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RBA Cash Rate July 2023: The Close Rate Call

 

Note: If you’re a regular listener of Ben’s RBA releases, you may have noticed that this update is relatively concise. We’ve mentioned on the podcast that Ben won’t be providing a detailed economic breakdown for this release due to personal reasons. However, rest assured that we will resume our regular programming for the August 2023 release. 😊

Before delving into this month’s RBA Release, it is crucial to acknowledge the current climate of uncertainty, which has led some Australians to make rash decisions relating to their finances. We have seen some members of our community considering delaying their wedding plans, selling their cars, and even selling their properties.

While some of those decisions are well-considered, we are concerned that others might be jumping the gun a bit too soon.

There is no doubt that the stress level when it comes to money is at an all-time high, and we are seeing a similar trend of uncertainty, like at the start of COVID. Back then, to help our community better understand their cash flow, we built this tool called MoneySTRETCH, which lets you know how long your money will last if there’s a change in your circumstances. It really helped our community then.

 

What is MoneySTRETCH?

In a nutshell, this tool lets you know how long your money will last if there’s a change in your circumstances.

For example, if interest rates go 2% or 3% higher, you can enter the expected repayment value to see the impact on your current and future financial position – down to the exact cent and month! Can you last another 36 months at your current spending level if interest rates are at 9% as another example.

And yes, it can pretty much cater to other questions such as:

Can I even afford anything anymore? Should I take up a second job? Should I start a family this year? Maybe I should push back our wedding. Should I quit this job that I love and get a higher-paying job? Do I have to sell off my car? Should I sell off my property?

Now that we are facing another round of uncertainty, we thought we would share this tool with a wider community and hopefully help others in making better and more informed financial decisions.

If you would like to know more, click here to find out how Money Stretch can empower you to make more informed financial decisions.

 

Free Mortgage Review

Alternatively, if you would like to book a free and no-obligation consultation with us to review your finances and potentially, chase down a better deal and save more interest, simply fill in the form below to get in touch for a Free Mortgage Review.

Or Click here to learn more about our mortgage team.

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Now, let’s get into the RBA announcement.

 

Transcript:

Ben Kingsley here with an important message for all of us mortgage holders.

Today the RBA board met and they kept the cash rate on hold at 4.10%. Now that said, inflation is still a little bit of a problem so we may be still to see higher interest rates in the short term. Why am I bringing this up as a message? Well it’s really important because at the moment our mortgage costs have been higher than they have been for many many years.

It’s too often I see households which don’t take action. They just accept the current status quo and pay the higher interest rates and pay those higher repayments to their lenders.

Well, I’m here to tell you that if you do ask the question, there are potentially thousands of dollars in interest savings available to you. By way of example, just in the last 12 months alone, our award-winning mortgage broking team has saved over $3.5 million in interest costs.

So again, you’ve got to ask the question.

Now, what I am saying in terms of what’s happening from a competitive environment in the mortgage space is number one; there are still cashback offers available in the space. Now, what does that mean? Well, it means you could be reversing maybe one or two interest rate rises with several thousands of dollars in cash back.

In addition to that, we’re seeing super competitive interest rates. So we do know in the industry, we call it a loyalty tax. So if you’ve been with the land for, say, two or three years, you’re often paying higher interest rates than new customers pay for that exact same bank product. So it’s really important that you continue to keep shopping around.

And finally, one of the latest developments in this space is around refinancing – if you’re trapped in mortgage prison. So you may have gone back to your current lender and they said, look, there’s nothing we can do. And you’re thinking you can’t move because maybe six months ago you spoke to another lender and they said no. Well, there are recent developments around how servicing calculators can be worked around to allow you to refinance from your existing lender. We call that mortgage prison into a new, cheaper line. So even that is worth asking the question from your broker.

 

Now, if you don’t have a broker or if you’re not happy with your broker, we are definitely putting our hands up here at Empower Wealth, which is our award-winning mortgage brokerage team.

