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225 | Breaking News with Dr Shane Oliver – Are We in Store for a Global Recession?

Folks, we have a very special guest on today … Dr Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist at AMP Capital!! (Ben was a bit giddy, ha!)

So, if you’re keen to hear the latest economic news across the property AND stock market, or you want the intel on how the cogs of the economy run … then you’d best hit play on this one!

To give you an idea, Shane Oliver is responsible for determining AMP Capital’s investment strategy and asset allocation and also provides economic forecasts and analysis to the asset class portfolio managers. And chances are, you’ve seen his face somewhere in the news because Shane is also a regular media commentator on major economic and investment market issues and has been with AMP for over 30 years!

And he’s not just an expert on this stuff, he’s also excellent at breaking down complex economic updates into simplified, bite-sized pieces!

Oh, and as mentioned on today’s show, he’s often providing live updates on Twitter, so if you’re keen to get his economic insights his twitter handle is @ShaneOliverAMP

 

Other resources mentioned in today’s show…

(And, don’t forget… CLICK HERE to Find Out About our AFL Competition – Epic Prizes!)

 

So… What are you in for?

 

 

RBA March 2019 Announcement – What’s causing the deterioration in our economy?

It’s the first Tuesday of the month folks… which means the RBA Board has met and announced the official cash rate for March 2019!

As widely anticipated, the Cash Rate has remained on 1.5%.

Now if you tuned in to last week’s episode with Dr Andrew Wilson, you would notice that he forecasted the next rate cut to be as early as April!
Bill Evans, Chief Economist at Westpac on the other hand, is anticipating not one, but two rate cuts on the second half of the year.

What has triggered this and what do we think is going to happen? Why is it that most economists are forecasting a rate cut instead of a rate hike? Ben explains all this and more in this episode.

If you’d like to check out his previous commentaries, click here.

 

 

 

 

DISCLAIMER: This podcast is general information only and is an opinion comment by Ben Kingsley. The information contained in this video is for Australian residents only. The information does not take into account the particular investment objectives or financial situation of any potential viewer. It does not constitute, and should not be relied on as, financial or investment advice or recommendations (expressed or implied) and it should not be used as an invitation to take up any investments or investment services. No investment decision or activity should be undertaken on the basis of this information without first seeking qualified and professional advice.

The Property Couch, its employees or contractors do not represent or guarantee that the information is accurate or free from errors or omissions and therefore provide no warranties or guarantees. The Property Couch disclaims any and all duty of care in relation to the information and liability for any reliance on investment decisions, claiming the use or guidance of this publication or information contained within it.

For more information, please visit: http://thepropertycouch.com.au

 

221 | Dr. Andrew Wilson – The Scare Campaign We Had To Have

“Housing markets shouldn’t be leading monetary policy; they’re a response to monetary policy.” — Dr Andrew Wilson

 

Folks, our guest for this week is Dr Andrew Wilson, Chief Economist at My Housing Market, who is sounding more bullish than bearish when it comes to Australia’s property market and overall economic outlook!

To give you an idea, Dr Wilson provides comprehensive property market insights and is a highly-regarded and prolific housing market speaker, as well as a keynote presenter for the Committee for Economic Development of Australia (CEDA) and an appointed housing market expert and adviser to the Federal Government funded Australian Urban Research Infrastructure Network. He’s also a repeat offender on the Couch, gracing us with his invaluable insights all the way back in Episode 87!

Oh, and of course, he also holds a PhD and Masters by Research in Housing Market Economics. Just sayin’.

So if the uncertainty of the property market is sending your confidence out of whack, let’s go up 30ft around the country and see what’s coming up over that hill. You’ll get a sneak peek at some of the regions that might be worth your attention this year, as well as when the interest rate will potentially drop this year, according to the Chief Economist himself.

Spoiler… the Scare Campaign just might lose its edge!

