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517 | “Negative Gearing Needs to Go”: Have Bryce & Ben Changed Their Mind?

“Negative gearing is symptomatic of a dysfunctional & inequitable property market!” 🏚️💸  

Folks, this is a quote from Ash, one of today’s fantastic question ask-ers.  

And if you’re like us and have been fighting tooth and nail AGAINST abolishing Negative Gearing… 🥊✊ 

You can understand why Ben has described this question as one of the top 3 questions he’s ever been asked on the show!  

Tune in to hear Ben and Ash get into the great negative gearing debate and answer – should it be removed? If yes, what are the alternatives??  


Plus, we cover:  

🏆 We’re going against THE Noel Whittaker! Thoughts on knocking residential property and generational attitudes towards wealth-building. 

🏘️  Restrictions on lending: What are the 2 BIG questions to ask yourself regarding borrowing capacity?  

💰 We don’t vouch for most property owners having five properties. Here’s why.  

It’s an episode that covers the hottest topics at the moment; listen in now!  


Free Stuff  

  • One Spot Left in our 2024/25 Summer Series!
    Help us inspire others by coming onto the couch and sharing your journey towards financial peace! We’ve got one spot left, folks. Share your story here >>  
  • Graphs from Ben’s “What’s Making Property News”: Victoria rentals fast declining! Victoria Rental's Falling
  • Guests & Episodes Mentioned: 
  • Want Episode 515 slides + our 3-part Negative Gearing video series? Just fill out the form below, and we’ll send them straight to your inbox!

 

Questions We Answer

Q1) Thoughts on Noel Whittaker’s Path from Jye

Thoughts on Noel knocking property as an investment when that’s your whole philosophy? (and our whole retirement plan 😬)

Q2) Regulatory limitations for borrowing capacity assessment from Ash

Hi guys, love the show. Thanks for all of the great information and value you provide to the community.

My question is on dealing with regulatory limitations around income when being assessed by lenders for borrowing capacity. I currently own 4 investment properties, and I’m in the process of looking to purchase a 5th.

All of the existing properties have done well with appreciation since they were purchased, so I have about $200,000 of available equity. And the properties in the area that I’m looking at are around the $500,000 to $600,000 mark. So I’m theoretically well covered from a deposit perspective.

My employment income is around $220,000 a year gross. And the investment properties that I have, are returning between 7.0-8.0% yield, against their current value.

Other than the investment properties, I don’t have any additional lending or personal loans, and our primary place of residence is provided by my employer. So our family living expenses, for myself, my wife, and our 3 daughters, are relatively low and we have a reasonably well managed budget that we track.

However, when being assessed for my borrowing capacity by my lender for this next property, I was informed that the restrictions imposed following the royal commission, meant that the lender was only allowed to assess the investment properties as having a maximum of 6% yield each, which results in hundreds of dollars a week, not being able to be included within my available income.

That’s on top of the 3% buffer which is also applied to current interest rates for affordability assessment.

All this to say, that my borrowing capacity based on my “income” is well short of the available equity that I have, despite the fact that all of my existing properties are currently cashflow positive.

While I’m confident I’ll be able to arrange my finances to purchase this 5th property, I don’t see an obvious pathway for being able to purchase any more. Short of waiting for further significant increases in the property values and their assessed yields. If you’re able to offer any guidance as to the best way to navigate an imposed affordability constraint, that would be much appreciated

I’d also be really interested in your take on how some people seem to be able to purchase 30, 50, or 100 properties (if you believe the claims on their social media pages and book covers) without running into this constraint.

It would seem that even with cash flow-producing properties, they would surely be running into the same regulatory limitations on income assessment with the 6% yield limit.

Or is there a strategy that I’m completely missing?

Kind regards,
Ash

Q3) Why Australia loves and hates negative gearing from Jim 

Hi Ben and Bryce! 

I’m a big fan of your work and the podcast. Your focus on empowering the community with knowledge about the property industry and sound financial management skills is fantastic. 

