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090 | Future of the Australian Property Market Post Donald Trump – Chat with Tim Lawless

Today’s episode is special guest day and joining Bryce Holdaway and Ben Kingsley is Australia’s leading property analyst and CoreLogic’s Director of Research, Tim Lawless, who will discuss the future of each state in Australia. Following on from last week’s episode of President-Elect, Donald Trump and the uncertainty his win will have on the market; Bryce, Ben and Tim move on to discuss what the positives to follow are due to the presidential win, even though it’s is still early days.

So in today’s episode, the main areas these three will be talking about are:

  • Tim’s backstory and experience as a property analyst and how he got to where he is today
  • CoreLogic and research methodologies for the monthly reports
  • The potential risk if interest rates rise in Melbourne and Sydney
  • Wealth bases for Hobart, Canberra, Adelaide, Brisbane, Perth and Darwin
  • What the government needs to do to help and stimulate employment for those states that are in decline
  • Trends in population and what this means for Australian property market
  • The uncertainty of Trump’s win and how this has affected the market and what potential effects are to follow

We hope you enjoy this latest post and look forward to hearing your thoughts on the matters brought up…even if it is a response to their thoughts on Kim Kardashian or Kanye West running for the next US election!

And here’s the reports mentioned in today’s podcast:

 

If you like this podcast: “Future of the Australian Property Market Post Donald Trump – Chat with Tim Lawless”, don’t forget to rate us on our iTunes channel (The Property Couch Podcast) and our Facebook page. If you have any questions or ideas, feel free to drop us your thoughts here: http://tpcaustralia.wpengine.com/topics/

87 | What’s the Future of the Australian Property Market? – Chat with Dr Andrew Wilson, Chief Economist for the Domain Group

If you were at the Sydney Property Buyer Expo last weekend, you probably listened to this episode already but for those of you who weren’t there, Bryce Holdaway and Ben Kingsley recorded a LIVE Podcast with Dr Andrew Wilson on the Future of the Australian Property Market! Dr Andrew Wilson is the Chief Economist for the Domain Group and is an appointed housing market expert and adviser to the Federal Government funded, Australian Urban Research Infrastructure Network. He holds a PhD and Masters by Research in Housing Market Economics and has previously held senior property and construction research positions within industry, academia and government.

So for today’s episode, the three of them will be talking about:

  • Why is he so optimistic about the Australian Property Market?
  • With Sydney and Melbourne experiencing double-digit growth in recent years, are there any trend or changes to investing in residential property?
  • How long with Sydney and Melbourne’s property market continue to grow at the current rate?
  • What is the level of investors’ activity in Melbourne and Sydney and how will this affect these cities in the future?
  • Is there a housing under-supply issue in the Sydney metropolitan area?
  • What is the outlook on other states such as Perth, Brisbane and Darwin?
  • Will there be a different type of property market cycle in the future and where are we heading to?
  • How will the demographic in metropolitan areas changes and the ratio between tenants and owner occupiers

 

As mentioned in the podcast, if you would like a copy of Dr Andrew Wilson’s slides (Australian housing markets report; Sydney back to the boom – The rise and rise of investor), just fill in the form below and we’ll send it directly to your email:

Free resources: Dr Andrew Wilson Slides

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If you like this podcast: “What’s the Future of the Australian Property Market? – Chat with Dr Andrew Wilson”, don’t forget to rate us on our iTunes channel (The Property Couch Podcast) and our Facebook page. If you have any questions or ideas, feel free to drop us your thoughts here: http://tpcaustralia.wpengine.com/topics/

077 | Right Strategy in the Right Market at the Right Time

What is the possibility of investing in property with the right strategy, in the right market, at the right time? Well, that depends. Now, we know this sounds really vague but in order to determine that, one need to ask if they have the right understanding in the first place? Because it is very dangerous if the perception of a right strategy or a right market is wrong and you go ahead and build a property portfolio based on your assumptions. For example, if Alex believes that capital growth is the right strategy and buying within 5km radius from Melbourne CBD is the right market, then he would be in a very tricky situation because the supply at the moment is quite low (unless he has a very deep pocket).

So in this episode of The Property Couch podcast, Bryce Holdaway and Ben Kingsley focuses on understanding what is considered as “the right market” and why it is important that you take the long view on where the market is going before committing to anything. Bryce and Ben will also be answering Maria’s question on cash flow management and an investor’s mindset. Here’s the question:

“Hi guys

Love the podcast and the book,  well-deserved success with both.

How do you draw the line between good cash flow management and depriving yourself of things you enjoy? My husband and I have always lived within our means and we now have two properties under our belt in Sydney, with plans to buy more. We’re in our thirties. But I’ve found that as we’ve come along the investing journey I’ve become increasingly preoccupied with spending less. I have no issues buying necessities, paying bills, or paying for things that benefit our investing or our health. I don’t blink an eye at spending on insurances, BA fees, etc, because those things are useful and necessary.

