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512 | Solving Australia’s Housing Crisis: The Real Issues We’re Overlooking – Chat with Tim Reardon

Why aren’t we building enough homes to meet Australia’s housing demand? 🤔  

It’s a complex question with political, economic, and historical layers, and to help us make sense of it all, we’ve brought in an industry expert…    

In this episode, we’re chatting with Tim Reardon, Chief Economist at the Housing Industry Association (HIA)!  

The HIA has been representing the Australian residential building industry for more than 75 years, using feedback from builders, tradies, manufacturers, and suppliers across Australia to ensure its economic outlook is based on real-world industry knowledge. 

In this episode, we dive into:  

📉 The restrictions on foreign investment and how it’s impacting housing supply
🏗️ Impacts of rising material and labour costs post-COVID
📉 Why we’re only building half the number of apartments we need
🔑 The political and economic roadblocks holding back home construction, and more!  

Listen now if you’re wondering what it’ll take to solve Australia’s housing crisis.

 

Free Stuff Mentioned…

  • Vote for The Property Couch!
    If we’ve added any value for you, we’re asking you to vote for us at the 2024 Australian Podcast Awards! Help us to reach and positively transform more folk’s money management, finance and property investing knowledge across Australia. Cast your vote now >>   
  • 2025 Summer Series is just around the corner, and we want YOU to be part of it! Let’s normalise money conversations and pull back the curtain on how these successful property investors achieved the financial peace their reaping today.  Got a story? Send it our way today >>
  • (NOT FREE) The Housing Industry Association’s (HIA) Housing Outlook – State & National Report
    Stay informed with HIA’s latest quarterly forecasts on home building and renovation trends, both in your state and across Australia. Learn more now >>  

 

Timestamps

  • 1:18 – Ben fist-bumped the founder of Google?! 
  • 5:13 – Our prelim predictions 😉🏉 
  • 6:43 – 2025 Summer series shoutout! 
  • 7:00 – If we’ve given you any value, please vote for us at the 2024 Australian Podcast Awards 😊  
  • 10:37 Mindset Minute: Why you don’t have as much time as you may think!  
  • 13:04 – Welcome, Tim Reardon!  
  • 14:03 – The #1 overlooked factor that’s affecting the future of our housing market  
  • 15:17 – Why are we caught in an “infinite loop” with high-rise builds?  
  • 18:42 – Money Story: The link between farms and economics 📈 
  • 20:46 – Escaping the farm cycle and the central role of land  
  • 24:38 – “Telling stories to builders”: The road to HIA  
  • 26:42 – Who pays to make water flow uphill?  
  • 32:02 – How can other states “unwind” the problems?  
  • 33:52 – What’s a house and land package worth across Australia? 
  • 35:37 – Why South Australia is doing it right  
  • 38:17 – Inclusionary Zoning: Why should the costs be shared?   
  • 41:08 – How can the Government solve Australia’s supply issues?  
  • 45:01 – Does Tim believe change is realistic?  
  • 47:17 – Western Australia: What good policy looks like in action  
  • 51:27 – The Greens’ movement against landlords    
  • 52:58 – The politics behind banning foreign investors  
  • 57:40 – Transforming the narrative 
  • 1:02:30 – Can 3D printing and AI offer a solution?  

And… 

  • 1:07:48 – Thank you, Tim! Keeping politicians honest and combining coalface feedback with economic data 
  • 1:11:47 – Lifehack: Kids vs. Leather car seats 😉  
  • 1:12:42 – WMPN: Calling out the Liberal party…  

 

484 | Cracking the Code: Mastering the 60% Land to Asset Ratio

 

With soaring immigration and construction hitting historic lows, Australia’s property market faces an accommodation crisis. 

In Bryce’s words, “Disincentives have been happening for over a decade.”   

Kicking off our first Q&A session for 2024, we’re diving into the widespread economic and political factors that have become “the perfect recipe” for today’s housing crisis.  

We also dissect how to master the 60% of land-to-asset ratios and tackle this burning question:   

Is Brisbane a wise choice for investment with the 2032 Olympics on the horizon? Can we anticipate a property surge post-game? 

 Tune in now to find out! 

  

P.S. Happy International Women’s Day! To celebrate all the incredible women in our lives, how far we’ve come, and the work still to be done, we’ve got a special message from some of our great friends and past guests on The Property Couch. 

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

  • Moorr Webinar: Best Tools for the Job – What to Use When?
    7:30pm AEDT, 19 March
    Within Moorr, our money management platform, there are currently over 25 features and tools, providing more than 100 different insights! In our webinar we’ll guide you on the best tools for the job and reveal how all your data comes together to give you meaningful insights through our “track your progress” approach to money management. Find out more or reserve your spot >>  
  • Previous Episodes mentioned: 480 | How to FAIL to Retire on $2K Per Week 

 

Graphs mentioned

484 - Q2 Land to Value Ratios

 

Questions We Answer 

 Q1) Investment in Brisbane for 2032 Olympics from Jeremy  

“Hey Bryce and Ben, this is Jeremy from Brisbane. 