Ben, a shout-out also to the very important work PIPA is doing—couldn’t agree more that the property investment industry needs regulation as soon as possible. So, on to my question (or rather, a topic I’d love to hear more about on an episode): negative gearing. 

As a property investor in Australia, I’m going to say something controversial – negative gearing needs to go. I believe it’s a counterproductive policy, but please hear me out, because there’s an important context to this that merits some discussion from experts like yourselves. 

As a starting point, no one should be investing in an asset that consistently costs them money, relying on PI tax offsets and the hope of a future capital gain that may never materialise. 

I’ve heard the justification that negative gearing is just like any other business where investors should be able to offset financing costs, but in my view this logic is flawed.

In a typical business, debt is used to acquire assets that generate positive cash flow and can be paid off. No business willingly takes on significant debt with the expectation of enduring ongoing cash flow losses in the hopes of one day realising a capital gain. 

If someone approached a stock portfolio this way, we’d call it speculative and reckless – so why should property investment be any different? 

Negative gearing is also a global outlier. In most (but admittedly not all) other countries, property investors do not expect or accept being cash flow negative. Yet in Australia, this has become normalised. 

Why? Because the cost of holding property – largely driven by taxes, rates, and other overheads – is extraordinarily high here. And this, in my view, is where the industry needs to be focusing more attention and policy thinking. 

That said, I agree with you that abolishing negative gearing in isolation would cause significant disruption in the already fragile rental market. 

If investors were to exit the market en masse, as many predict they would without negative gearing, the result would be catastrophic. Rental stock would shrink, and rents would surge even further. 

Therein lies the real dilemma: negative gearing has become an essential feature of Australian property investment precisely because of these inflated holding costs. 

You can’t get rid of one without addressing the other. The current structure of property taxation and regulation in Australia has made positive cash flow investment nearly impossible. 

Take the inability of landlords to pass on council rates to tenants, despite tenants being the direct beneficiaries of council services. This issue barely gets a mention – almost as if the industry is suffering from Stockholm Syndrome. 

Another significant factor is the imposition of extremely high state-level land taxes (especially for those investing through a trust). Again, hardly discussed, despite this tax being a major contributor to the unsustainable costs of holding property. 

Meanwhile, negative gearing in isolation is always front and centre in the debate. These issues together are ripe for reform. Unfortunately, state governments are drunk on land tax as a source of revenue and have little incentive to remove it. 

So if negative gearing is to be abolished (and I suspect it will eventually happen), the federal government must step in and reassert control over property taxation and regulation at a national level. 

Reducing holding costs would ease the financial strain on investors and make property investment more viable and cash-flow positive. 

In that scenario, negative gearing would become irrelevant, just as it is in most other countries. Some, including the Green Party, advocate for rent controls to mitigate the potential impact of constrained rental supply if negative gearing were scrapped. 

In other words, why bother addressing holding costs when you can abolish negative gearing and simply prevent landlords from raising rents? 

This might sound attractive to anyone currently locked-out of the property market by high housing costs, but this approach is really akin to trying to catch smoke with your hands and would be a disaster for renters. 

There’s clear evidence from cities like Berlin and Glasgow that rent controls only lead to higher rents at reset points and a tighter rental market overall. 

It would also be deeply unjust to impose such controls after decades of government policies encouraging and incentivising private property investment as the primary solution for rental housing, with governments effectively outsourcing and stepping away from that responsibility themselves.   

Negative gearing is symptomatic of a dysfunctional and inequitable property market. But advocating for its removal or retention without addressing the issue of holding costs is a bit like rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic – it misses the bigger structural issues threatening the whole shebang. 

What’s needed is a comprehensive overhaul of the property tax system and a rebalancing of investor incentives to align the market with sound economic principles, which will help to protect rental availability and affordability. 

Isn’t this where the industry should be focusing the debate? I’d love to hear your thoughts on this, particularly if you think I’m off base.