And we are saying to you, let us be that. Ask the question through us. Our services are completely free of charge to you. So what are you waiting for? You’ve got everything to gain and very little to lose. Let us do all the work for you in terms of hunting down a better deal. And if we can’t get a better deal, you haven’t lost anything other than just asking the question.

So if you’re interested in asking the question, all you need to do is fill in your details below and we’ll be in contact with you shortly.

Let’s go out there and chase down a better deal. That money is worth more to you than it is to the bank. Let’s go on and hunt, and find that money for you.

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410 | What Happens Next? Market Reset, Rental Crisis and How To Solve It All! – Chat with Eleanor Creagh

Want to know what’s actually going on with Australia’s anxiety-inducing rental crisis 

Or where the market is really heading (based on insider’s data and knowledge?!)  

Well folks, we’ve got an extremely wise and exciting guest sitting on the couch today to share just this! Please welcome…. 

Eleanor Creagh!  

She is the Senior Economist at REA Group (the brains behind realestate.com.au) and is a trusted financial commentator.  

Specialising in property, financial markets and macroeconomic policy, she has a wealth of experience and knowledge within both domestic and international markets, and… 

She’s here to share all of this knowledge today!  

Here’s a sneak peek of the Q’s she’s tackling… 

👉 Is the Commuter belt boundary extending??
👉  Are we truly locked and loaded for a market crash
👉 Will Units vs. Houses be favourable in this cycle
👉 How do the experts identify we’re in a rental crisis and more importantly, how do we get OUT of one?!? 
👉 What is a realistic market forecast for 2022/23?
👉 How much further will interest rates really rise? 

 And so much more!!  

(Including how she made her life changing career jump, from studying Veterinary Medicine…and ended up in Australia!!)  

Tune in now to discover what the data reveals about today’s market, and where it’s really headed! 🤓  

 

Free Stuff Mentioned… 

  • Want to be on The Couch? We’re calling all potential 2022/23 Summer Series Guests! If you’d like to share your story, reach out to Stig here (We’d love to hear from you!!). 
  • PIPA’s 2022 Breakfast – The Property Investment Professionals of Australia (PIPA) is hosting a breakfast seminar! The event will feature an expert panel who will discuss the future of property investment, especially in light of QLD’s New Land Tax. Click to get your tickets.  
  • Read the results from PIPA’s Annual Property Investor Sentiment Survey 2022 here, and its official statement on its findings here.
  • For more from Eleanor Creagh, read her articles published on realestate.com.au
  • Leave us a Question! Have a problem you don’t know how to solve? Ask us on our SpeakPipe now. (Plus, you’ll get a free Start & Build course!) 

 

Want to work with Bryce & Ben’s Award-Winning Team? 

 

Here’s some of the gold we cover… 

  • 0:00 – The Incoming Gold! 
  • 2:31 – Exciting things on the horizon! (Don’t miss your chance to get on the couch!)  
  • 3:47 – The world is not driven by greed, it’s driven by E_ _ y!  
  • 6:43 – Introducing Eleanor Creagh!  
  • 7:40 – How Eleanor went from Veterinary Medicine to…Economics?!?  
  • 10:25 – Her First Job & Moving to Australia! 
  • 12:07 – Getting fined by the family ledger 😂  
  • 14:12 – From financially conservative to becoming a confident investor 
  • 16:25 – Australia vs. UK’s Property Market  
  • 17:37 – Trends REA’s observing in the 2022 market…  
  • 21:33 – This is how realestate.com.au tracks demand!  
  • 22:54 – Have Australia’s Auction Rates found their bottom?!  
  • 24:54 – Measuring Buyers Intent: how many folks are still property hunting?  
  • 27:27 – Unpacking markets within markets!  
  • 30:20 – Is the Commuter Belt expanding?!? 
  • 32:43 – Immigration & The Regional Shift!  
  • 34:51 – The Big Rental Squeeze  
  • 36:50 – How To Solve Australia’s Grand Rental Crisis  
  • 38:51 – Houses Vs. Units: What will we see favoured in this market cycle?  
  • 41:18 – We see THIS in every market cycle… 
  • 42:00 – APRA’s immovable buffer rate: what does it mean for you?? 
  • 48:05 – Eleanor’s Crystal Ball: What can we expect from the RBA and its interest rate?  
  • 52:27 – Is inflationary pressure set to ease?  
  • 54:08 – Realestate.com.au’s ultimate 2022 outlook  
  • 55:21 – Predictions of Each State  

