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353 | What’s Coming Next? The Future of Australian Property! – Chat with Simon Kuestenmacher

What’s coming next for property?? Well… quite a lot!

Folks, it turns out Covid has a “little” bit of a say in the property shift taking place in Australia… one that might actually be here to stay!!!

So, back by popular demand and here to co-host our AweGuest series is none other than expert Demographer Simon Kuestenmacher, Co-Founder and Director of Research at The Demographics Group!

Yep, you might remember his ol’ German accent and ridiculously-wise insights back in Episode 314 where we discussed ‘The Millennial Movement’ and how it’s shifting property demand right across the country…

… but now with a continuing ‘exodus’ to regional locations since the global pandemic swept in and, err, overtook our lives (and work environments), there might actually be WAAY more to this shift in the Australian property market!!

 

“… You mean these changes might be here for good!?!”

 

Plus, the recent 2021 Census has just rolled on in…

… so what can someone who studies the changing structure of human populations tell us about HOW this will affect the future demand for property!?!

Well, step right up Simon Kuestenmacher! Aside from working directly alongside Bernard Salt (yep), Simon holds degrees in geography from leading universities in both Berlin and Melbourne and has also worked for several years as a business consultant with KPMG Australia. … Oh, and did we say he is the most entertaining Demographer ever!?!

 

This expert does NOT disappoint. You’re about to get the most exciting Demography Degree of your life! (it’s much more fun than it sounds… PLUS you’re about to level up your property prediction abilities like nothin’ else! 😉)

Tune in now to find out the future of the Australian property market… it’s a ripper!!

 

Free Stuff Mentioned:

 

Here’s What We Cover:

  • 01:14 – Meet Simon Kuestenmacher
  • 01:57 – Money conversations in Germany!
  • 02:03 – Wise lessons from two parents who are authors!
  • 03:13 – Money Karma…
  • 05:12 – The best thing parents can do to teach their kids about Money!
  • 07:52 – Is it possible to predict irregular cashflow?
  • 12:32 – “Minimal Happiness” – What is it?
  • 17:23 – CENSUS TIME – What does this mean for a Demographer?
  • 21:11 – Is OLD Census data immediately irrelevant?
  • 23:22 – How does Australia rank internationally?
  • 24:48 – Why should investors CARE about Census results?
  • 27:47 – The Fried Egg vs The Scramble Egg!
  • 30:07 – How COVID has dramatically affected the CBD!
  • 33:30 – “The yolk needs to reinvent itself…”
  • 36:11 – Are all businesses headed towards the unique Google office?
  • 38:26 – The COVID Generation & “The Bottom Drawer of Masks”
  • 38:59 – Like Deleting The Uber Eats App: Australia’s border closure
  • 41:28 – How the TAFE system comes into play…
  • 42:47 – Key trends coming out from The Knowledge Economy…
  • 48:58 – Has COVID made Aussie’s drink more alcohol than ever before!?!
  • 52:04 – What drives Australians more than anything else?
  • 52:46 – What are we seeing with Melbourne’s CBD?
  • 55:31 – The trend to regional – is it here to stay?
  • 56:23 – “Extreme commuting distance from the main job cluster” – Err, what happens if you cross that threshold?
  • 58:42 – What would drive someone to live in, say, Warrnambool?

And…

  • 1:00:10 – Which regional centres will FURTHER increase in growth?
  • 1:02:03 – The ‘Donut’ That Massively Impacts Where To Invest In Property!
  • 1:04:01 – The Goldilocks Zone for the Australian City…
  • 1:05:47 – The Future of Launch Pad Suburbs!
  • 1:07:43 – The Mass Exodus To Queensland – Is It A Boom & Bust?
  • 1:19:33 – Simon’s Life Hack!

 

And our community’s questions!

Question from Maggie on The Trend towards Regional Australia

Hi thanks for bringing on some awesome guests for the AweGuest edition. This is a question for Simon, I’d be interested to know based on recent trends with the move towards Regional Australia and increasing prices across Regional Australia, do you see this trend continuing or is it just a kind of a kickback or a side effect of COVID?

 

Question from Julia on The Donut Theory!

Hi there Simon.  Hi there Bryce. I’m thrilled that the topic of demography is up again it was my favorite subject at uni and I loved it on Simon’s last visit to The Property Couch. B&B have described a donut? In terms of housing in the city centre; meaning the centre of the donut is to be avoided for investment purposes. I was wondering Simon if that is true for all other capitals in the world for example London and Paris? I have bought a place in the heart of the city of Sydney that is certainly not doing much while international borders are closed. It has, however, been consistently rented albeit for reduced rent. I’m just wondering where what your thoughts are in terms of buying CBD for residential investment purposes, and what you think of the notion of the donut? Look forward to hearing your response.

 

Quesstion from Mirela The Exodus North to Queensland

Hi Simon my name is Mirela. I have a question in regards to the exodus of population towards North most likely Queensland. They have quite few projects in the pipeline possibly in Olympia, you know far away in the distance. Do you think that is sustainable? It has been something similar, a shift in population towards Queensland and Western Australia due to the mining boom but that eventually crashed during that time. How do you now compare this new opportunity for Queensland with the opportunities in the past when they open mines and so on? I hope this is clear; if not just come with the best insight that you have regards to this. Thank you so much!

