As new property listings surge higher and the housing market continues to recover post-COVID, how can we solve Australia’s growing demand for property in the capital cities?

Here to help us tackle this giant question that pierces the heart of one of Australia’s biggest upcoming issues, we’re introducing an exceptional, first-time guest to the show…

Welcome Paul Ryan, REA Economist and Specialist in Housing Finance, Market Forecasting and Big Data Analysis! Before joining REA in late 2020, Paul spent a decade at the Reserve Bank of Australia conducting research on the Australian economy, focusing on housing markets, lending risks and regulatory effects on property markets.

Today, we’ll use his vast knowledge and incontestable passion for Macro and Microeconomics to explain how and why property investors act the way we do!

From exploring why we are moving houses less as a nation to unpacking how this upcoming period is an interesting one for property investors, we’re examining the policies that dictate our actions, and the intriguing behavioural patterns and beliefs that have emerged as a result.

Thank you to Paul for sharing so much of your time, wisdom and valuable insights, we can’t wait to have you back on the couch!

Seriously, give it a listen now folks 😊🌌✨

Free Stuff Mentioned

• Have your say! Object to Victoria’s Land Valuations as mentioned in Ben’s What’s Making Property News update
• Read Paul’s Articles mentioned:
  • Homes are not being built where people want to live
  • With interest rates now reaching their peak – should APRA reduce the serviceability buffer?

Timestamps

• 0:00 – The incoming gold
• 04:41 – Folks, we don’t always get it right!
• 15:32 – Mindset Minute: “All success is simply relative to somebody else”
• 21:23 – Welcome Paul Ryan!
• 23:05 – Money Backstory: Shares, vets & extreme delayed gratification
• 24:00 – From science to economics
• 29:11 – The transition from Macro to Microeconomic insights
• 29:55 – An insider’s look into working at the RBA!
• 34:24 – Is the housing market a huge risk?
• 36:29 – Do people really move around less than they used to?
• 38:02 – So…why does the RBA care about economic activity?
• 40:25 – Bank Lending: Why is there a higher risk for Owner Occupiers?
• 42:15 – Why Stamp Duty is important in Australia!
• 43:05 – Does the theory translate?
• 43:59 – The banks won’t run THIS equation 😉
• 46:15 – Australia vs. International Housing Markets: Anomalies & Debt Levels
• 48:30: Is it bad for households or renters to have their home owned by another household?
• 51:15: What’s happened to the property market since the start of 2023?
• 52:28 – Why it’s an interesting time for property!
• 54:50 – Are the prices of property really growing?
• 56:40 – And what about investor activity?
• 58:31 – Regional Markets since the Pandemic: Where does the commuter belt stretch to?
• 1:03:30 – The Intrinsic Value of Property
• 1:03:23 – Why property growth is like…g_a_i_ _?!
• 1:05:30 –“Homes are not being built where people want to live”
• 1:06:15 -The fascinating linking between data & people!
• 1:07:45 – How do we build more homes in our cities?
• 1:13:40 – The next wave of data allowing us to understand property investors 😮
• 1:13:58 – Interest Rate Outlook: Are we close to the top of rates?
• 1:15:40 – Paul’s Perspective: What should APRA’s role REALLY be with the Buffer Rate!?

And…

• 1:21:13 – Lifehack: Did you know you can share a YouTube Link that starts at a specific time?! Here’s how…
• 1:22:54 – WMPN: You’ve got 2 months to object to your land valuation!