And… 

  • 56:33 – Reflecting on the chat today… 
  • 58:59 – What folks need to do over the next couple months!  
  • 59:56 – What does your phone know about you??  
  • 1:02:43 – THIS is what we discovered from PIPA’s Sentiment Survey (Spoiler: QLD’s land tax is NOT helping the market!)  
  • 1:08:55 – This is the group that will suffer the most…🙁  
  • 1:11:35 – No less than a 300% increase?!  
  • 1:13:32 – Stay tuned….We’re flying to the Premier’s office next week!?!

 

389 | Interest Rate Rise: What this means for YOU! – Chat with Evan Lucas

Right. Let’s get this out of the way first… 

Interest rate rises shouldn’t be scary!  

There might be some panic-inducing headlines floating around (Especially after the Reserve Bank of Australia’s announcement to raise interest rates for the first time in over a decade)  

But in reality, rising interest rates are not bad! 

To help us explain why this is true, we’ve got a NEW guest on The Property Couch… 

Meet Evan Lucas, Chief Market Strategist at InvestSmart! He is an accomplished financial markets professional who has been investing in and researching global markets for more than a decade!

Evan gained experience at several top-tier global institutions and has worked with the likes of ABN Amro, the Royal Bank of Scotland and RBSMorgans!!  

On top of debunking this idea, we’ll be uncovering… 

📈 Why the RBA has decided to lift interest rates now, 

📈 How inflation psychology actually works (plus how to flip your mindset around it!)  

📈 And of course, does this change mean you should go with a fixed or variable interest rate?!? 

(PLUS, the RBA and politics, predictions for the future, AND SO MUCH MORE!!!) 

Evan will also be sharing his money story growing up and explaining what the GREATEST ASSET you can buy with money is! 

So tune in now to cut through the noise and understand the who, what, and why behind rising interest rates!  

 

Free Stuff Mentioned… 

  

Here’s some of the gold we cover… 

  • 2:10 – Stay close to your Mortgage Brokers folks! 
  • 3:00 – Don’t get anxious…get understanding!!  
  • 4:22 – Welcome Evan Lucas!  
  • 5:30 – Evan’s journey to where he is today… 
  • 10:35 – The elephant paradigm! 🐘 
  • 15:02 – Money can buy you the greatest asset of all: T____.  
  • 26:08 – What does buying T___ look like in everyday life?  
  • 30:02 – Why is the property market so special?!?
  • 34:44 – Evan explains the reasoning behind the RBA’s cash rate hike (and what “The 3 Mandates” are!)  
  • 38:45 – How to flip your mindset folks!  
  • 45:51 – Why the rising interest rates shouldn’t be scary! (And it’s actually a…positive?!)  
  • 48:03 – How does inflation psychology work??  
  • 52:04 – How is the global economy and supply chain influencing Australia’s market?  
  • 55:15 – Breaking down Australia’s employment figures!  
  • 1:01:04 – Should folks choose fixed or variable interest rates??  
  • 1:04:51 – What we predict for the future!  
  • 1:09:39 – Will the RBA’s decision impact the Federal Government’s Election??  

And… 

  • 16:23 – Let’s recap: How to buy your time back and why rising interest rates are good!  
  • 1:20:49 – Never waste time re-opening tabs again (This one’s for you Google Chrome users!)  
  • 1:22:15 – Beware Scammers folks! Listen to this to understand how they work.  

