X

461 | Why AI, Office Culture and Medium Density has the Power to Revolutionise Australia’s Property Market! – Chat with Simon Kuestenmacher

What will a post-covid-Australia world look like? 🌎

What trends can be predicted with Australia’s greatest migration in history currently ongoing? And yet, why is today’s skill shortage here to stay?

Meanwhile, in property, why do we think we’re headed towards the roaring 30s and 40s?

 

Folks this is just a SNIPPET of the questions we’re asking our favourite German-accented data expert. Can you guess who it is?? 😉

Returning to The Property Couch after over 100 episodes is our favourite data demographic diver, Simon Kuestenmacher, Co-Founder of The Demographics Group!

(And if you didn’t know, The Demographics Group is led by Bernard Salt, one of Australia’s most sought-after social commentators! Simon not only works with this legend but is a rising star globally himself, renowned in the field of data management and insight.)

In this episode, we’re covering TONS of ground from Australia’s superpower (and how it’s changed throughout COVID) to the ONE THING we’re not willing to compromise on with property.

Plus, if you want to discover how intergenerational wealth and the commuter belt are highly interrelated or why office culture matters to property, tune into today’s insightful and motivational episode now! 😊

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

Listen to the episodes mentioned today!

(NOT FREE) Check out Simon’s new book which comes out in October! Transform the way you see and understand storytelling through Marvellous Maps!

 

Timestamps

  • 0:00 – The incoming data dump!
  • 4:07 Mindset Minute – The 7 Disciplines you should focus our energies on
  • 11:25 – Welcome back, Simon!
  • 12:25 – What happened last time Simon was on the couch…
  • 14:50 – The RBA is fighting an uphill battle  
  • 19:07 – Here’s what the RBA SHOULD be doing!
  • 22:21 – Did the RBA make the right decision? (+ what we’re seeing now)
  • 25:36 – Australia & The Tyranny of Distance
  • 27:31 – The highest net migration in history?!
  • 30:05 – Where we are headed in the next 65 years
  • 34:07 – The Missing Middle
  • 35:55 – Human behaviour and the power of Medium Density
  • 42:14 – The skill shortage is here to stay…
  • 43:47 – Australians are NOT willing to compromise on this 🤪
  • 47:19 – How has home ownership changed over the years?
  • 52:41 – Why unemployment and AI is actually good?!
  • 54:46 – How office culture impacts the demand for property
  • 1:04:25 – The link between the commuter belt & intergenerational wealth transfer
  • 1:05:16 – The Wealth-on-Wealth Effect
  • 1:10:55 – Future trends & embracing change
  • 1:14:22 – Simon’s Marvellous Maps!
  • 1:15:57 – What can we expect from the 2030s?

And…

  • 1:21:10 – Phew! Thank you Simon
  • 1:26:55 Lifehack: Demographics gives you an edge. Here’s how you can find out more!
  • 1:28:47 What’s Making Property News? The thousands of millions of dollars coming through…

 

 

459 | How Can We Solve Australia’s Growing Demand for Property? – Chat with Paul Ryan

 

 

As new property listings surge higher and the housing market continues to recover post-COVID, how can we solve Australia’s growing demand for property in the capital cities?

Here to help us tackle this giant question that pierces the heart of one of Australia’s biggest upcoming issues, we’re introducing an exceptional, first-time guest to the show…

Welcome Paul Ryan, REA Economist and Specialist in Housing Finance, Market Forecasting and Big Data Analysis! Before joining REA in late 2020, Paul spent a decade at the Reserve Bank of Australia conducting research on the Australian economy, focusing on housing markets, lending risks and regulatory effects on property markets.

Today, we’ll use his vast knowledge and incontestable passion for Macro and Microeconomics to explain how and why property investors act the way we do!

From exploring why we are moving houses less as a nation to unpacking how this upcoming period is an interesting one for property investors, we’re examining the policies that dictate our actions, and the intriguing behavioural patterns and beliefs that have emerged as a result.

Thank you to Paul for sharing so much of your time, wisdom and valuable insights, we can’t wait to have you back on the couch!

