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Episode 234 | Have We Bottomed Out Sooner Than We Thought? The Exclusive Data Insights from Louis Christopher from SQM Research

Well, well, well…. Have we hit the bottom of the market folks???

In the shadows of the election — aka the Coalition’s surprise victory — it appears that confidence has returned to the property market!

And now the crystal ball question — “When’s the bottom of the property market happening?”may not be as cryptic (or as distant from us!!) as we first thought!

So. What do we mean by this?

Well, let’s put it another way… We jumped on a plane last week especially to bring you back the insights from today’s guest!!! And you just might recognise him —Louis Christopher the Director of SQM Research and one of Australia’s most respected and impartial Research Property Analysts. He has extensive knowledge and experience of property and is regular quoted in the media on his insights!

And he’s NOT afraid to tell it like it is.

So… what’s his latest data suggesting?

Before you meet the man behind the media and get to hear his forecasts, we just want to remind you that, yes, even though PICA likely had a bit of an impact on the election results, our work on behalf of all Australian property investors is by no means done.

And as Ben talks about in today’s show —- there’s obvious MUCH more PICA’s aiming to achieve, so if you’d like to become a member for as little as $5, please Become a Member Today.

Is something stopping you from joining PICA? Let Ben know here.

Here’s what we discuss in today’s episode:

  • What happened with Louis’s grandma that made him interested in property?
  • What’d he do to make his tenants pay rent on time? (Warning: not for everyone!)
  • What used to happen in the data space?
  • Why was there controversy starting SQM?
  • What data was he desperate to get his hands on? How’d they get it?
  • What does SQM stand for?
  • What else do they measure aside from property data?
  • How do they pick the turning point of the market place?
  • How often do they “get it right”?
  • Are the observations coming out from the election revealing a trend?
  • What does he see happening in the next 2 – 4 years?
  • And what had he modelled if Liberal was re-elected?
  • How has the uncertainty of the market been lifted?
  • How will APRA’s recent changes affect the property market?
  • Will the RBA cut their rate by MORE than 25 basis points next month?
  • What are the issues with Auction Clearance Rates?
  • Can they forecast for Capital Growth?
  • What do they use at a locality level vs the macro level?
  • How does he measure fair market value?
  • Is it a good idea to have a market that’s totally dependent on housing?
  • Is the Australian economy looking up?
  • Why’s it hard to create inflation if there is so much debt?
  • What happened to rents and construction levels in 1985?
  • What makes for a good economy?
  • The First Home Buyers Deposit Scheme: Will it have a material or immaterial impact on the property market?
  • What do we think of the NRAS scheme?
  • Is it time to invest in Perth??
  • Does a rental market predict that capital growth will likely happen?

AND THE BIGGIE…

  • When’s the bottom of the market likely going to happen?

Episode 020 | Science of Asset Selection – The Buyer’s Decision Quadrant

There are many factors at play when looking for an investment property, but did you know there’s actually a science behind selecting assets Ep 20 - science of asset selection Buyers Decision Quadrant 2

Yep that’s right folks! This science is called: The Buyers Decision Quadrant  

It’s made up of… 

  1. Price
  2. Location  
  3. Land proportion  
  4. Quality of Dwelling 

We’ll explain what each one means, and while the concept is quite simple, the real achievement is understanding which part of the quadrant you are willing to compromise on and which is non-negotiable.  

We’re also looking at some great case studies (one of which was a fictional case study…until this case study rang up Bryce to share her almost exact financial and personal story!!)… 

And comparing 1970s and 1990s apartments, and which one has fared better over time!  

Folks, it is rare for an investment property to tick all the boxes, and most of the time, you will need to journey through the Buyers Decision Quadrant to make the right decision for you!  

So keep this episode on repeat ‘cos we think this one will help with making those hard decisions again and again!  

 

Also, The Property Couch is hoping to get nominated for the Investor’s Choice Award 2015 for the category: Property Educator/Mentor. We would like to spread the word out on the podcast so that we can help more people avoid making bad investment choices and avoid buying the wrong asset. So if you think we are doing a good job, please do nominate us here.

