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515 | The Truth About Negative Gearing & Capital Gains Tax (LIVE)

Hey Folks! Today’s Episode is Extra Special – We Went LIVE on the Couch for the First Time in Almost 10 Years! 🎉

And trust us, this is not an episode you want to miss and we strongly recommend you to download the slide deck here (www.thepropertycouch.com.au/negativegearing) to follow along at home.

We’re diving into one of the most debated topics in property investment: Negative Gearing and Capital Gains Tax (CGT).

We start by breaking down the agenda and explaining who will get the most value from this jam-packed discussion. Then, we journey through the history of negative gearing, bust a few myths, and share real-life examples to show you how it actually works.

 

Here’s what you can look forward to:

  • The history of negative gearing and its impact on rents and property supply
  • Fact Check: Does negative gearing truly benefit “greedy investors”? Who really gains the most from this policy?
  • The often-overlooked consequences of eliminating negative gearing
  • Expert insights from our special guest, Antonia Mercorella (CEO of Real Estate Institute of Queensland)

We’ve got fact checks, real-world examples, and expert conclusions to help you see the full picture. Plus, grab the slides from today’s episode here >>

Folks, no matter your views on this topic, we think it’s important to get the conversation going…so share this with a friend or someone you think who will be interested!

 

Free Stuff  

  • Send us your questions on negative gearing & CGT!
    We’re going LIVE again next week (Wed 16th Oct @1.30pm AEDT), and this time Bryce & Ben will be answering all your questions. Keep them coming in on YouTube and Facebook folks!
  • Negative Gearing Video Series + slides from this episode
    Want to know more about negative gearing or view the slides from today’s episode? Fill out the form here >>
  • State of the Housing System 2024 report
    This is the first annual report of the National Housing Supply and Affordability Council and goes into extensive detail about the current state of the housing system.

 

Timestamps  

  • 0:33 – What we’re covering today & who this episode is for!
  • 05:39 – The history of negative gearing
  • 9:53 – Fact Check #1: Did rents increase?
  • 14:22 – Fact Check #2: Did supply decrease?
  • 18:18 – Negative gearing in the 2000s
  • 20:02 – Fact Check #3: Greedy property investors
  • 25:02 – Fact Check #4: Negative gearing doesn’t work
  • 28:57 – Fact Check #5: Who benefits the most?
  • 37:56 – Fact Check #6: Foregone revenue
  • 42:30 – Fact Check #7: Investors don’t pay their fair share of tax
  • 46:08 – The Capital Gains Tax (CGT) story
  • 49:04 – Fact Check #8: Prices “took off” after this?
  • 51:05 – How negative gearing really works – real-life example via Moorr
  • 57:28 – Who are the Australians investing in property & why?
  • 1:02:50 – Welcome Antonia Mercorella!
  • 1:04:38 – What will happen if we get rid of negative gearing?
  • 1:06:59 – Property investors are not ATMs for the states
  • 1:13:46 – Advice for policymakers
  • 1:16:21 – Housing supply challenges
  • 1:23:53 – Housing demand
  • 1:27:40 – Buyer intelligence/behaviour
  • 1:29:03 – Technical ability to buy (true demand)
  • 1:32:40 – Investor behaviour
  • 1:35:05 – The cost to governments
  • 1:37:21 – Consequences #1 and #2: Impact on rental supply & prices
  • 1:39:01 – Consequence #3: Who actually benefits?
  • 1:42:30 – Consequence #4: Risk of new & unaffordable stock
  • 1:44:26 – Consequence #5: Risk of under resourcing
  • 1:46:17 – Access the slides from today’s episode here >>
  • 1:46:35 – Get the conversation going and share this with someone!
  • 1:48:45 – After all is said and done, what’s our conclusion?
  • 1:51:03 – Keep your questions & comments coming! We’ll answer them LIVE next week.

 

 

514 | Property Market Update Spring 2024

What’s happening in Australia’s property scene this quarter? 🤔  

You’re about to find out, because Bryce and Ben are back with all the juicy details in this September quarter property market update! 

From sizzling capital growth drivers to the cooling of certain regional hotspots, uncover the trends you need to know to stay ahead in the property game. Whether you’re curious about rental yields or wondering why vacancy rates are spiking (or dropping) in certain markets, they’ve got you covered. 🏘️ 

But they’re not stopping there!  

Our in-house property pros also break down the numbers, reveal vacancy rates, and explore the supply vs. demand story—giving you everything you need to make those smart investment moves. 

Don’t miss out on this power-packed episode that’ll keep you ahead of the property game! 