Seriously, give it a listen now folks 😊🌌✨

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

 

Timestamps

  • 0:00 – The incoming gold
  • 04:41 – Folks, we don’t always get it right!
  • 15:32 – Mindset Minute: “All success is simply relative to somebody else”
  • 21:23 – Welcome Paul Ryan!
  • 23:05 – Money Backstory: Shares, vets & extreme delayed gratification
  • 24:00 – From science to economics
  • 29:11 – The transition from Macro to Microeconomic insights
  • 29:55 – An insider’s look into working at the RBA!
  • 34:24 – Is the housing market a huge risk?
  • 36:29 – Do people really move around less than they used to?
  • 38:02 – So…why does the RBA care about economic activity?
  • 40:25 – Bank Lending: Why is there a higher risk for Owner Occupiers?
  • 42:15 – Why Stamp Duty is important in Australia!
  • 43:05 – Does the theory translate?
  • 43:59 – The banks won’t run THIS equation 😉
  • 46:15 – Australia vs. International Housing Markets: Anomalies & Debt Levels
  • 48:30: Is it bad for households or renters to have their home owned by another household?
  • 51:15: What’s happened to the property market since the start of 2023?
  • 52:28 – Why it’s an interesting time for property!
  • 54:50 – Are the prices of property really growing?
  • 56:40 – And what about investor activity?
  • 58:31 – Regional Markets since the Pandemic: Where does the commuter belt stretch to?
  • 1:03:30 – The Intrinsic Value of Property
  • 1:03:23 – Why property growth is like…g_a_i_ _?!
  • 1:05:30 –“Homes are not being built where people want to live”
  • 1:06:15 -The fascinating linking between data & people!
  • 1:07:45 – How do we build more homes in our cities?
  • 1:13:40 – The next wave of data allowing us to understand property investors 😮
  • 1:13:58 – Interest Rate Outlook: Are we close to the top of rates?
  • 1:15:40 – Paul’s Perspective: What should APRA’s role REALLY be with the Buffer Rate!?

And…

  • 1:21:13 – Lifehack: Did you know you can share a YouTube Link that starts at a specific time?! Here’s how…
  • 1:22:54 – WMPN: You’ve got 2 months to object to your land valuation!

 

RBA Cash Rate July 2023: The Close Rate Call

 

Note: If you’re a regular listener of Ben’s RBA releases, you may have noticed that this update is relatively concise. We’ve mentioned on the podcast that Ben won’t be providing a detailed economic breakdown for this release due to personal reasons. However, rest assured that we will resume our regular programming for the August 2023 release. 😊

Before delving into this month’s RBA Release, it is crucial to acknowledge the current climate of uncertainty, which has led some Australians to make rash decisions relating to their finances. We have seen some members of our community considering delaying their wedding plans, selling their cars, and even selling their properties.

While some of those decisions are well-considered, we are concerned that others might be jumping the gun a bit too soon.

There is no doubt that the stress level when it comes to money is at an all-time high, and we are seeing a similar trend of uncertainty, like at the start of COVID. Back then, to help our community better understand their cash flow, we built this tool called MoneySTRETCH, which lets you know how long your money will last if there’s a change in your circumstances. It really helped our community then.

 

What is MoneySTRETCH?

In a nutshell, this tool lets you know how long your money will last if there’s a change in your circumstances.

For example, if interest rates go 2% or 3% higher, you can enter the expected repayment value to see the impact on your current and future financial position – down to the exact cent and month! Can you last another 36 months at your current spending level if interest rates are at 9% as another example.

And yes, it can pretty much cater to other questions such as:

Can I even afford anything anymore? Should I take up a second job? Should I start a family this year? Maybe I should push back our wedding. Should I quit this job that I love and get a higher-paying job? Do I have to sell off my car? Should I sell off my property?

Now that we are facing another round of uncertainty, we thought we would share this tool with a wider community and hopefully help others in making better and more informed financial decisions.

If you would like to know more, click here to find out how Money Stretch can empower you to make more informed financial decisions.

 

Free Mortgage Review

Alternatively, if you would like to book a free and no-obligation consultation with us to review your finances and potentially, chase down a better deal and save more interest, simply fill in the form below to get in touch for a Free Mortgage Review.

Or Click here to learn more about our mortgage team.

Name(Required)
This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

 

 

Now, let’s get into the RBA announcement.

 

Transcript:

Ben Kingsley here with an important message for all of us mortgage holders.

Today the RBA board met and they kept the cash rate on hold at 4.10%. Now that said, inflation is still a little bit of a problem so we may be still to see higher interest rates in the short term. Why am I bringing this up as a message? Well it’s really important because at the moment our mortgage costs have been higher than they have been for many many years.

It’s too often I see households which don’t take action. They just accept the current status quo and pay the higher interest rates and pay those higher repayments to their lenders.

Well, I’m here to tell you that if you do ask the question, there are potentially thousands of dollars in interest savings available to you. By way of example, just in the last 12 months alone, our award-winning mortgage broking team has saved over $3.5 million in interest costs.

So again, you’ve got to ask the question.