 

Timestamps  

  • 0:00 – “Negative Gearing Needs to Go”: Have Bryce & Ben Changed Their Mind?   
  • 1:25 – Download our Negative Gearing video series slides & one spot left in the 2024/25 Summer Series!  
  • 5:22 – Mindset Minute: “This is how most people live their lives”  
  • 7:23 – Q1) Thoughts on Noel Whittaker’s Path from Jye   
  • 8:40 – Why Ben chooses residential property for building wealth 
  • 11:29 – Loss Aversion and how it links to the Pies losing the Grand Final 😉  
  • 12:42 – “There’s no single path to the holy grail.”  
  • 15:26 – Noel happens to live in a beautiful property in…  
  • 17:05 – Ben’s business analogy & Rupert Murdoch’s $150M property  
  • 19:59 – Q2) Regulatory limitations for borrowing capacity assessment from Ash 
  • 22:57 – Throttling investment properties? The answer in short is 100% yes 
  • 26:40 – The 2 big questions for Ash…  
  • 31:53 – Envy Sells: Be wary of these  
  • 33:38 – Folks, only 1% actually make it!  
  • 36:11 – Alternative strategies when regulation limits your borrowing capacity   
  • 38:19 – Q3) Why Australia loves and hates negative gearing from Jim   
  • 44:14 – The political system WON’T reboot the taxation system  
  • 46:09 – The Macro Story: Why are we seeing this?  
  • 49:01 – How it helps the lower-income earners   
  • 50:05 – Why it’s about finding a balance: From wage to workers 
  • 53:53 – “Most people are after power, not legacy.”  
  • 55:35 – What is the alternative to negative gearing? 

And… 

  • 57:14 – Lifehack: Ask for late check-outs from…caravan parks!? 🕰️ 
  • 1:02:04– WMPN: How many properties are available to rent in Victoria?  

 

516 | The Alternatives to Abolishing Negative Gearing (LIVE)

Continuing our LIVE streak, we’re back this week to answer your burning questions on negative gearing and dive into our think tank to drum up EIGHT alternatives to abolishing it! 🔥

Whether you’re curious about how many Aussies are impacted by negative gearing or if it’s possible to get politicians to lift their eyes beyond an election cycle…  

We’re revealing our own list of realistic and actionable solutions to solve our housing crisis, increase density, reduce building costs and much more!  


Here’s what you can expect:  

  • How much tax is generated for the government by positively geared properties? 
  • Eight creative solutions to try BEFORE eliminating negative gearing 
  • How to reduce building costs with cutting-edge technology 
  • Realistic solutions to increase rental supply and affordability  
  • Future concepts to expand and maximise existing infrastructure from pay-to-play to selling airspace  
  • Why properties don’t just disappear! (Tune in to hear Ben forecast rental demand to use the next time you get into that kind of argument around the dinner table 😉) 

For a one-of-a-kind look into how to get more folks onto the property ladder and solve our growing housing crisis, tune in now!


Want last week’s slides + our 3-part Negative Gearing video series? Just fill out the form below, and we’ll send them straight to your inbox!

Free Stuff  

 

Questions We Answer

Q1) Is it a simple as that? From Andrew M

So if 71% (approx. from memory) only buy 1 property and then it quickly declines when you look at 2 and 3 etc. Why do we keep coming back to this argument…is it because it only affects a small amount of people but the rhetoric is good for votes…is it as simple as that?

Q2) How many Australians are affected by negative gearing? From Ashisain

At the end of the day, this is for politics…do we know how many people in Aus are affected by negative gearing? It can’t be substantial enough to affect election outcome.. (individual voters numbers)

Q3) The million-dollar question from Brett A

So the million dollar question is: How do you get politicians to lift their eyes beyond an election cycle?

Q4) How much tax is generated for the government by positively geared properties? From Tyrone P

We know how much negative gearing costs the govt in taxes but do we understand how much tax is generated for govt by positively geared properties? How would abolishing it affect that govt income?