 

While we don’t want to take the limelight from today’s guest… we should probably let you know here too…. The Property Couch Turns FOUR this week!! Yep, it’s our 4th Birthday, wooooooo 🙂

To help us celebrate, you’ve all made Make Money Simple Again, our latest money management book, a #1 Best Seller! So thank you for our awesome gift!!!! (According to Ben, “We’re now officially out of nappies.”)

 

 Here’s What You’ll Learn in This Episode…

  • What’s Happening Around the Grounds In the Australian Property Market?
  • Will confidence shift any time soon?
  • What are Auction Clearance Rates in Sydney demonstrating at the moment?
  • What are the pressing economic insights coming to light at the moment?
  • Why hasn’t monetary policy worked?
  • When does Dr Andrew Wilson think RBA might drop the cash rate?
  • What p[problems are we facing now?
  • What’s going to happen with new developments this year?
  • Have we seen the peak of the apartment boom?
  • How is an interest rate rise a GOOD thing?
  • What’s the current savings-ratio? When was the last time it was this low?
  • What must you focus on in order to get a loan approved?
  • What does Andrew think about the Royal Commission’s findings?
  • How is employment and wage growth feeding into the economic climate?
  • How will the international economy affect Australia’s economy?
  • What’s Dr Wilson’s message to property investing over the next 2 -3 years?
  • Can you expect a roller coaster ride?
  • What’s his opinion on the Negative Gearing Policy?
  • Are developers in favour of the Negative Gearing Policty? Why/Why not?
  • What are the POSITIVES we’re seeing in the market?
  • How many auctions were in Melbourne last week? How many sold?
  • What will likely be the top performing area this year?
  • When’s a good time to think about buying?

 

We also take a trip around every Australian State and Territory in Australia, so expect to find insights into…

  • Predictions for houses and units in each area (GOLD!)
  • In and around Sydney
  • Melbourne and its regions
  • Adelaide
  • Hobart
  • Far North and Central QLD – including, Sunshine Coast, Mackay, Cairns
  • Perth (and what the vacancy rates are suggesting)
  • Darwin

 

 

 

 

163 | Infrastructure: What’s the Game Changer for Property?

We’re going off the cuff today, folks! Yep, there’s been no prep behind this podcast… BUT we guarantee it’s still going to be golden!

Why?? It all started (yesterday) when Ben created a little pop quiz for the staff at our company… and his question is:

What is the No.1 infrastructure needed to grow property prices?

Based on the banter that spread through our office, the answer might also surprise you!!
So, let’s drill it down to these two points:

  1. How are megacities built?
  2. What’s the connection between infrastructure and property prices?

 

Here’s the deal:

 

Stick around for Ben’s Did You Know … you’ll find out the projected population growth for Australia’s cities (this might influence where you invest!)

Missed our Facebook Live yesterday?

We announced a Free Live Webinar — The 7 Deadly Sins of Building a Property Portfolio: The hidden habits undermining your success (and how you can overcome them)”!

You can register for the Live Webinar here.

 

P.S. This episode’s a true glimpse of what an overheard convo between Bryce and Ben sounds like! Gold!!!!

 

 

089 | What Impact will Donald Trump have on the Australian Property Market?

Today’s podcast is a particularly interesting one as it gets a bit more political than usual! From talks about Brexit to the results of the American election last night, Episode 89 delves deep into one of the most talked about general elections in recent years and its potential effects on not only the United States, but on the world economy. Less than 24 hours after the result of the American general election, Bryce and Ben both discuss the potential impact of the new president-elect, Donald Trump and how his presidency could affect the Australian housing market.

From discussing whether or not Donald Trump’s approach to his presidency will be pragmatic, these two “property hacks” talk about the effect this will have on stock markets, trade and housing to name a few. The guys will no doubt have enough to keep you interested for the next 30 minutes with their thoughts and predictions of the final result. Start listening to find out more.

 

If you like this podcast: “What Impact will Donald Trump have on the Australian Property Market?”, don’t forget to rate us on our iTunes channel (The Property Couch Podcast) and our Facebook page. If you have any questions or ideas, feel free to drop us your thoughts here: http://tpcaustralia.wpengine.com/topics/

 

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