I’ve been listening to you guys now for approximately five months after I discovered your book. I’m up to episode 95 today, plus the one a week that you release. 

With this level of immersion, I think I’m actually hearing you guys talk in my dreams. I think I’ve finally got past the foreign language sign ups too, which is a big step. 

I really appreciate what you guys are offering with your knowledge and insight based on your experiences and expertise, it’s really helping me personally to make better choices in regards to where I’m coming with my investments. 

Anyway, the question is, what do you think about investing in the areas that are being upgraded for the upcoming Olympics in Brisbane? 

Do you think they will be good up until then and then crash, or at least decline? 

Or you believe that the infrastructure in the area will then support the growth for years to come? 

Thanks boys. Appreciate your help and keep up with work” 

 

Q2) Land to Asset Ratio from Bronwyn 

 “Hi Ben and Bryce, my name is Bronwyn and I just wanted to ask a general question in regards to Land values. We talk about Land to Asset ratios when purchasing property.  

I do have a property, and this doesn’t need to be generally specific to that property, but the council valuations or government valuations on the land are far lower than what land is being sold for in the area.   

I just wanted to understand when you’re looking at land to asset ratios, which land value were we actually utilizing to get our percentages?”  

 

Q3) Challenges in Addressing the Accommodation Crisis from Michael 

“Hi Bryce and Ben, my name is Michael. 

I’m interested in your thoughts on the accommodation crisis gripping our country at the moment. We have record levels of immigration while we are recording all time low levels in building approvals and building completions. Builders are going bankrupt every day and leaving the industry. 

We have a skills shortage with a lack of trades people available to do the work. Material costs keep rising faster than inflation there’s a shortage of land to develop, increasing interest rates are severely limiting the amount borrowers can obtain from the banks and APRA are still insisting bank apply a 3% test on interest rates charged. 

The only solution government seems to be able to come up with is to subsidise build to rent with land tax concessions, and massive investment in public housing. But there are not enough trades to build these dwellings. At the same time, the government punishes property investors with higher taxes, increased compliance costs, expectations of ever increasing standards and accommodation provision, and taxes on short term accommodation. 

With private sector provides 97% of private rental accommodation yet I can’t think of one incentive that is being provided to motivate them to provide more. 40% of the build cost goes to three level of government. I feel this needs to be reduced. I would like to see the removal of stamp duty for purchases buying off the plan in order to feed the pipeline for greater supply. 

This will provide developers and necessary pre-purchases required to obtain construction funding. The development section has been in decline ever since stamp duty concessions for off the plan purchases were removed several years ago. 

I’m interested on your thoughts on this proposal and whether you have any other ideas. Thanks.”  

 

Timestamps

  • 0:00 – Cracking the Code: Mastering the 60% Land to Asset Ratio   
  • 2:47 – Happy International Women’s Day!  
  • 10:07 – Moorr Webinar: The best tools for the job…  
  • 12:34 – Mindset Minute: Gold from Poor Charlie’s Almanack  
  • 21:00 – “The time horizon speak is directly proportional to…” 
  • 23:47 – Q1) Investment in Brisbane for 2032 Olympics 
  • 25:35 – What really matters for economic and property growth  
  • 29:03 – The benefits will actually be spread across Australia…  
  • 31:12 – Olympic-sized successes and failures  
  • 35:38 – What happens after the torch?  
  • 36:03 – Our verdict!  
  • 37:46 Q2) Land to Asset Ratio 
  • 38:48 – How to crack the 60% land-to-asset ratio 
  • 41:39 – Note! There are different costs for different types of builds  
  • 42:27 – Hack for properties that are older than 30 years!  
  • 45:08 – Watch the YouTube video to see this in-depth graph  
  • 46:28 – Why we prefer older over new properties  
  • 47:42 – Talk to your local Buyers Agents!  
  • 48:25 – What happens if you don’t care about land value?  
  • 50:05 Q3) Challenges in Addressing the Accommodation Crisis
  • 52:13 – Why did the builders tap out?  
  • 53:27 – The recipe for short-term disaster  
  • 57:31 – “We’ve Been Disincentivised for Over a Decade” 
  • 1:02:27 – Victoria’s Minimum Standards are a great example of this!  

And… 

  • 1:03:49 – Lifehack: How to improve your sleep quality  
  • 1:06:55 – WMPN 1) Fact-checking the Greens  
  • 1:12:02 – WMPN 2) NSW’s “No-Ground Eviction” up for debate 

 

483 | Housing is Undersupplied, So WHY are Home Values Falling? – Chat with Eliza Owen

 

In this week’s episode, we’re welcoming back an incredibly passionate and eloquent data analysis and reporting expert who is ALSO a returning guest. Please welcome back… 

Eliza Owen, Head of Residential Research Australia at CoreLogic!    

With her experience as a housing market researcher spanning nearly a decade, Eliza has reported on many of Australia’s critical housing issues, from affordability and credit conditions to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on market performance. 