 

308 | Pain & Gain: The Wealth Effect & The Housing Affordability Debate – Chat with Eliza Owen from CoreLogic

When it comes to the current property market… WHERE is the Profit being made? And, just as importantly, WHERE are the Losses happening?

‘Cos let’s be honest folks… it’s been quite the year indeed!! But it looks like we’ve finally reached a turning point in the market…

So, here to discuss the latest housing trends and data coming out from the property market is a very, very special guest and someone who definitely knows her stuff when it comes to property, economics and a big issue almost all first homebuyers face… something called “housing affordability”!

Introducing today’s huge guest… Eliza Owen is Head of Australian Research at CoreLogic! She has a first class honours degree in economics from the University of Sydney and has been a regular economic commentator on FBI Radio and guest speaker on Triple J’s Hack, 702 ABC Radio, Sky News and TEDxSydney! Not to mention, she’s also provided comment for many media outlets including The Guardian Australia, the Australian Financial Review, Pedestrian TV, the Daily Telegraph and plenty more!

PLUS, on top of her first-class knowledge bank, guess what Eliza’s also brought with her today?!

… Nonother than CoreLogic’s most recent Pain & Gain Report – that is, the Quarterly Report that unpacks (in a whole lot of detail!) how different properties, regions and cities are performing across the country. Yep… this includes exactly WHERE the profit and loss is occurring!

So, ready to dive in?!

Listen now to get the latest insights into the Australian property market, including where there’s “Pain” and “Gain”… AND get the tour into The Wealth Effect and The Housing Affordability Debate!

 

P.S. The Pies got slammed last week. Poor Ben. (kinda)

 

Free Stuff Mentioned…


  • Name

  • Nickname
  • (Do you have a nickname/alias you want used on the podcast?)

  • Email

  • Contact Number

  • And a quick summary on your Money Story!

    Let's start with What Money Means to You. We are interested to know what motivates you particularly when it comes to money. From the options below, please select the top five that matter to you.

  • A quick summary on your Money Story!
  • Don't spill all the beans 😉

  • And finally, have you implemented our MoneySMARTS system?

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

 

Here’s a bit of what we cover…

 

 

Bonusisode with Nerida – Coronavirus, Property AND Economy 😷🏡💸

Folks, March hasn’t ended yet but we’ve decided to bring forward our monthly catchup with Nerida Conisbee, Chief Economist at realestate.com.au! We understand that in these uncertain times, all you want is some certainty and information around all the changes that’s been happening.

So today, we had Nerida on Zoom and unpacked these discussions:

👉All the most recent updates to date relating to the real estate industry
👉Which market is being affected the most at the moment?
👉Will there be any tax breaks available for renters?
👉What kind of government incentives might be made available to property investors which in turn, can help them pass on to the renters?
👉What kind of trends are being seen on realestate.com.au?
👉How has this restriction on movement affected the Australian Economy?
👉What’s after this and which industry might take a bit longer to recover than others?
👉What stimulus have been announced so far and what kind of challenges and uncertainties are affecting the government’s decision?
👉With interest rates so low, easy access to money and planned government stimulus, how will the property market perform when this movement restriction ends?
👉Why Western Australia may come out the best?
👉How does wage subsidy works in the UK and will they implement it in Australia?

Hope this helps folks and don’t forget to check out last week’s episode on Coronavirus and Property FAQ here.
p.s. Want more of this? Subscribe to our podcast every Thursday at 3pm on iTunes, Spotify or your favorite podcast app!

And don’t forget last week’s episode folks! We’ve compiled a series of playlists for you during this time. We called it Isolate + Chill! If you’re interested, just leave your details below and we’ll email them to you!

Free resources: Isolate + Chill

Fill in the form below and we'll email you all the playlist links and bonus resources right away! 😉

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And of course… Additional Helpful Resources on COVID-19

National Update: Click here

State Update:

 

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