free account via the
Moorr web platform, or download the app on Apple and Android and transform the way you view and track your wealth. 

 

324 | Property Market Outlook 2021 – Chat With Cameron Kusher, Executive Manager of Economic Research at REA Group

The pendulum has swung and Australia’s property market is expected to be very, very different in 2021!

On the back of what we can only describe as “a year we’ll never forget”, property is about to bounce ahead in a direction very few could have predicted during the height of the pandemic panic.

In this episode, you’re about to hear an expert forecast that reveals key market insights into the Property Market Outlook for 2021 (including suburbs set to soar this year and potential challenges up ahead!).

Joining us is Cameron Kusher, Executive Manager – Economic Research at REA Group. Cameron has over 15 years’ experience working as a property market analyst (both residential and commercial). His experience spans valuations, property development, development consulting, commercial property research as well as residential property research. Through his work, Cameron has gained a thorough understanding of property market fundamentals across demographics, trends and economics, making him a widely sought-after commentator and presenter on property market conditions and emerging trends.

Oh, and prior to joining REA Group, Cameron spent more than 11 years at CoreLogic where he was the Head of Research for Australia.

… If you want a realistic look into how property will perform this year and where you can expect to see price growth and high demand, then this episode is for you.

 

Just a Sample of What We Cover:

  • Economic Forecast – For Australia and International
  • Property Demand – Will There Be Unprecedented Demand This Year & What Areas Will Be Most Popular?
  • Property Supply – Will There Be A “Building Boom” This Year & How Will Supply Contribute To Property Prices In 2021?
  • Sales – How Do Current Property Sales Compare From This Time Last Year?!
  • Lending – Why People So Attracted To Debt Right Now… And Will This Will Lead To Increased Regulation? (… Plus, When Will Interest Rates Go Back Up!?!)
  • Property Prices – What Will Contribute To Price Growth & What Will We See Over The Next 60 – 90 Days?
  • Property Segments – A Breakdown of Property Markets Within The Country (Incl. Strange News On Regional Properties)
  • Buyer Behaviour – Is FOMO Coming?
  • Suburbs To Watch – Specific Suburbs Expected To Soar in 2021!
  • The Recession’s Hangover – How Long Will We Live With The Repercussions of The Recession? (And What Will We See Continue In The Rental Market?)
  • Top Tips For Property Buyers and Investors – Especially In The 2021 Property Market!

 

Resources Mentioned

 

 

Significant Urban Area (SUA) Tracker Report | April 2019

12 months ago, we released our first-ever Significant Urban Area Tracker report on our location research platform, LocationScore.com.au!

And the response was amazing! There is still much to be done but to celebrate this milestone, we’ve decided to share our most recent SUA Tracker with The Property Couch community!

So fill in the form below to download the Report now to get access to it now.

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p.s. If you have any feedback or if there is a particular data that you would like to see included in this report, please let us know! Send in your feedback to [email protected].

p.p.s: AND we’ve got heaps of other Free Resources on the site! Make sure to check them all out here.

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