Related graph:

Timestamps  

  • 0:00 – The Alternatives to Abolishing Negative Gearing (Part 2)  
  • 0:43 – Download the slides from Ep 515 | The Truth About Negative Gearing & Capital Gains Tax!  
  • 3:37 – Ep 515 Recap: Everyday Aussies will miss out  
  • 5:28 – Q1) Is it as simple as that?  
  • 8:16 – Who are the people investing in 1 or 2 properties?  
  • 9:53 – Negative gearing is a tax outcome  
  • 11:04 – Q2) How many Australians are affected by negative gearing? From Ashisain & Q3) The million-dollar question  
  • 11:42 – “Elections are all about looking in the margins”  
  • 12:12 – ATO: How many people have seats and are affected by negative gearing? 
  • 13:42 – How have we found ourselves here  
  • 15:05 – Q4) How much tax is generated for the government by positively geared properties?  
  • 16:28 – The net amount of property investors profiting and loss  
  • 20:39 – Think Tank: The alternatives to abolishing negative gearing  
  • 22:50 – The 1% Rezoning Rule  
  • 25:19 – Land Release Scheduling  
  • 27:18 – Higher Density Zoning  
  • 26:16 – Reduce State Gov Taxes & Charges 
  • 32:33 – Land Lease Communities  
  • 36:20 – Household Size Formation 
  • 38:12 – Accessing Super for a Deposit  
  • 40:29 – Reduced Build Costs  
  • 45:57 – Future Concepts: A pay-to-play fee  
  • 48:22 – Selling airspace to increase density  
  • 50:25 – Properties Don’t Disappear: Forecasting rental property demand 
  • 54:17 – Rental Supply & Affordability Ideas
  • 56:25 – Going for granny flats & tiny homes 
  • 57:109 – Ageing and Students: It’s not a room shortage, it’s a housing shortage!  
  • 1:00:27 – Encouraging Build-to-Rent 
  • 1:00:50 – Protecting the public and providing social housing  
  • 1:03:01 – Recap: Knowledge is empowering but ONLY if you act on it. 

 

515 | The Truth About Negative Gearing & Capital Gains Tax (LIVE)

Hey Folks! Today’s Episode is Extra Special – We Went LIVE on the Couch for the First Time in Almost 10 Years! 🎉

And trust us, this is not an episode you want to miss and we strongly recommend you to download the slide deck here (www.thepropertycouch.com.au/negativegearing) to follow along at home.

We’re diving into one of the most debated topics in property investment: Negative Gearing and Capital Gains Tax (CGT).

We start by breaking down the agenda and explaining who will get the most value from this jam-packed discussion. Then, we journey through the history of negative gearing, bust a few myths, and share real-life examples to show you how it actually works.

 

Here’s what you can look forward to:

  • The history of negative gearing and its impact on rents and property supply
  • Fact Check: Does negative gearing truly benefit “greedy investors”? Who really gains the most from this policy?
  • The often-overlooked consequences of eliminating negative gearing
  • Expert insights from our special guest, Antonia Mercorella (CEO of Real Estate Institute of Queensland)

We’ve got fact checks, real-world examples, and expert conclusions to help you see the full picture. Plus, grab the slides from today’s episode here >>

Folks, no matter your views on this topic, we think it’s important to get the conversation going…so share this with a friend or someone you think who will be interested!

 

Free Stuff  

  • Send us your questions on negative gearing & CGT!
    We’re going LIVE again next week (Wed 16th Oct @1.30pm AEDT), and this time Bryce & Ben will be answering all your questions. Keep them coming in on YouTube and Facebook folks!
  • Negative Gearing Video Series + slides from this episode
    Want to know more about negative gearing or view the slides from today’s episode? Fill out the form here >>
  • State of the Housing System 2024 report
    This is the first annual report of the National Housing Supply and Affordability Council and goes into extensive detail about the current state of the housing system.