In this episode, we’ll use her brilliant insights to explore precisely WHY we see the numbers in today’s property market, like…   

🏠 With Australia facing an undersupplied housing crisis, why are some market values still falling?!    

📉 How is the housing market defying economic predictions?    

🔄  And what’s going on with the inverse relationship between property values and interest rates?!    

Listen now to find out!  

  

P.S.  Stay tuned till the end for a sneak peek at CoreLogic’s webinar with Eliza & Effie Zahos, celebrating International Women’s Day and all the women in property. 🎉 

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

 

Graphs mentioned

Timestamps

  • 0:00 – Housing is Undersupplied, So WHY are Home Values Falling?  
  • 1:32 – Our 9th Birthday, can you help us + PICA Webinar Replay  
  • 4:09 – Mindset Minute: The Paradigm for Investors 
  • 9:17 – Welcome back Eliza Owen!  
  • 10:40 – Recap & Money Backstory  
  • 12:05 – Eliza has never used a credit card: Financial conversations & emotional responses to money 
  • 16:48 – Why she decided to buy a unit over a house!  
  • 21:56 – If housing is so undersupplied, why are some markets falling in value? 
  • 24:35 – How does changing family and renter demographics affect demand?  
  • 27:46 – The social problem with housing  
  • 30:18 – What is True Demand?  
  • 31:44 – If interest rates go down, will APRA’s 3% buffer rate go down  
  • 32:50 – How the housing market is defying economic indicators 
  • 33:43 – The inverse relationship of property values and interest rates  
  • 36:48 – 25.6% of properties purchased in cash?!  
  • 38:22 – The masterstroke in Western Australia’s market  
  • 41:24Are we seeing green shoots?  
  • 44:05 – How much of what we saw in 2023 is due to behavioural economics?  
  • 45:31 – If rates don’t pause, will more homeowners be forced to sell?  
  • 48:46 – The changing gap between housing and units 
  • 54:08 – The Substitution Effect: The Buyers of 2015/16 
  • 59:11 – Why CoreLogic’s “Women & Property” report matters 

And…  

  • 1:05:09 – What a fantastic session, thank you Eliza!  
  • 1:07:44 – Lifehack: How to stop feeling overwhelmed when juggling life  
  • 1:10:52 – WMPN: Greens going to vote against Labor’s Home Deposit Scheme 😮  

 

466 | Like a Snake swallowing a Goat: Why interest rates aren’t controlling inflation – Chat with Nerida Conisbee

 

With today’s geopolitical tensions and growing inflation uncertainty, how is Australia’s commercial, construction and property sectors faring?

Plus, what can we expect from next week’s cash rate decision and why has this instrument been so ineffective in stopping inflation?!

Their big questions folks and luckily, here to help us unpack them is Nerida Conisbee, our good friend and Chief Economist at Ray White!

Nerida is a leading property expert who sits as the Chair of the Construction Forecasting Council and is a member of the Australian Taxation Office’s Foreign Investment Stakeholder Group.

As someone who provides regular updates on property market conditions to major Government bodies, Nerida will share her fantastic insights and help us to unpack…

 

👉 Why Australia needs to embrace density!
👉 Why has the Cash Rate been ineffective in dealing with inflation?
👉 How can tax concessions solve our housing supply problems?
👉 Are office assets no longer a safe class?!
👉 The commercial sector’s newest focus
👉 The property class that’s become most listed on Ray White, and
👉 A breakdown of CoreLogic’s November report!

Another timely and insightful property and economic update from Nerida, tune in now folks!

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

  • Check our Nerida’s previous episodes here >> (Tune in to 7:36 of Ep 358 to hear her Money Backstory!)
  • Read CoreLogic’s November Report here >>
  • Read PIPA’s 2023 Sentiment Survey (from What’s Making Property News!) here >>

 

Timestamps

  • 0:00 – Like a Snake swallowing a Goat: Why interest rates aren’t controlling inflation
  • 3:45 – Mindset Minute: If you squeeze an orange…
  • 6:34 – Welcome back Nerida!
  • 8:29 – The ACIF & Australia’s construction industry
  • 12:35 – How does industry impact Government Bodies?
  • 15:48 – Inflation uncertainty + Cash Rate predictions!
  • 19:50 – How can we get rid of NIBYSM with our spending?
  • 22:44 – Why the Cash Rate has been ineffective with controlling inflation
  • 25:50 – The Biggest Headwinds in Housing
  • 29:39 – CoreLogic’s November Report: The strongest market in Australia, price growth, and more…
  • 33:01 – Why we need to embrace density!
  • 36:34 – Using tax concessions to solve short-term housing supply…
  • 42:26 – The newest focus of the commercial sector!
  • 45:13 – These properties have seen the greatest changes in listings
  • 50:20 – Wow! Thank you Nerida 😊

And…

  • 52:07 – Lifehack: The Secret Behind Long Life
  • 56:50 – WMPN: What are investors looking to get out of property?

 

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