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Episode 363 | Exodus to the Regions – Will this Trend Reverse? – Chat with Dr Nicola Powell

This data is hot off the press folks!! 🔥🔥🔥

It’s no secret that property prices have grown quite a bit lately, but recent data is showing that we’re breaking records!

Here’s a snippet from Domain’s media release just a week ago:

September Quarter 2021 House Price Report shows Australian house prices experiencing a historical rate of growth at 21.9%, the fastest annual rate of growth on record with median house prices at almost $1 million nationally.

But…what does this mean for both sellers and buyers? Is this likely to stay or are we going to see a crash in the new year? Is this growth even sustainable with our current economy?!

AND…

Will the Regional Exodus Backflip?!!

There are heaps of moving parts here and we know it can get a little overwhelming…

So we’ve outsourced and brought in an expert to help us out.

And yes, we’ve been teasing you about her for the past few weeks so bring on the drum roll please…

🥁🥁🥁

Joining us on the show today is none other than Dr Nicola Powell, Chief of Research & Economics for Domain and one of Australia’s leading property market experts!

With more than 15 years’ research experience that spans academic, government and private sector, Nicola is the leading force behind Domain’s regular data reports that keep the Australian public up to date on what’s happening in the market.

Safe to say that we’re in good hands folks.

Tune in to find out more!

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

 

Here’s What We Cover…

  • 1:57 – Mindset minute: It’s better to hang out with people _______ than you, pick out associates whose __________ is better than yours and you’ll _____________.
  • 3:09 – Meet our first-time special guest, Dr Nicola Powell!!
  • 4:00 – How did a science doctorate degree morph into a career in economics?!
  • 5:58 – How she translate hard cold data into behavioural logic and patterns
  • 8:33 – Nicola’s Money Story and what she’s telling her kids now?
  • 11:50 – How did her conservative upbringing shape her money management habits?
  • 13:38 – Where are we RIGHT NOW in our Property Cycle?
  • 14:42 – GROWING AT $1,200 A DAY?!
  • 15:00 – Is this record growth rate expected to continue?
  • 15:46 – Is there any good news from the September Quarter Housing Data?
  • 18:37 – Sydneysiders: Forever Renting or Cross the Borders
  • 20:54 – What has the pandemic accelerated for Sydneysiders?
  • 22:57 – The shift to a different property type…
  • 27:13 – How did the Most Lock-downed City still have a Record Price Growth Rate?!
  • 28:54 – Will the Regional Exodus Backflip?!
  • 30:21 – The biggest social experiment that has proven one key thing…
  • 31:15 – What’s the new buzzword of the pandemic?
  • 32:07 – A little nugget on Price Growth trend!
  • 33:40 – An Aging Population and Its Impact on Supply
  • 36:00 – Areas where they’ll be a risk of a reversal in property price…
  • 39:00 – Is APRA’s Macroprudential changes necessary to influence Demand?
  • 40:53 – When will interest rates start to rise?
  • 42:00 – Which of these two events will trigger the interest rate hike?
  • 43:45 – (HOT) Markets around Australia with still rooms for growth!!
  • 46:08 – Household size and misallocation of housing stocks in Australia…
  • 47:00 – What needs to be disrupted to improve affordability?
  • 48:41 – The Stamp Duty Debate: Lump sum or Annual Repayment?
  • 50:17 – Surprising Find from Domain’s Submission on Housing Affordability…
  • 52:00 – Residential property as an investment class to store family wealth – Yay or Nay?

And of course…

  • 56:37 – A camping trailer life hack that can potentially save your relationship! 😉
  • 59:09  – Ben’s quick update on RBA’s view on their Bond Program

 

 

Episode 359 | Locked Down & Locked Out: Buying Property In A Shutdown State! – Chat with Leah Calnan

Is property sliding under the pressure of continual lockdowns?!

Folks, it’s no surprise that Victoria’s extended lockdowns (and indeed lockdowns happening right across the country) are having unintended consequences to property buyers, sellers AND renters.

With Melbourne spending more days in lockdown than ANYWHERE else in the world, it begs the question: How can you buy property in a Shutdown State?!

Here to unpack all this, as well as the Winners & Losers of legislation changes, is returning guest Leah Calnan, President of Real Estate Institute of Victoria (REIV). Leah has served as REIV President since October 2019 and during this time has seen SIGNIFICANT disruptions and changes to the Victorian property market and Tenancy Act. She has over 24 years’ experience in property management, is the sole Director of Metro Property Management and, of course, is considered one of the industry’s most dedicated, accomplished and senior Property Management practitioners in the country.

Leah is about to give you a behind the scenes look at the stark reality of a property market Locked Down & Locked Out, including the tangible impact this has on property investors, in conjunction with the “VCAT Mess” that’s currently unfolding here in Victoria.