 

Free Stuff Mentioned…

  • We’re going LIVE next week – Wed 1.30pm (AEDT)!
    Join Bryce & Ben as they discuss all things negative gearing – from fact-checking experts’ commentary to debunking common myths. Make sure to tune in on Facebook or YouTube and get all your questions answered!
  • 2024 Australian Podcast Awards
    Just a few more days left before voting closes! If we’ve provided value in any way, we’d appreciate if you could vote for The Property Couch here >>
  • Share your story on the podcast!
    Our annual Summer Series is just around the corner, and we’re looking for listeners who have a story to tell! Send your details our way today >>

 

Timestamps

  • 0:00 – Property Market Update Spring 2024 
  • 1:21 – Thoughts on the AFL Grand Final results  
  • 2:27 – We’re going LIVE next week on negative gearing!  
  • 6:07 – Mindset Minute: The property market is a gambling machine…?! 
  • 7:23 – Learning from current trends in the market 
  • 10:17 – Change in dwelling values – capital cities & regional centres 
  • 15:21 – Why is there a strong bias in the bottom 25% quartile? 
  • 16:20 – The very first house Bryce lived in 
  • 19:35 – Which markets are at their peak? 
  • 23:16 – The arrival of the spring listings! 
  • 27:37 – When the tide goes out you can see who’s been swimming naked – Warren Buffett 
  • 29:05 – Is WA a one-trick pony? 
  • 32:54 – Days on market & stock on market 
  • 37:58 – Why are housing approvals so sluggish? 
  • 41:07 – Demand supply ratio (DSR+) across all our capital cities 
  • 42:06 – Ben’s personal strategy…? 
  • 45:51 – The rental story – vacancy rates, changes in rents & gross rental yields  
  • 55:18 – Cooling markets & million-dollar suburbs 
  • 1:00:55 – Market cycle timing play 
  • 1:05:10 – Monthly inflation data & buying counter-cyclical 
  • 1:08:14 – We hope this helps folks decide what to do in this next part of the cycle! 

And… 

  • 1:11:01 – Lifehack: Find the biggest problems and solve them 
  • 1:14:17 – What’s Making Property News: It’s all about negative gearing!! Remember to join us LIVE next Wed at 1.30pm (AEDT) so Bryce & Ben can answer all your burning questions. 

 

481 | Property Market Outlook 2024

 

It’s everybody’s favourite time of the year…  

(No, it’s not Christmas. Or your birthday. Well, it’s actually OUR birthday month and we’re giving you a present: Our Free Suburb Report 😉) 

It is, however, that time of year when we bring you…  

Our 2024 Property Market Outlook!   

Using expert data from the past 12 months and our own countless years of experience, we’re covering…  

👉 The headlines we saw in 2023 (and the #1 biggest derailer the Gov didn’t expect) 
👉 Why did we see housing prices soar? (With economic insights)
👉 The Big Focus of 2024, plus the one critical number the RBA is waiting to change before interest rates drop

👉 Where will the plane land? Interest rates, inflation figures & the easing cycle  
👉 What investors want to see in business investment data
👉 The Supply Story: What data reveals about future sale and rent volume   
👉 The downside risks and critical upsides in 2024
👉 Will property prices grow over the next 12 months?  
👉 The Rental Story: Will the crisis continue?  
👉 The most challenged markets and what markets we predict to see growth in!  
👉 Rental Rises: Who are the price makers and takers today?      

Tune in now to hear us honestly assess the past predictions and forecast the future of Australia’s housing market! 

  

P.S. The Property Investors Council of Australia (PICA) needs support! As mentioned in “What’s Making Property News”, PICA is a not-for-profit organisation that gives property investors across Australia a voice. Any membership or donation helps. Become a member, donate or find out more today >>   

 

Free Stuff Mentioned

  • Our Birthday Present to You: Free Suburb Report 
    Go one level deeper than our Property Market Outlook. Learn how your suburb has performed and its changing community and properties. ‘Cos it’s our birthday month, we’re also giving it away for $0 (Usually RRP $40)   
  • Share what’s on your mind through our SpeakPipe: Leave us your raving reviews, little lifehacks and burning questions – and if we mention it on the podcast, you’ll get a free Start & Build course as our thank you 😊   

 

Timestamps

  • 0:00 – Property Market Outlook 2024 
  • 1:39 – Free Suburb Report  
  • 5:29 – Thank you, Muzzaaa (Let us know what’s on your mind & get a free Start & Build course!)  
  • 6:27 – Mindset Minute: There are two ways to use money… 
  • 7:14 – What happened in 2023?  
  • 10:07 – Why have housing prices soared?  
  • 11:37 – Last year, we got THIS wrong…  
  • 12:20 – The Water Wheel is slowing 
  • 14:44 – The big headline of 2024 
  • 15:07 – What we want to see in Business Investment data 
  • 17:15 – Are businesses and government still splurging on spending?  
  • 18:45 – The number that needs to change before interest rates drop… 
  • 21:27 – The drivers of demand  
  • 23:51 – Our assumptions  
  • 26:32 – The dangerous derailers  
  • 27:29 – The supply story: What the data reveals about future sales and rent volume  
  • 30:01 – New financing for investors & owner-occupiers 
  • 32:51 – The incoming storm: The #7 downside risks 
  • 35:38 – Here’s the exciting upsides!  
  • 37:06 – Buyer Demand across Australia 
  • 38:59 – Days on Market & Vendor Discounts: What do they signal?  
  • 41:32 – Use THIS sophisticated tool for predicting growth…  
  • 43:53 – Good signs for property prices  
  • 45:31 The rental story: Will the crisis continue?  
  • 48:12 – The most challenged markets 
  • 50:29 – Let’s consolidate: Big 4 bank’s outlook & what markets we predict to see growth 
  • 53:38 – The Commuter Belt is driving… 
  • 54:44 – Why Melbourne is a challenged market  
  • 58:56 – Predictions for Sydney  
  • 1:01:38 – Our advice for 2024  