Now, what I am saying in terms of what’s happening from a competitive environment in the mortgage space is number one; there are still cashback offers available in the space. Now, what does that mean? Well, it means you could be reversing maybe one or two interest rate rises with several thousands of dollars in cash back.

In addition to that, we’re seeing super competitive interest rates. So we do know in the industry, we call it a loyalty tax. So if you’ve been with the land for, say, two or three years, you’re often paying higher interest rates than new customers pay for that exact same bank product. So it’s really important that you continue to keep shopping around.

And finally, one of the latest developments in this space is around refinancing – if you’re trapped in mortgage prison. So you may have gone back to your current lender and they said, look, there’s nothing we can do. And you’re thinking you can’t move because maybe six months ago you spoke to another lender and they said no. Well, there are recent developments around how servicing calculators can be worked around to allow you to refinance from your existing lender. We call that mortgage prison into a new, cheaper line. So even that is worth asking the question from your broker.

 

Now, if you don’t have a broker or if you’re not happy with your broker, we are definitely putting our hands up here at Empower Wealth, which is our award-winning mortgage brokerage team.

And we are saying to you, let us be that. Ask the question through us. Our services are completely free of charge to you. So what are you waiting for? You’ve got everything to gain and very little to lose. Let us do all the work for you in terms of hunting down a better deal. And if we can’t get a better deal, you haven’t lost anything other than just asking the question.

So if you’re interested in asking the question, all you need to do is fill in your details below and we’ll be in contact with you shortly.

Let’s go out there and chase down a better deal. That money is worth more to you than it is to the bank. Let’s go on and hunt, and find that money for you.

Free Mortgage Review

Name(Required)
This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

 

 

410 | What Happens Next? Market Reset, Rental Crisis and How To Solve It All! – Chat with Eleanor Creagh

Want to know what’s actually going on with Australia’s anxiety-inducing rental crisis 

Or where the market is really heading (based on insider’s data and knowledge?!)  

Well folks, we’ve got an extremely wise and exciting guest sitting on the couch today to share just this! Please welcome…. 

Eleanor Creagh!  

She is the Senior Economist at REA Group (the brains behind realestate.com.au) and is a trusted financial commentator.  

Specialising in property, financial markets and macroeconomic policy, she has a wealth of experience and knowledge within both domestic and international markets, and… 

She’s here to share all of this knowledge today!  

Here’s a sneak peek of the Q’s she’s tackling… 

👉 Is the Commuter belt boundary extending??
👉  Are we truly locked and loaded for a market crash
👉 Will Units vs. Houses be favourable in this cycle
👉 How do the experts identify we’re in a rental crisis and more importantly, how do we get OUT of one?!? 
👉 What is a realistic market forecast for 2022/23?
👉 How much further will interest rates really rise? 

 And so much more!!  

(Including how she made her life changing career jump, from studying Veterinary Medicine…and ended up in Australia!!)  

Tune in now to discover what the data reveals about today’s market, and where it’s really headed! 🤓  

 

Free Stuff Mentioned… 

  • Want to be on The Couch? We’re calling all potential 2022/23 Summer Series Guests! If you’d like to share your story, reach out to Stig here (We’d love to hear from you!!). 
  • PIPA’s 2022 Breakfast – The Property Investment Professionals of Australia (PIPA) is hosting a breakfast seminar! The event will feature an expert panel who will discuss the future of property investment, especially in light of QLD’s New Land Tax. Click to get your tickets.  
  • Read the results from PIPA’s Annual Property Investor Sentiment Survey 2022 here, and its official statement on its findings here.
  • For more from Eleanor Creagh, read her articles published on realestate.com.au
  • Leave us a Question! Have a problem you don’t know how to solve? Ask us on our SpeakPipe now. (Plus, you’ll get a free Start & Build course!) 

 

Want to work with Bryce & Ben’s Award-Winning Team? 

 

