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RBA Cash Rate March 2022: When Will We Have The First Rate Rise?

There’s a lot happening in the world since Ben’s previous RBA update and unfortunately, there’s not a lot of great news out there from a geopolitical point of view.

Tune in to this episode where Ben unpacks three key themes for this month’s economic update:

  • What does Russia’s invasion of Ukraine mean for the global economy?
  • When will the first rate rise be?
  • How will the reopening of international borders affect the Australian economy?

 

Plus, Ben also includes his latest news and commentary on…

  • The Russia-Ukraine War and its impact on Global economy
  • Current imposed sanctions on Russia
  • Equity market updates
  • Economic updates for other world economies
  • RBA’s standpoint on inflation and wage growth and their next rate change
  • What impact will the reopening of the international border have on the Australian Economy?
  • And heaps more!

 

 

DISCLAIMER: This podcast is general information only and is an opinion comment by Ben Kingsley. The information contained in this video is for Australian residents only. The information does not take into account the particular investment objectives or financial situation of any potential viewer. It does not constitute, and should not be relied on as, financial or investment advice or recommendations (expressed or implied) and it should not be used as an invitation to take up any investments or investment services. No investment decision or activity should be undertaken on the basis of this information without first seeking qualified and professional advice.

The Property Couch, its employees or contractors do not represent or guarantee that the information is accurate or free from errors or omissions and therefore provide no warranties or guarantees. The Property Couch disclaims any and all duty of care in relation to the information and liability for any reliance on investment decisions, claiming the use or guidance of this publication or information contained within it.

For more information, please visit: http://thepropertycouch.com.au

 

 

 

 

 

 

377 | Property Market Outlook 2022 – Chat with Nerida Conisbee

It’s that time of year when everyone is interested in where the property market is going… And so are we!

That is why we’ve gone and locked in a chat with Australia’s most quoted property commentator, Nerida Conisbee, a great friend to the show as well as Chief Economist at Ray White!

Before we spill all the great things on Nerida’s 2022 Outlook, we want to take a moment and thank all our Summer Series Guests!

It was an honour and privilege to have all of them on the show and we cannot thank them enough for their honesty and transparency on their transformation journey. And if you’ve been equally inspired by their stories, we want you to take action this year and get in touch with us when the time comes for the next Summer Series!

Now folks, back to today’s episode…

If you’ve been listening to us for some time, you would know that Nerida is no stranger to the show. With an innate ability to explain complex economic (and sometimes political) scenarios in a simple and easy to digest manner, Nerida will be reviewing the year just gone.

Of course, that’s not all! (This episode is called 2022 Property Market Outlook after all!)

We’ll be unpacking some of the expected market movement this year, interest rate hikes, affordability and heaps more!

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

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Here’s what we cover…

  • 3:30 – Do you need help with setting up/reviewing your Money SMARTS?
  • 6:30 – Here’s your New Year Resolution from us 😉
  • 7:08 – We’ve got a present for our listener called “Mumof5grownups” who left us a review on iTunes! If that’s you, reach out to us right now at [email protected].
  • 8:08 – Wanna get free access to our Start & Build Course (RRP: $497)?
  • 8:48 – Mindset Minute: Why are the bad days more important than the good days?
  • 10:30 – Meet Nerida Conisbee, our  long-time friend and Chief Economist at Ray White
  • 12:45 – What did the government fail to do but the pandemic didn’t?
  • 14:35 – THIS market was incredibly HOT in 2021… Will it continue in 2022?
  • 17:01 – Which market will be affected by the reopening of international borders?
  • 18:50 – Will the disparity between the house and unit market increase?
  • 21:12 – Is this the Golden Decade for Brisbane?
  • 23:45 – The Affordability Debate and our upcoming Federal Election
  • 26:40 – The rise of the holiday homes!
  • 30:37 – Initiatives to increase supply and improve affordability
  • 32:30 – What can we learn from Singapore’s model on housing supply?
  • 35:15 – The Housing Affordability Inquiry and its challenges
  • 39:50 – Interest rates in 2022! What is the RBA really targeting?
  • 42:40 – Folks, are you ready for a rate hike???
  • 45:38 – The 4th most expensive city in Australia!! Is it sustainable?
  • 50:55 – Will we continue to see a double-digit price growth this year?
  • 53:13 – What will regional markets look like post-pandemic?
  • 56:23 – How are listings looking like in the coming months?