And… 

  • 1:05:44 – Lifehack: Sleep is the best meditation. Here’s how to ease yourself into it.
  • 1:09:57 – WMPN: Help give investors a voice through supporting PICA 

 

410 | What Happens Next? Market Reset, Rental Crisis and How To Solve It All! – Chat with Eleanor Creagh

Want to know what’s actually going on with Australia’s anxiety-inducing rental crisis 

Or where the market is really heading (based on insider’s data and knowledge?!)  

Well folks, we’ve got an extremely wise and exciting guest sitting on the couch today to share just this! Please welcome…. 

Eleanor Creagh!  

She is the Senior Economist at REA Group (the brains behind realestate.com.au) and is a trusted financial commentator.  

Specialising in property, financial markets and macroeconomic policy, she has a wealth of experience and knowledge within both domestic and international markets, and… 

She’s here to share all of this knowledge today!  

Here’s a sneak peek of the Q’s she’s tackling… 

👉 Is the Commuter belt boundary extending??
👉  Are we truly locked and loaded for a market crash
👉 Will Units vs. Houses be favourable in this cycle
👉 How do the experts identify we’re in a rental crisis and more importantly, how do we get OUT of one?!? 
👉 What is a realistic market forecast for 2022/23?
👉 How much further will interest rates really rise? 

 And so much more!!  

(Including how she made her life changing career jump, from studying Veterinary Medicine…and ended up in Australia!!)  

Tune in now to discover what the data reveals about today’s market, and where it’s really headed! 🤓  

 

Free Stuff Mentioned… 

  • Want to be on The Couch? We’re calling all potential 2022/23 Summer Series Guests! If you’d like to share your story, reach out to Stig here (We’d love to hear from you!!). 
  • PIPA’s 2022 Breakfast – The Property Investment Professionals of Australia (PIPA) is hosting a breakfast seminar! The event will feature an expert panel who will discuss the future of property investment, especially in light of QLD’s New Land Tax. Click to get your tickets.  
  • Read the results from PIPA’s Annual Property Investor Sentiment Survey 2022 here, and its official statement on its findings here.
  • For more from Eleanor Creagh, read her articles published on realestate.com.au
  • Leave us a Question! Have a problem you don’t know how to solve? Ask us on our SpeakPipe now. (Plus, you’ll get a free Start & Build course!) 

 

Want to work with Bryce & Ben’s Award-Winning Team? 

 

Here’s some of the gold we cover… 

  • 0:00 – The Incoming Gold! 
  • 2:31 – Exciting things on the horizon! (Don’t miss your chance to get on the couch!)  
  • 3:47 – The world is not driven by greed, it’s driven by E_ _ y!  
  • 6:43 – Introducing Eleanor Creagh!  
  • 7:40 – How Eleanor went from Veterinary Medicine to…Economics?!?  
  • 10:25 – Her First Job & Moving to Australia! 
  • 12:07 – Getting fined by the family ledger 😂  
  • 14:12 – From financially conservative to becoming a confident investor 
  • 16:25 – Australia vs. UK’s Property Market  
  • 17:37 – Trends REA’s observing in the 2022 market…  
  • 21:33 – This is how realestate.com.au tracks demand!  
  • 22:54 – Have Australia’s Auction Rates found their bottom?!  
  • 24:54 – Measuring Buyers Intent: how many folks are still property hunting?  
  • 27:27 – Unpacking markets within markets!  
  • 30:20 – Is the Commuter Belt expanding?!? 
  • 32:43 – Immigration & The Regional Shift!  
  • 34:51 – The Big Rental Squeeze  
  • 36:50 – How To Solve Australia’s Grand Rental Crisis  
  • 38:51 – Houses Vs. Units: What will we see favoured in this market cycle?  
  • 41:18 – We see THIS in every market cycle… 
  • 42:00 – APRA’s immovable buffer rate: what does it mean for you?? 
  • 48:05 – Eleanor’s Crystal Ball: What can we expect from the RBA and its interest rate?  
  • 52:27 – Is inflationary pressure set to ease?  
  • 54:08 – Realestate.com.au’s ultimate 2022 outlook  
  • 55:21 – Predictions of Each State  

And… 

  • 56:33 – Reflecting on the chat today… 
  • 58:59 – What folks need to do over the next couple months!  
  • 59:56 – What does your phone know about you??  
  • 1:02:43 – THIS is what we discovered from PIPA’s Sentiment Survey (Spoiler: QLD’s land tax is NOT helping the market!)  
  • 1:08:55 – This is the group that will suffer the most…🙁  
  • 1:11:35 – No less than a 300% increase?!  
  • 1:13:32 – Stay tuned….We’re flying to the Premier’s office next week!?!

 

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