Our details for nomination:InvestorChoiceAwards

Name of the Organisation: The Property Couch
Name of the Person you deal with: Bryce Holdaway and Ben Kingsley
Suburb: North Melbourne
State: VIC
Phone number: 03 9326 8900
Email address: info@thepropertycouch.com.au

 

Free Stuff Mentioned:  

  • Just starting your property investing journey? Check out our FREE Binge Guide to the Foundations of Property, Finance and Money Management, which show you which episodes you need to understand the basics! Or fill in the form below and we’ll email it to you right away.  

    • Are you also interested to have a better understanding of your cashflow position via our FREE Money SMARTS Platform?
    • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.
  • Check out Bryce’s article “Earn $2500 A Week at Retirement” which was featured in Money Magazine.  

 

Here’s some of the gold we cover…

  • 2:08 – What is the Buyers Decision Quadrant? 
  • 3:00 – Quadrant #1  
  • 5:25 – Quadrant #2  
  • 6:17 – How THIS can make up for the selecting the wrong property  
  • 9:25 – Listen to this cookbook analogy (Pure gold!) 
  • 11:50 – How Bryce’s fictional case study became non-fiction  
  • 13:53 – Quadrant #3  
  • 15:04 – Quadrant #4  
  • 15:22 – A real example: Family with 2 young kids   
  • 16:22 – The future of the Australian property market! 
  • 17:07 – Ask yourselves these questions before buying… 
  • 18:50 – Do you want to be an active or passive investor?  
  • 20:06 – Comparing 1970s and 1990s apartments  
  • 23:45 – If you’re checking out our podcast on our website…  

 

Episode 005 | Four Pillars of Mastery – Asset Selection

 We’re going to let you in on a secret for selecting great assets… 

Look at the big picture BEFORE the property!  

That’s right folks! We’ll be discussing this (and more!) as part of the third episode which focuses on A for Asset Selection in our ABCD Property Investment Formula.  

And while most think they score an A+ in this area, we look at a couple pitfalls that can cause people to score an F!  

Bryce discusses why you should avoid being sold on “The Bling!” (Think shiny taps and sparkling stainless steel…yep, he definitely fell for that one 😉)  

…and instead, what other areas you should be focusing on when selecting an asset! Is investing in new or old properties better? And how important is location and land value?  

On top of that, we look at the big question on everyone’s mind: Who should you be taking property investing advice from anyway??  

Tune in for all this and more in today’s episode!  

 ✨ Plus don’t miss Ben’s golden return ratio which could completely change the way you select your assets! ✨ 

 

Free Stuff Mentioned:  

Just starting your property investing journey? Check out our FREE Binge Guide to the Foundations of Property, Finance and Money Management, which shows you which episodes you need to understand the basics! Or fill in the form below and we’ll email it to you right away. 


  • Are you also interested to have a better understanding of your cashflow position via our FREE Money SMARTS Platform?
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

  

Here’s some of the gold we cover…

  • 1:40 – The Big Picture of Asset Selection 
  • 2:33 – Folks, property is an emotional asset!! 
  • 3:00 – What is the Growth story?  
  • 4:12 – A bit of gold for our listeners… 
  • 4:45 – Why medium and high-density areas are different to this golden rule? 
  • 6:00 – Why is asset location so important?  
  • 7:10 – Ben’s “ugly duckling to swan” property story! 
  • 8:15 – Using the Telescope vs. Microscope approach  
  • 9:25 – Bryce’s first property: Don’t be sold on the bling too!  
  • 10:10 – What is the buyers quadrant?  
  • 11:28 – First-time property investors – don’t be seduced by ____!  
  • 13:31 – How new properties are sold  
  • 15:15 – The generational difference: Apartment vs. house properties 
  • 16:30 – It’s NOT about land content it’s about…   
  • 18:00 – A good rule of thumb for land to asset ratio! 
  • 19:30 – WHO should you be taking your advice from when buying an investment property? 
  • 22:00 – Send us your questions!   

 

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