So, is it all doom and gloom? Is it simply Too Much For Too Long for Victorian investors? Is “The Great VIC Exit” fast-approaching?!

Listen now to learn How To Buy Property in a Shutdown State & stay informed of the impact current lockdowns are having on the broader property market.

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

 

Here’s What We Cover…

  • 02:13 – FYI: The dark spot on Ben’s forehead…
  • 04:46 – What do you think about this Mindset Minute?!
  • 06:50 – Meet Leah.
  • 07:32 – The Controversial Question we just had to ask!
  • 10:09 – Leah’s first property & money management story…
  • 16:08 – Money Advice for teenagers!
  • 17:14 – Some of the ‘highlights’ as REIV President…
  • 19:15 – Winners & Losers: Legislation Changes!
  • 20:01 – Will these Unintended Consequences further drive investors out of Vic?
  • 21:43 – Which legislation would Leah most like to repeal?!
  • 23:33 – The VCAT MESS!!
  • 26:16 – Have landlords cracked down on the type of tenant they get?
  • 27:42 – Has the legislation change lead to longer first term tenancies?
  • 29:00 – Locked Down & Locked Out!
  • 31:13 – One of the biggest challenges with Victorian lockdowns…
  • 34:09 – What HAS opened up again for buyers?
  • 38:32 – How agents keep potential buyers safe…
  • 40:16 – Can you inspect properties in regional Vic if you live in Melbourne?
  • 42:12 – Is there a “Super Saturday” coming between now and Christmas?
  • 45:53 – The Best Property Management Tips!
  • 48:30 – Why You Should NOT Self-Manage Your Property!
  • 53:28 – How to measure your wealth!
  • 55:25 – What’s Making Property News!?!
  • 55:38 The Scalpel Has Landed: Macroprudential Change Is HERE!

 

 

Episode 358 | Too Much Risk? Australian Property & Economic Update – Chat with Nerida Conisbee

Breaking news just in on the property & economic front, folks!

There’s clearly quite a bit going on with the health crisis, soaring property market and… just announced this week… an indication that a tightening of lending might be coming sooner than we think!

Despite price growth in the current market being led primarily by owner-occupiers, the risks around rising household debt may mean that APRA and the financial regulators will step in to prevent the build-up of future risks to the broader economy…

The question is: If they’re going to pull the handbrake, What Would This Look Like and WHEN Would It Happen?

Here to unpack all this, as well as the latest Australian Property & Economic Update is our good friend Nerida Conisbee, Chief Economist at Ray White.

Now, if you’ve heard Nerida’s data-driven insights and wisdom on the show before, you might’ve noticed she’s had a little change in title from Chief Economist at the REA Group… And if you haven’t heard from her before (you’re in for a real treat!) or simply need a refresher: Nerida is a highly regarded economist, with a specific expertise in residential and commercial property. She is currently the MOST quoted property commentator in Australia, the third most quoted economist and a sought-after public speaker, writer and columnist with more than 20 years of property research experience throughout Asia Specific.

So, if you want a PRECISE update on property and economic news here in Australia (and where it’s looking to go from here), then please listen now to get the gold & stay informed.

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

 

Here’s What We Cover…

  • 00:40 – Block your ears non-AFL fans 😉
  • 03:28 – Try this word instead.
  • 05:24 – Meet Nerida…
  • 06:04 – The change & data leak
  • 07:36 – Never Before Revealed: Nerida’s Money Backstory!!
  • 10:46 – Does she carry this through with her own family?
  • 13:24 – Nerida’s property story
  • 14:33 – The current economy – What’s going on?!
  • 16:27 – What will likely unfold in the December quarter?
  • 16:57 – What picks up when we come out of lockdown?
  • 17:12 – The Big Challenge: Iron Ore Prices
  • 17:49 – Where will this show up most in the Aus economy?
  • 18:48 – What might happen if we see higher hospital rates?
  • 21:25 – Australia’s Economy­ – What might happen?
  • 22:38 – The Lack of Migration: How Problematic Is It?
  • 23:39 – The Hot Topic: INFLATION
  • 26:00 – Too Much Risk!?!
  • 26:18 – A Trillion Dollars In Debt: Australia’s Debt Hole
  • 26:47 – How are we going to pay that debt back?
  • 28:15 – Property Update!
  • 29:45 – Breaking News: Josh Frydenberg’s Announcement!
  • 30:08 – Household Debt — Where is it currently at?
  • 31:25 – What does Nerida see happening with the regulations?
  • 35:54 – How do you stop people taking on too much debt?
  • 38:30 – What’s happening with First Home Buyers?
  • 41:46 – What you need to know about immigration
  • 45:04 – The Luxury Market: How is it performing?
  • 46:34 – Listing Volumes – What’s happening now?
  • 49:00 – The Future of Commercial Property in CBDs
  • 52:14 – Unemployment Numbers: The Risk Factors
  • 55:21 – How to NOT save $250! (interesting way to look at things…)
  • 56:28 – Pain & Gain: New Data From CoreLogic

 

 

Episode 336 | Is Price Growth Over? 7 Signs Growth Is Slowing – Chat with Tim Lawless

Is the property market showing signs that growth is SLOWING?