And

  • 59:35 – Renovation tips from Bryce!
  • 1:01:35 – RENT THEFT from the Government?! (#Impossible)

 

 

 

RBA Cash Rate February 2022: Biggest Sure Bet Prediction for Property this year

It’s the first RBA Announcement for the year folks so there are lots to catch up on (take the inflation numbers for example)!

Tune in to this episode where Ben unpacks three key themes for this month’s economic update:

  • The global Omicron wave of the pandemic still playing havoc with the world’s and the Australian economies.
  • Will the RBA hold it nerve on the cash rate in 2022, or will the risk of rising inflation force its hand?
  • What is my biggest sure bet prediction for property this year?

 

Plus, Ben also includes his latest news and commentary on…

  • The challenge for the Global Economy Navigating around Omicron
  • A comparison of Australia, US, UK and Singapore when it comes to managing the pandemic
  • Which key economic indicator are most countries focusing on at the moment?
  • What’s one area of the Chinese economy that you should pay attention to in 2022?
  • Equity market updates
  • Economic updates for other world economies
  • RBA’s standpoint on inflation and their next rate change
  • His sure bet prediction for Property for 2022!
  • And heaps more!

 

 

DISCLAIMER: This podcast is general information only and is an opinion comment by Ben Kingsley. The information contained in this video is for Australian residents only. The information does not take into account the particular investment objectives or financial situation of any potential viewer. It does not constitute, and should not be relied on as, financial or investment advice or recommendations (expressed or implied) and it should not be used as an invitation to take up any investments or investment services. No investment decision or activity should be undertaken on the basis of this information without first seeking qualified and professional advice.

The Property Couch, its employees or contractors do not represent or guarantee that the information is accurate or free from errors or omissions and therefore provide no warranties or guarantees. The Property Couch disclaims any and all duty of care in relation to the information and liability for any reliance on investment decisions, claiming the use or guidance of this publication or information contained within it.

For more information, please visit: http://thepropertycouch.com.au

 

 

 

 

 

 

363 | Exodus to the Regions – Will this Trend Reverse? – Chat with Dr Nicola Powell

This data is hot off the press folks!! 🔥🔥🔥

It’s no secret that property prices have grown quite a bit lately, but recent data is showing that we’re breaking records!

Here’s a snippet from Domain’s media release just a week ago:

September Quarter 2021 House Price Report shows Australian house prices experiencing a historical rate of growth at 21.9%, the fastest annual rate of growth on record with median house prices at almost $1 million nationally.

But…what does this mean for both sellers and buyers? Is this likely to stay or are we going to see a crash in the new year? Is this growth even sustainable with our current economy?!

AND…

Will the Regional Exodus Backflip?!!

There are heaps of moving parts here and we know it can get a little overwhelming…

So we’ve outsourced and brought in an expert to help us out.

And yes, we’ve been teasing you about her for the past few weeks so bring on the drum roll please…

🥁🥁🥁

Joining us on the show today is none other than Dr Nicola Powell, Chief of Research & Economics for Domain and one of Australia’s leading property market experts!

With more than 15 years’ research experience that spans academic, government and private sector, Nicola is the leading force behind Domain’s regular data reports that keep the Australian public up to date on what’s happening in the market.

Safe to say that we’re in good hands folks.

Tune in to find out more!

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

 

Here’s What We Cover…

  • 1:57 – Mindset minute: It’s better to hang out with people _______ than you, pick out associates whose __________ is better than yours and you’ll _____________.
  • 3:09 – Meet our first-time special guest, Dr Nicola Powell!!
  • 4:00 – How did a science doctorate degree morph into a career in economics?!
  • 5:58 – How she translate hard cold data into behavioural logic and patterns
  • 8:33 – Nicola’s Money Story and what she’s telling her kids now?
  • 11:50 – How did her conservative upbringing shape her money management habits?
  • 13:38 – Where are we RIGHT NOW in our Property Cycle?
  • 14:42 – GROWING AT $1,200 A DAY?!
  • 15:00 – Is this record growth rate expected to continue?
  • 15:46 – Is there any good news from the September Quarter Housing Data?
  • 18:37 – Sydneysiders: Forever Renting or Cross the Borders
  • 20:54 – What has the pandemic accelerated for Sydneysiders?
  • 22:57 – The shift to a different property type…
  • 27:13 – How did the Most Lock-downed City still have a Record Price Growth Rate?!
  • 28:54 – Will the Regional Exodus Backflip?!
  • 30:21 – The biggest social experiment that has proven one key thing…
  • 31:15 – What’s the new buzzword of the pandemic?
  • 32:07 – A little nugget on Price Growth trend!
  • 33:40 – An Aging Population and Its Impact on Supply
  • 36:00 – Areas where they’ll be a risk of a reversal in property price…
  • 39:00 – Is APRA’s Macroprudential changes necessary to influence Demand?
  • 40:53 – When will interest rates start to rise?
  • 42:00 – Which of these two events will trigger the interest rate hike?
  • 43:45 – (HOT) Markets around Australia with still rooms for growth!!
  • 46:08 – Household size and misallocation of housing stocks in Australia…
  • 47:00 – What needs to be disrupted to improve affordability?
  • 48:41 – The Stamp Duty Debate: Lump sum or Annual Repayment?
  • 50:17 – Surprising Find from Domain’s Submission on Housing Affordability…
  • 52:00 – Residential property as an investment class to store family wealth – Yay or Nay?