 

Timestamps  

  • 0:33 – What we’re covering today & who this episode is for!
  • 05:39 – The history of negative gearing
  • 9:53 – Fact Check #1: Did rents increase?
  • 14:22 – Fact Check #2: Did supply decrease?
  • 18:18 – Negative gearing in the 2000s
  • 20:02 – Fact Check #3: Greedy property investors
  • 25:02 – Fact Check #4: Negative gearing doesn’t work
  • 28:57 – Fact Check #5: Who benefits the most?
  • 37:56 – Fact Check #6: Foregone revenue
  • 42:30 – Fact Check #7: Investors don’t pay their fair share of tax
  • 46:08 – The Capital Gains Tax (CGT) story
  • 49:04 – Fact Check #8: Prices “took off” after this?
  • 51:05 – How negative gearing really works – real-life example via Moorr
  • 57:28 – Who are the Australians investing in property & why?
  • 1:02:50 – Welcome Antonia Mercorella!
  • 1:04:38 – What will happen if we get rid of negative gearing?
  • 1:06:59 – Property investors are not ATMs for the states
  • 1:13:46 – Advice for policymakers
  • 1:16:21 – Housing supply challenges
  • 1:23:53 – Housing demand
  • 1:27:40 – Buyer intelligence/behaviour
  • 1:29:03 – Technical ability to buy (true demand)
  • 1:32:40 – Investor behaviour
  • 1:35:05 – The cost to governments
  • 1:37:21 – Consequences #1 and #2: Impact on rental supply & prices
  • 1:39:01 – Consequence #3: Who actually benefits?
  • 1:42:30 – Consequence #4: Risk of new & unaffordable stock
  • 1:44:26 – Consequence #5: Risk of under resourcing
  • 1:46:17 – Access the slides from today’s episode here >>
  • 1:46:35 – Get the conversation going and share this with someone!
  • 1:48:45 – After all is said and done, what’s our conclusion?
  • 1:51:03 – Keep your questions & comments coming! We’ll answer them LIVE next week.

 

 

514 | Property Market Update Spring 2024

What’s happening in Australia’s property scene this quarter? 🤔  

You’re about to find out, because Bryce and Ben are back with all the juicy details in this September quarter property market update! 

From sizzling capital growth drivers to the cooling of certain regional hotspots, uncover the trends you need to know to stay ahead in the property game. Whether you’re curious about rental yields or wondering why vacancy rates are spiking (or dropping) in certain markets, they’ve got you covered. 🏘️ 

But they’re not stopping there!  

Our in-house property pros also break down the numbers, reveal vacancy rates, and explore the supply vs. demand story—giving you everything you need to make those smart investment moves. 

Don’t miss out on this power-packed episode that’ll keep you ahead of the property game! 

 

Free Stuff Mentioned…

  • We’re going LIVE next week – Wed 1.30pm (AEDT)!
    Join Bryce & Ben as they discuss all things negative gearing – from fact-checking experts’ commentary to debunking common myths. Make sure to tune in on Facebook or YouTube and get all your questions answered!
  • 2024 Australian Podcast Awards
    Just a few more days left before voting closes! If we’ve provided value in any way, we’d appreciate if you could vote for The Property Couch here >>
  • Share your story on the podcast!
    Our annual Summer Series is just around the corner, and we’re looking for listeners who have a story to tell! Send your details our way today >>

 

Timestamps

  • 0:00 – Property Market Update Spring 2024 
  • 1:21 – Thoughts on the AFL Grand Final results  
  • 2:27 – We’re going LIVE next week on negative gearing!  
  • 6:07 – Mindset Minute: The property market is a gambling machine…?! 
  • 7:23 – Learning from current trends in the market 
  • 10:17 – Change in dwelling values – capital cities & regional centres 
  • 15:21 – Why is there a strong bias in the bottom 25% quartile? 
  • 16:20 – The very first house Bryce lived in 
  • 19:35 – Which markets are at their peak? 
  • 23:16 – The arrival of the spring listings! 
  • 27:37 – When the tide goes out you can see who’s been swimming naked – Warren Buffett 
  • 29:05 – Is WA a one-trick pony? 
  • 32:54 – Days on market & stock on market 
  • 37:58 – Why are housing approvals so sluggish? 
  • 41:07 – Demand supply ratio (DSR+) across all our capital cities 
  • 42:06 – Ben’s personal strategy…? 
  • 45:51 – The rental story – vacancy rates, changes in rents & gross rental yields  
  • 55:18 – Cooling markets & million-dollar suburbs 
  • 1:00:55 – Market cycle timing play 
  • 1:05:10 – Monthly inflation data & buying counter-cyclical 
  • 1:08:14 – We hope this helps folks decide what to do in this next part of the cycle! 