Here’s some of the gold we cover… 

  • 0:00 – The Incoming Gold! 
  • 2:31 – Exciting things on the horizon! (Don’t miss your chance to get on the couch!)  
  • 3:47 – The world is not driven by greed, it’s driven by E_ _ y!  
  • 6:43 – Introducing Eleanor Creagh!  
  • 7:40 – How Eleanor went from Veterinary Medicine to…Economics?!?  
  • 10:25 – Her First Job & Moving to Australia! 
  • 12:07 – Getting fined by the family ledger 😂  
  • 14:12 – From financially conservative to becoming a confident investor 
  • 16:25 – Australia vs. UK’s Property Market  
  • 17:37 – Trends REA’s observing in the 2022 market…  
  • 21:33 – This is how realestate.com.au tracks demand!  
  • 22:54 – Have Australia’s Auction Rates found their bottom?!  
  • 24:54 – Measuring Buyers Intent: how many folks are still property hunting?  
  • 27:27 – Unpacking markets within markets!  
  • 30:20 – Is the Commuter Belt expanding?!? 
  • 32:43 – Immigration & The Regional Shift!  
  • 34:51 – The Big Rental Squeeze  
  • 36:50 – How To Solve Australia’s Grand Rental Crisis  
  • 38:51 – Houses Vs. Units: What will we see favoured in this market cycle?  
  • 41:18 – We see THIS in every market cycle… 
  • 42:00 – APRA’s immovable buffer rate: what does it mean for you?? 
  • 48:05 – Eleanor’s Crystal Ball: What can we expect from the RBA and its interest rate?  
  • 52:27 – Is inflationary pressure set to ease?  
  • 54:08 – Realestate.com.au’s ultimate 2022 outlook  
  • 55:21 – Predictions of Each State  

And… 

  • 56:33 – Reflecting on the chat today… 
  • 58:59 – What folks need to do over the next couple months!  
  • 59:56 – What does your phone know about you??  
  • 1:02:43 – THIS is what we discovered from PIPA’s Sentiment Survey (Spoiler: QLD’s land tax is NOT helping the market!)  
  • 1:08:55 – This is the group that will suffer the most…🙁  
  • 1:11:35 – No less than a 300% increase?!  
  • 1:13:32 – Stay tuned….We’re flying to the Premier’s office next week!?!

 

389 | Interest Rate Rise: What this means for YOU! – Chat with Evan Lucas

Right. Let’s get this out of the way first… 

Interest rate rises shouldn’t be scary!  

There might be some panic-inducing headlines floating around (Especially after the Reserve Bank of Australia’s announcement to raise interest rates for the first time in over a decade)  

But in reality, rising interest rates are not bad! 

To help us explain why this is true, we’ve got a NEW guest on The Property Couch… 

Meet Evan Lucas, Chief Market Strategist at InvestSmart! He is an accomplished financial markets professional who has been investing in and researching global markets for more than a decade!

Evan gained experience at several top-tier global institutions and has worked with the likes of ABN Amro, the Royal Bank of Scotland and RBSMorgans!!  

On top of debunking this idea, we’ll be uncovering… 

📈 Why the RBA has decided to lift interest rates now, 

📈 How inflation psychology actually works (plus how to flip your mindset around it!)  

📈 And of course, does this change mean you should go with a fixed or variable interest rate?!? 

(PLUS, the RBA and politics, predictions for the future, AND SO MUCH MORE!!!) 

Evan will also be sharing his money story growing up and explaining what the GREATEST ASSET you can buy with money is! 

So tune in now to cut through the noise and understand the who, what, and why behind rising interest rates!  

 

Free Stuff Mentioned… 

  

Here’s some of the gold we cover… 

  • 2:10 – Stay close to your Mortgage Brokers folks! 
  • 3:00 – Don’t get anxious…get understanding!!  
  • 4:22 – Welcome Evan Lucas!  
  • 5:30 – Evan’s journey to where he is today… 
  • 10:35 – The elephant paradigm! 🐘 
  • 15:02 – Money can buy you the greatest asset of all: T____.  
  • 26:08 – What does buying T___ look like in everyday life?  
  • 30:02 – Why is the property market so special?!?
  • 34:44 – Evan explains the reasoning behind the RBA’s cash rate hike (and what “The 3 Mandates” are!)  
  • 38:45 – How to flip your mindset folks!  
  • 45:51 – Why the rising interest rates shouldn’t be scary! (And it’s actually a…positive?!)  
  • 48:03 – How does inflation psychology work??  
  • 52:04 – How is the global economy and supply chain influencing Australia’s market?  
  • 55:15 – Breaking down Australia’s employment figures!  
  • 1:01:04 – Should folks choose fixed or variable interest rates??  
  • 1:04:51 – What we predict for the future!  
  • 1:09:39 – Will the RBA’s decision impact the Federal Government’s Election??  

And… 

  • 16:23 – Let’s recap: How to buy your time back and why rising interest rates are good!  
  • 1:20:49 – Never waste time re-opening tabs again (This one’s for you Google Chrome users!)  
  • 1:22:15 – Beware Scammers folks! Listen to this to understand how they work.  

 

Instagram

Free Resources

What to be notified when there are
new updates & free resources?

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

×

MONEY SMARTS SYSTEM

Plus We Will Also Notify You When We Release New Episodes

We Only Send You Awesome Stuff

×

SUGGEST A GUEST!

We Only Send You Awesome Stuff

×