Well, according to Tim Lawless, Head of Research at CoreLogic, it IS – and there are 7 tell-tale signs it’s happening!

That’s right. Joining us today is CoreLogic‘s executive research director for Australasia and indeed one of Australia’s leading property market commentators – and Tim’s noticed quite a few interesting trends in the data that reveal a SLOWDOWN on the strongest growth conditions we’ve seen since the 1980s!

So… is price growth over!?!

And what are the seven signs that suggest capital growth might be changing pace?

 

The 7 Signs…

    1. CoreLogic Home Value Index is already indicating __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __
    2. Lower __ __
    3. Rise in __ __
    4. A lift in __ __ __
    5. Negative __ __
    6. Less __
    7. High __ __ __

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

 

Here’s What We Cover…

02:18 – Will legislation changes in Victoria affect Airbnb properties?

04:15 – Full Summary of How To Win Friends & Influence People!

07:01 – Meet Tim!

08:04 – Was Tim surprised how much the market bounced back?

09:42 – Why is the housing market so important for Australia’s economy?

11:51 – Why do we generally see the government supporting property when there is a downturn?

13:37 – The Multiplier Effect & The Wealth Effect

14:43 – What’s the biggest barrier to the property market?

15:04 – Does Treasury and Government look at the risks of LVR’s and overall debt?

15:36 – The 4 Key Metrics APRA Monitors Very Closely…

16:15 – Will there be credit tightening coming soon?

18:23 – What would this credit tightening look like?

20:53 – The 7 Signs the housing market is moving through peak growth…

21:39 – What’s the catalyst that normally causes a slowdown?

23:56Sign #1 – What’s the hedonic value measuring?

26:47 – Which capital cities are showing this slowdown (and which ones AREN’T)!?!

27:01 – Is this a DOWNWARD trajectory… or just a slowdown in growth?

29:44 – Sign #2 – What’s happening with Auction Clearance Rates?

32:17 – Sign #3 – What’s rising?

34:08 – Sign #4 – What’s lifting that’s contributing to the slowing growth?

35:50 – What’s happening with high rise developments?

36:05 – Unit oversupply: What’s going on?

36:40 – How many investors buy mid to high rise apartments?

38:04 – When will inner city apartments bounce back?

39:05 – If there’s not as many investors in the market, will APRA still need to intervene?

40:20 – Why is the level of household debt so closely monitored?

42:10 – Serviceability assessments…

42:38 – Sign #5 – Negative Population Growth… let’s unpack it!

43:17 – How have property prices grown WITHOUT population growth, anyway?

46:39 – Sign #6 – When Fiscal Support gets taken out of the economy…

49:05 – Why does the government offer grants for NEW properties, not existing?

50:54 – Sign #7 – Where Housing Affordability Comes In…

52:21 – How long does it take to save a deposit across the different states?

56:48 – When was the last time we saw all markets rising like we have?

58:04 – How is CoreLogic measuring the shift to regional markets?

 

And

1:02:10 – Key Takeaway from the episode…

 

 

Episode 335 | The Four Types Of Wealth

Do you know the FOUR types of wealth!?!

Yep. Prosperity, or “wealth”, can be narrowed down to four specific categories – and in today’s episode we’re unpacking each one so you can see where YOUR definition of wealth really sits!

(And if the “Type” you’re consciously or unconsciously chasing will actually get you to your ultimate goals and passive income targets!)

Key Message: Don’t let “1” and “2” rob you of “3” and “4”! 👊

Tune in now to learn all four types of wealth and join us as we deliver the gold straight from the studio (you just might hear Stig drop something in the background… ahhh, it’s great to be back!!!)!

As mentioned in today’s episode… This week only Get 40% off our Start & Build Online Course!

Given current market conditions and the fact that there’s a serious chunk of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) going on, we’ve decided to discount our premium online course “Start & Build” so folks can get access to the correct education and fundamentals of property investing so they DON’T make any rash decisions they’ll regret later! This only course is now even more affordable to access with a significant 40% discount.

So, take advantage of the decade that’s coming, avoid FOMO, get educated on the proven process to build a property portfolio and create the type of wealth you really want for yourself.  40% Discount, 365-Day Money Back Guarantee and 9 Exclusive Bonuses ends THIS Monday (26/04/21) at 11:59pm AEST.

CLICK HERE to see what you get when you try Start & Build today

 

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