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Episode 234 | Have We Bottomed Out Sooner Than We Thought? The Exclusive Data Insights from Louis Christopher from SQM Research

Well, well, well…. Have we hit the bottom of the market folks???

In the shadows of the election — aka the Coalition’s surprise victory — it appears that confidence has returned to the property market!

And now the crystal ball question — “When’s the bottom of the property market happening?”may not be as cryptic (or as distant from us!!) as we first thought!

So. What do we mean by this?

Well, let’s put it another way… We jumped on a plane last week especially to bring you back the insights from today’s guest!!! And you just might recognise him —Louis Christopher the Director of SQM Research and one of Australia’s most respected and impartial Research Property Analysts. He has extensive knowledge and experience of property and is regular quoted in the media on his insights!

And he’s NOT afraid to tell it like it is.

So… what’s his latest data suggesting?

Before you meet the man behind the media and get to hear his forecasts, we just want to remind you that, yes, even though PICA likely had a bit of an impact on the election results, our work on behalf of all Australian property investors is by no means done.

And as Ben talks about in today’s show —- there’s obvious MUCH more PICA’s aiming to achieve, so if you’d like to become a member for as little as $5, please Become a Member Today.

Is something stopping you from joining PICA? Let Ben know here.

Here’s what we discuss in today’s episode:

  • What happened with Louis’s grandma that made him interested in property?
  • What’d he do to make his tenants pay rent on time? (Warning: not for everyone!)
  • What used to happen in the data space?
  • Why was there controversy starting SQM?
  • What data was he desperate to get his hands on? How’d they get it?
  • What does SQM stand for?
  • What else do they measure aside from property data?
  • How do they pick the turning point of the market place?
  • How often do they “get it right”?
  • Are the observations coming out from the election revealing a trend?
  • What does he see happening in the next 2 – 4 years?
  • And what had he modelled if Liberal was re-elected?
  • How has the uncertainty of the market been lifted?
  • How will APRA’s recent changes affect the property market?
  • Will the RBA cut their rate by MORE than 25 basis points next month?
  • What are the issues with Auction Clearance Rates?
  • Can they forecast for Capital Growth?
  • What do they use at a locality level vs the macro level?
  • How does he measure fair market value?
  • Is it a good idea to have a market that’s totally dependent on housing?
  • Is the Australian economy looking up?
  • Why’s it hard to create inflation if there is so much debt?
  • What happened to rents and construction levels in 1985?
  • What makes for a good economy?
  • The First Home Buyers Deposit Scheme: Will it have a material or immaterial impact on the property market?
  • What do we think of the NRAS scheme?
  • Is it time to invest in Perth??
  • Does a rental market predict that capital growth will likely happen?

AND THE BIGGIE…

  • When’s the bottom of the market likely going to happen?

Episode 233 | Is it Tick, Tick… Boom? Post Election & Off the Plan Pain with Angie Zigomanis from BIS Oxford Economics

Well, folks — Australia’s officially had their say after Saturday’s voting spree… and The Coalition are holding tight on their power for another term! Which surprised a lot of us. BUT there is a silver lining…

… Negative Gearing has survived another day!!

Which basically means… NO dumb policy is about to cripple the property market any time soon!!

But the question remains… what are we in for now??

Joining us today is Angie Zigomanis, Senior Manager at BIS Oxford Economics and he’s got his binoculars pointing to the horizon… because the data he’s been scrutinising is exposing a LOT about what we’re about the see unfold in the property market!

The big picture??

Off the Plan properties…. !!!

Resources mentioned in today’s show:

Oh, and if you’re around tonight folks, tune in to Escape From the CityBryce is on ABC TV TONIGHT at 8:00PM!

Here’s what you’re in for…

  • Our election stories: how’d we get the news?
  • Where does BIS Oxford Economics sit in the economic arena?
  • And how many different countries do they analyse?
  • What did they discover about negative gearing changes prior to the election?
  • What happened to the stock market AFTER the election?
  • What’s likely to happen with business confidence as a result?
  • How is the First Home Buyers Deposit going to affect the property market?
  • What’s happening with construction?
  • Will we start to see economic growth?
  • How likely is it that the RBA is going to DROP their cash rate next month?
  • What did Governor Phillip Lowe state in his press conference on Tuesday?
  • What have APRA done with their assessment rate?
  • What’s the latest with the US/China Trade Talks?
  • How might the Australian economy be affected by this?
  • PERILS OF OFF THE PLAN: What is the data revealing about Off the Plan Properties?
  • In Melbourne alone, how many were sold at a loss?
  • Who is most likely to be the second buyer of Off the Plan properties?
  • What may happen to developments in future?

Is affordability a real issue?

Episode 225 | Breaking News with Dr Shane Oliver – Are We in Store for a Global Recession?

Folks, we have a very special guest on today … Dr Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist at AMP Capital!! (Ben was a bit giddy, ha!)

So, if you’re keen to hear the latest economic news across the property AND stock market, or you want the intel on how the cogs of the economy run … then you’d best hit play on this one!

To give you an idea, Shane Oliver is responsible for determining AMP Capital’s investment strategy and asset allocation and also provides economic forecasts and analysis to the asset class portfolio managers. And chances are, you’ve seen his face somewhere in the news because Shane is also a regular media commentator on major economic and investment market issues and has been with AMP for over 30 years!

And he’s not just an expert on this stuff, he’s also excellent at breaking down complex economic updates into simplified, bite-sized pieces!