And… 

  • 1:11:01 – Lifehack: Find the biggest problems and solve them 
  • 1:14:17 – What’s Making Property News: It’s all about negative gearing!! Remember to join us LIVE next Wed at 1.30pm (AEDT) so Bryce & Ben can answer all your burning questions. 

 

382 | “Property Investors are Tired of Being the ATMs for the State!” – Chat with Antonia Mercorella

Queensland has been through A LOT folks.  

With the 2022 floods estimated to cost $2.5B in damage and more than 5,000 homes inhabitable, in the words of today’s podcast guest Antonia Mercorella: 

“We are facing a humanitarian crisis in Queensland”  

Together, we’ll be unpacking the housing crisis that Queenslanders are waking up to every day, how this added demand will impact the states ALREADY struggling rental system… 

AND how REIQ and Q Shelter’s “Help House a Queenslander” campaign can help with the ongoing housing crisis! 

And if the name Antonia Mercorella sounds familiar to you – we’re proud to say it’s because she’s a returning guest from Episode 280!!  

Antonia is not only the Chief Executive Officer at the Real Estate Institute of Queensland (REIQ), but she’s an accomplished CEO and solicitor with more than 20 years of experience across the real estate and property sectors!  

But don’t get us wrong – when we say Queensland’s been through a lot, it’s not all bad!

We’ll be unpacking it from the top, starting with the pandemic when Brisbane’s property market was HOT, and exploring what lifestyle drivers push people to move interstate!  

And let’s just say that Antonia makes a very convincing case to move to the Sunshine State 😉 (Hey, we’re halfway to packing our bags). 

We’ll also be looking at the State Government’s announcement to potentially introduce land taxes and why it’s a terrible idea!!!  

So if you’re interested in what this all means for the future of Queensland’s property market (and the wider Australian market), tune in now!!  

Free Stuff Mentioned

 

Here’s what we cover…

  • 2:18 – Life is all about choices folks!
  • 3:24 – A quick update on what we’re watching… 
  • 7:10 – Welcome back Antonia!!  
  • 8:23 – Antonia’s money story: From immigrants to property investors
  • 12:40 – The Italian culture and its impact on money values  
  • 20:45 – Why is Queensland’s market so heated?!  
  • 28:45 – How gentrification affects the future of a city!  
  • 30:22 – What is the future of Brisbane’s rental vacancies?  
  • 36:30 – “Property Investors are tired of being the ATMs for the State”: Why Antonia is against Queensland’s Land Tax! 
  • 43:56 – Why Ben is also against Queensland’s Land Tax!! 
  • 47:09 – When Victoria tried to introduce Land Tax (and how that ended up!)  
  • 50:38 – What life is like for flood-affected Queenslanders  
  • 54:10 – What does this mean for an ALREADY struggling rental system… 
  • 55:45 – REIQ and Q Shelter’s “Help House a Queenslander” campaign
  • 58:59 – What does the Queensland market need to get out of this crisis?
  • 1:01:03 – How will Queensland’s 2022 floods affect its future property market?
  • 1:02:47 – Antonia’s predictions for housing demand in QLD  
  • 1:05:55 – How climate change is changing asset selection!  

And… 

  • 1:10:45 – Bryce’s lifehack for greater productivity!!  
  • 1:12:19 – Is 2022 the Year of the Unit?  
  • 1:14:23 – All the single ladies (…are getting onto the property market!)  

 

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