 

Question from Dillon Next Growth Suburb

Hey Bryce and Simon. When looking for the next growth suburb what Data do you look for to identify the start of a growth cycle and where can you find this data. I’m currently subscribed to Corelogic‘s property value, but it’s limited data and I’m not sure what to look for. Cheers, Dillon

 

 

 

178 | Q&A: Is that 4th Bedroom Such a Good Idea? APRA’s Effect on Credit Cards & What’s The Secret to a Career in Property Investment?

If you’ve got a question about investing in property, then it’s in your best interests to listen to this episode!

Why? Because it’s our favourite day, folks… Q&A Day! And, not only is today just a couple of days away from the end of financial year, but also we’ve got some new, timely SpeakPipe questions to answer! Which means 1) It’s probably a bit too late to get your Depreciation Schedule in to your accountant, BUT 2) You’re in for a high-powered learning session!

This Q&A is great for folks who…

  • Want to know how APRA’s regulations have impacted your ability to get a loan AND a credit card?
  • Are seriously interested in getting a career in property investing and how to land a job?
  • Aren’t sure what tenants are REALLY looking for in your area, but want to maximise your returns?
  • Thinking about renovating tips, but don’t know if you should add a bedroom or where to put the toilet?
  • Wondering if it’s a good idea to live in your property BEFORE you rent it out?

 

So if this sounds like you, you better strap your headphones in!

But, as routine has it, before we tell you EXACTLY what the questions are that’ll give you all this invaluable information, we’ve got some housekeeping to get out of the way, like…

Our Melbourne LIVE has SOLD OUT!!!

We even did a dance about it! WATCH OUR FLOSS DANCE!

Yep, it’s true, folks! But if you’re lucky, another local listener might have something come up on the night, so you COULD land their ticket. CLICK HERE if you’re keen to join the waitlist, or find out more details.

We’re hiring!!!

Our company is currently looking for new members, so if you’re qualified, passionate and prepared to do what it takes to help other people, we’re looking for a:

Interested? Send in your resume and cover letter to [email protected]

We want your Money Hacks!

  • If you’ve got a great savings tip or a way to make your dollar go that extra mile, we want to know about it! Let us know here.
  • If you have implemented the MoneySMARTS System, where do you feel most vulnerable? Let us know here.
  • If you want to be a Case Study and you’d like to know how MoneySMARTS can help you, let us know here.

Remember to leave us your SpeakPipe Questions.

 

Question about Ideal Rooms and Features of Investment Properties from Joel:

Hey Bryce, Ben and Stiggy. My name’s Joel, from Adelaide. The question I’d like to ask is what kind of rooms and features do Australians want in the rental market at the moment? The property I’m looking at the moment is a 3BR, open living area & a large home entertainment, or cinema room. Now, looking at the plans, I’d probably convert that room to a bedroom, add some wardrobes, because it’s quite large, but I don’t know what other Australians would want. So I’d live there for a couple of years before renting it out, but I don’t know what Australians would prefer – another  bedroom, or that extra room for activities and stuff like that? Any input would be great, thanks!

Have a similar question? These episodes will help:

 

Question about Bank Assessment of Loans from Matt:

Hey guys, Matt from Canberra via sunny London here! First up I can tell you our architecture and Land Tax in Canberra is just to make sure not too many of you and the other capitals turn off the Hume Highway and discover Australia’s best kept secret. So thanks very much for helping to keep our secret safe there! My question is about the banks and them having to assess us against increasingly restrictive assessment criteria. But do they have to do that when they are looking at non-mortgage lending criteria? The MoneySMARTS System works best with a nice, big credit limit with maximum interest free days and there’s sometimes great deals on car loans that are cheaper than the interest savings on our offsets this is often still with APRA regulated providers. But do they only assess you against the lending criteria for the lowest common denominator, essentially, when you’re applying for a mortgage vs non mortgage finance? Do they have to assess you for the same criteria with their other products? Thanks so much guys for everything you do!

Have a similar question? These episodes will help:

 

Question about getting into a career as a Buyers Agent and Property Investment Advisor from Francis:

I know that this topic has been touched on in the past but I would love to hear Ben and Bryce give a few pointers to people (like myself) wanting to make a career in property investment, Buyers Agents and financial planning. In my case, I have done the REIQ (QLD) registration course but wondering if I need to complete the full license? Also, if I want to help people buy property in every state and territory in Australia, do I need to go and complete that course for each and every state / territory to become registered, or does the buyers agency take on that responsibility? Other than the QPIA course, are there any other ways to learn the industry while still working, so that people can transition into their new career relatively seamlessly? I just thought I would send this to support my recorded message and give a little more context to the question. Thanks again for everything you are doing!

Have a similar question? These episodes will help:

 

P.S. Have you cut a full lap of The Property Couch yet? If not, and you’re strapped for time, just make sure you WATCH the first 20 episodes because they are FOUNDATIONAL episodes. CLICK HERE to listen to our very first episode!

 

038 | Property Price Research in Australia

In their daily role as a Buyers Agent and Property Investment Advisor, Bryce and Ben often conduct comparable analysis on properties that they are going to buy. This is a crucial part of their due diligence because it demonstrates the suitability of the property for the client’s property plan and also sets a starting point for their negotiation process. So in this episode of The Property Couch, they will be sharing the process that they go through when conducting a property price research.

Our hosts will also be sharing their “text-book” floor plan, understanding under quoting in a sales campaign and ways to decipher a more reliable price range using the auction clearance rates as a guideline. Listen to the podcast to find out more!

 

If you like this episode, don’t forget to rate us at our iTunes channel (The Property Couch Podcast) and our Facebook page. Any questions or ideas? Feel free to drop us your thoughts here: https://thepropertycouch.com.au/topics/

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