Is Australia’s property market really performing the way the headlines suggest?

In this week’s FUNdamental Friday, Ben Thompson sits down with independent property economist Cameron Kusher to unpack what’s actually happening beneath the surface of today’s housing market.

From interest rates and buyer confidence through to property data, sales volumes and long-term housing fundamentals, Cameron explains why the widely reported numbers don’t always reflect what’s happening on the ground.

They discuss:

✅ Why major property indices can lag reality
✅ Why some markets may be down more than reported
✅ The importance of stock levels, listings and days on market
✅ Why sales volumes matter more than many people realise
✅ The impact of higher interest rates across the broader economy
✅ Whether waiting for prices to recover is a good strategy
✅ Australia’s housing shortage and migration trends
✅ Why asset selection will matter more in the years ahead

Because understanding what’s really happening in the market is often more valuable than following the headlines.

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⏰Timestamps
00:00 Should you wait for property prices to recover?
00:19 Meet Cameron Kusher
01:35 What’s driving today’s housing market?
02:00 Interest rates, tax changes and buyer confidence
02:48 Why property data may be understating declines
03:40 The market says 5%. Reality says 8-9%
03:59 Why falling sales volumes matter more
04:32 Why buyers behave differently to share investors
04:49 How housing impacts the broader economy
05:08 More rate rises ahead?
05:32 Why Cameron expects future rate cuts
06:04 How to get a real-time read on the market
06:23 The key indicators Cameron watches
06:59 Why buyers may have more opportunity today
07:19 Upgrading in a falling market
07:42 Should you wait for prices to recover?
08:12 Cameron’s three key market indicators
08:23 Property, confidence and human behaviour
09:09 The long-term housing fundamentals
09:49 Housing shortages and migration
10:13 Why asset selection matters more than ever
10:47 Final takeaways