Oh, and as mentioned on today’s show, he’s often providing live updates on Twitter, so if you’re keen to get his economic insights his twitter handle is @ShaneOliverAMP

 

Other resources mentioned in today’s show…

(And, don’t forget… CLICK HERE to Find Out About our AFL Competition – Epic Prizes!)

 

So… What are you in for?

 

 

Episode 221 | Dr. Andrew Wilson – The Scare Campaign We Had To Have

“Housing markets shouldn’t be leading monetary policy; they’re a response to monetary policy.” — Dr Andrew Wilson

 

Folks, our guest for this week is Dr Andrew Wilson, Chief Economist at My Housing Market, who is sounding more bullish than bearish when it comes to Australia’s property market and overall economic outlook!

To give you an idea, Dr Wilson provides comprehensive property market insights and is a highly-regarded and prolific housing market speaker, as well as a keynote presenter for the Committee for Economic Development of Australia (CEDA) and an appointed housing market expert and adviser to the Federal Government funded Australian Urban Research Infrastructure Network. He’s also a repeat offender on the Couch, gracing us with his invaluable insights all the way back in Episode 87!

Oh, and of course, he also holds a PhD and Masters by Research in Housing Market Economics. Just sayin’.

So if the uncertainty of the property market is sending your confidence out of whack, let’s go up 30ft around the country and see what’s coming up over that hill. You’ll get a sneak peek at some of the regions that might be worth your attention this year, as well as when the interest rate will potentially drop this year, according to the Chief Economist himself.

Spoiler… the Scare Campaign just might lose its edge!

 

While we don’t want to take the limelight from today’s guest… we should probably let you know here too…. The Property Couch Turns FOUR this week!! Yep, it’s our 4th Birthday, wooooooo 🙂

To help us celebrate, you’ve all made Make Money Simple Again, our latest money management book, a #1 Best Seller! So thank you for our awesome gift!!!! (According to Ben, “We’re now officially out of nappies.”)

 

 Here’s What You’ll Learn in This Episode…

  • What’s Happening Around the Grounds In the Australian Property Market?
  • Will confidence shift any time soon?
  • What are Auction Clearance Rates in Sydney demonstrating at the moment?
  • What are the pressing economic insights coming to light at the moment?
  • Why hasn’t monetary policy worked?
  • When does Dr Andrew Wilson think RBA might drop the cash rate?
  • What p[problems are we facing now?
  • What’s going to happen with new developments this year?
  • Have we seen the peak of the apartment boom?
  • How is an interest rate rise a GOOD thing?
  • What’s the current savings-ratio? When was the last time it was this low?
  • What must you focus on in order to get a loan approved?
  • What does Andrew think about the Royal Commission’s findings?
  • How is employment and wage growth feeding into the economic climate?
  • How will the international economy affect Australia’s economy?
  • What’s Dr Wilson’s message to property investing over the next 2 -3 years?
  • Can you expect a roller coaster ride?
  • What’s his opinion on the Negative Gearing Policy?
  • Are developers in favour of the Negative Gearing Policty? Why/Why not?
  • What are the POSITIVES we’re seeing in the market?
  • How many auctions were in Melbourne last week? How many sold?
  • What will likely be the top performing area this year?
  • When’s a good time to think about buying?

 

We also take a trip around every Australian State and Territory in Australia, so expect to find insights into…

  • Predictions for houses and units in each area (GOLD!)
  • In and around Sydney
  • Melbourne and its regions
  • Adelaide
  • Hobart
  • Far North and Central QLD – including, Sunshine Coast, Mackay, Cairns
  • Perth (and what the vacancy rates are suggesting)
  • Darwin

 

 

 

 

Episode 139 | Pete Wargent, Multimillionaire at Age 33: How did he do it?

It’s podcast day, yay! Today we have a special guest on indeed — Pete Wargent!

Aside from achieving financial freedom at AGE 33 (yep) through property investing primarily in London and Sydney, Pete is now one of Australia’s leading experts on market trends, co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers, a 4-time published author, a Buyers Agent and a blogger —http://petewargent.blogspot.com.au/

 

Originally from the UK and now living in Brisbane, Pete has a worldly insight into investing, finance, shares and is our first guest who achieved a passive income with an international property portfolio. So how many properties did it take Pete to retire?

Pete and the boys discuss:

  • How he retired as a multimillionaire in his early 30s (Pete works for fun now)
  • What he did after he said goodbye to his fulltime job as a Chartered Accountant
  • When and why he started investing
  • Why he has never sold a property (Does investing for the long term actually matter?)
  • Investing in London and the considerations involved
  • The problems with drawing comparisons with world cities (i.e. Melbourne Vs London)
  • Pete’s Property Investment Mistakes
  • The consequence of Brexit on property investors
  • His thoughts on franking credits
  • Does he recommend Australians buy in London?
  • The hard lessons of growing up in a recession
  • What is the equity target to achieve a passive income?
  • The important variables to identify a trend to find investment grade markets
  • Investing in Sydney vs investing in Brisbane (he has now invested in Brisbane)
  • The importance of taking action
  • What NOT to do if you’re investing in the stock market
  • His investment decision on off the plan/high density apartments

 

Pete’s own books and seminar mentioned:

 

Interested to join us on Facebook LIVE next Wednesday, 4th of October at 7:30pm? Register your interest here!

 

 

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