However, when contemplating discretionary lifestyle purchases, often costing less than $100 (you know, stuff you don’t need, but want) I spend weeks analysing whether to buy, to the extent that I’m spending too much energy on it. I guess I worry that if I spend $100 here and $100 there, I’ll just eat away at our cash buffers. What are your personal real life experiences with discretionary spending while trying to build a property portfolio? Did you and your family buy your toys and vices freely, or did you find yourself analysing every purchase?

I want to have the best cash flow position possible, but I want to have occasional frivolous luxuries too. I know I need some sort of mindset shift, but what does that shift look like?”

 

Some of the resources mentioned in this podcast:

 

Website - The Property Couch half a million downloadPS: And we’ve just achieved half a million downloads on the podcast! Thank you so much for all of your support and feedback. We will continue to provide good quality contents, ‘unpack’ more frameworks and case studies and answer your questions on all things property. If you are wondering what are the boys doing in this picture, this is what happens when Bryce Holdaway and Ben Kingsley heard that we’ve got half a million downloads on the podcast!

76 | Building a property portfolio after the boom – Chat with Veronica Morgan

 

This time on our Special Guest Episode, we’ve got Veronica Morgan on the Couch! Most of you would have known her as the co-hosts of Location Location Location Australia on Foxtel Lifestyle Channel with Bryce but when they aren’t filming, Veronica is the Founder and Principal of Good Deeds Property Buyers. She is also the Vice President of the Real Estate Buyers Agents Association of Australia (REBAA) and an active property investor herself.

So for today’s episode, the three of them will be talking about:

  • What does REBAA do and why did she join it?
  • Her transition from a selling agent to a buyers agent – why did she switch sides?
  • How is the regulation in Sydney differs from other states such as the gazumping law?
  • Her journey as a property investor – what motivated her to start investing?
  • How did the recent market boom in Sydney affect her role as a buyers agent
  • What are some of the principals and strategies when it comes to building a property portfolio after the boom
  • Her asset selection tips to finding an investment grade property
  • Some of the mistakes and lessons learn in her property investment journey

 

PS: We hope you enjoy watching the video and we would really like to hear what you think about it! If you like it, let us know and we will produce this more regularly. 🙂

 

If you like this podcast: “Building a property portfolio after the boom – Chat with Veronica Morgan”, don’t forget to rate us on our iTunes channel (The Property Couch Podcast) and our Facebook page. If you have any questions or ideas, feel free to drop us your thoughts here: http://tpcaustralia.wpengine.com/topics/

066 | Winter is coming and the air will be colder up high

Well, technically winter is already here. However, we will be talking about the Property Market in this episode and for all of you who are a fan of Game of Thrones, you’ve guessed it right. It’s not going to be a good news story.

Now, you’ve heard us talking about the danger of high-density developments before but this time, we are hoping to solidify our message by sharing some numbers with you. It is not a secret that we’ve seen a whole lot more of high to medium density apartments coming into the market in the last 24 months and a lot more will be completing in the next 18 months. Below is the table that Bryce and Ben were talking about in the podcast.

 

Capital city # of Unit Sales Average Annual unit sales past 5 years Total New Units next 12 mths Total New Units next 24 mths
Sydney 34,216 43,442 34,300 81,696
Melbourne 28,506 30,781 29,541 80,503
Brisbane 15,880 14,932 16,652 44,511
Adelaide 6,988 6,195 2,581 6,002
Perth 5,331 6,834 7,031 13,797
Hobart 1,026 1,005 201 442
Darwin 864 1,026 985 1,256
Canberra 3,384 3,929 811 2,922
Combined 96,195 108,144 92,102 231,129

* This data is an extract from CoreLogic’s article dated 16 May 2016 called ‘Record high unit construction increases settlement risk’. To read CoreLogic’s commentary, please click here.

So how will this affect the Australian Property Market and its existing properties? Will there be a significant market correction and if so, should buyers stay off until this happens? Bryce and Ben will also be answering a question from Vlad:

John Symond on 3AW predicted a 10-20% fall in property prices if Labour’s policy on negative gearing were to be implemented. Given the uncertainty, is it prudent to wait until after the election to make decisions about investing in property and to see, should labour win, what their sledgehammer will do to the market?

 

PS: We’ll also be holding a Live Q&A Event on Wednesday, 29th of June at 8:30 pm. Check out our Facebook page for more information!

If you like this episode (Winter is coming and the air will be colder up high), don’t forget to rate us on our iTunes channel (The Property Couch Podcast) and our Facebook page. Any questions or ideas? Feel free to drop us your thoughts here: http://tpcaustralia.wpengine.com/topics/

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