And of course…

  • 56:37 – A camping trailer life hack that can potentially save your relationship! 😉
  • 59:09  – Ben’s quick update on RBA’s view on their Bond Program

 

 

Episode 358 | Too Much Risk? Australian Property & Economic Update – Chat with Nerida Conisbee

Breaking news just in on the property & economic front, folks!

There’s clearly quite a bit going on with the health crisis, soaring property market and… just announced this week… an indication that a tightening of lending might be coming sooner than we think!

Despite price growth in the current market being led primarily by owner-occupiers, the risks around rising household debt may mean that APRA and the financial regulators will step in to prevent the build-up of future risks to the broader economy…

The question is: If they’re going to pull the handbrake, What Would This Look Like and WHEN Would It Happen?

Here to unpack all this, as well as the latest Australian Property & Economic Update is our good friend Nerida Conisbee, Chief Economist at Ray White.

Now, if you’ve heard Nerida’s data-driven insights and wisdom on the show before, you might’ve noticed she’s had a little change in title from Chief Economist at the REA Group… And if you haven’t heard from her before (you’re in for a real treat!) or simply need a refresher: Nerida is a highly regarded economist, with a specific expertise in residential and commercial property. She is currently the MOST quoted property commentator in Australia, the third most quoted economist and a sought-after public speaker, writer and columnist with more than 20 years of property research experience throughout Asia Specific.

So, if you want a PRECISE update on property and economic news here in Australia (and where it’s looking to go from here), then please listen now to get the gold & stay informed.

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

 

Here’s What We Cover…

  • 00:40 – Block your ears non-AFL fans 😉
  • 03:28 – Try this word instead.
  • 05:24 – Meet Nerida…
  • 06:04 – The change & data leak
  • 07:36 – Never Before Revealed: Nerida’s Money Backstory!!
  • 10:46 – Does she carry this through with her own family?
  • 13:24 – Nerida’s property story
  • 14:33 – The current economy – What’s going on?!
  • 16:27 – What will likely unfold in the December quarter?
  • 16:57 – What picks up when we come out of lockdown?
  • 17:12 – The Big Challenge: Iron Ore Prices
  • 17:49 – Where will this show up most in the Aus economy?
  • 18:48 – What might happen if we see higher hospital rates?
  • 21:25 – Australia’s Economy­ – What might happen?
  • 22:38 – The Lack of Migration: How Problematic Is It?
  • 23:39 – The Hot Topic: INFLATION
  • 26:00 – Too Much Risk!?!
  • 26:18 – A Trillion Dollars In Debt: Australia’s Debt Hole
  • 26:47 – How are we going to pay that debt back?
  • 28:15 – Property Update!
  • 29:45 – Breaking News: Josh Frydenberg’s Announcement!
  • 30:08 – Household Debt — Where is it currently at?
  • 31:25 – What does Nerida see happening with the regulations?
  • 35:54 – How do you stop people taking on too much debt?
  • 38:30 – What’s happening with First Home Buyers?
  • 41:46 – What you need to know about immigration
  • 45:04 – The Luxury Market: How is it performing?
  • 46:34 – Listing Volumes – What’s happening now?
  • 49:00 – The Future of Commercial Property in CBDs
  • 52:14 – Unemployment Numbers: The Risk Factors
  • 55:21 – How to NOT save $250! (interesting way to look at things…)
  • 56:28 – Pain & Gain: New Data From CoreLogic

 

 

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