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544 | Election Promises vs. Reality: Will Any Party Actually Fix Housing?

It’s Federal Election time! 🇦🇺🏠💥

Folks, in this special deep-dive episode, we’re lifting the bonnet on the major parties’ housing policies and asking the real question… 

Will they actually fix Australia’s housing affordability crisis… or just make it worse? 

With both Labor and the Coalition promising big solutions to the “housing crisis”, we’re unpacking whether their policies will truly help you get into the market.

And we’re doing it with a special lens on how these policies will impact supply and demand – the real solution to affordability.  


Tune in to hear:

️ The top housing policies from both Labor and the Coalition (including Labor’s 5% Help to Buy Scheme and the Coalition’s $5B shovel-ready program)

✔️ The larger economic forces at play — supply, demand, and what’s really driving this housing crisis

✔️ What it would actually take to fix Australia’s housing affordability issues

✔️ Why aspiration is Australia’s true competitive advantage (and what it means for you)

✔️ The real difference between throwing money at the problem vs targeting supply, and more!  

If you want a clear, practical look at how upcoming election policies will impact your portfolio and the wider housing industry, then tune in now!  


Free Stuff  

  • Help Us Give the Gift of Sight to 100 More People 👁️✨
    To celebrate Bryce’s 50th birthday, we’ve partnered with the John Fawcett Foundation to restore eyesight to as many people as possible through life-changing cataract surgeries in Indonesia.In Part 1 of this journey, we gathered an incredible crew to come with us to Bali to witness these surgeries firsthand.️ But we’re not stopping there!Now, in Part 2, we’re aiming to help 100 more people see again — and we need your help to get there. So far, we’ve raised just under $3,000 which gives 31 people back their eyesight – leaving 71 people we’re still yet to help.Here’s what your donation can do:

    • 👁️ $100 = Restores sight to 1 person
    • 👁️👁️ $200 = 2 people
    • 🖐️ $500 = 5 people
    • ✋✋ $1,000 = 10 people
  •  Every dollar makes a difference. Every person matters. If The Property Couch has brought you value — or if you simply believe in the power of giving — please consider donating or sharing this cause with someone who might.  Donate now and help restore sight >>  
  • UNDER 1 MONTH LEFT: How to Retire on $3,000 a Week
    Our third book will officially be hitting shelves on 27 May! To get up to 10% off and secure your copy, you can pre-order it today from these retailers:

  • The official RRP is $32.99 (set by our publisher 😊) — so whichever one you choose, you’re getting a great deal!
    Or join the waitlist for more updates, behind-the-scenes content and VIP bonuses!

 


Timestamps  

  • 0:00 – Election Promises vs. Reality: Will Any Party Actually Fix Housing? 
  • 1:13 – AFL Talk: Pies sitting top of the ladder 
  • 5:15 – Help us give the gift of sight to 100 more people 👁️✨ 
  • 7:34 – Mindset Minute: The mindset that wins, in property and in life. 
  • 11:00 – Why aspiration is Australia’s competitive advantage 
  • 14:48 – Election Promises: Will their plans help you get into the market — or just push prices even higher?” 
  • 17:41 – The Labor & Coalition’s macro policies  
  • 20:33 – The real solution for affordability 
  • 21:12 – Labor Policies: $10B for social and affordable housing 
  • 24:55 –  $1.2M new homes: The National housing accord & new builds  
  • 26:11 – “The most important thing for supply”: Shovel-ready sites 
  • 27:24 – The Social Housing Accelerator  
  • 28:55 – The Help to Buy scheme 
  • 30:37 – Who it benefits and demand impacts  
  • 32:44 – The Home Guarantee Scheme Expansion: Only a 5% deposit?!  
  • 35:03 – However, it does have a dark side…  
  • 36:15 – Rent Assistance: $2.7B spend for low to middle income earners  
  • 37:46 – $9.3B for the National Housing & Homelessness Agreement   
  • 38:46 – Build-to-Rent and its multiplier effect  
  • 40:33 –The #1 policy we’re critical of (& it’s unintended consequences)  
  • 42:00 – Wrapping up Labor Policy: “It’s throwing a lot of money at the problem.”  
  • 43:52 – Coalition Policies: The Housing Infrastructure Program – $5B for $500,000 shuttle-ready projects   
  • 45:16 – From the US to Australia: The First Home Buyer Tax Deduction 
  • 47:41 – Reducing Immigration: Does it really speak to the supply story?  
  • 50:01 – Why “The Ban of Foreign Buyers” is a smart policy  
  • 51:30 – The sensible Superannuation Saving Scheme  
  • 52:44 – (Labor Policy) Why Free TAFE is NOT a good idea  
  • 53:27 – Construction Apprenticeship Boost: The $12k incentive  
  • 54:15 – Easing APRA’s 3% buffer & the blaring red flag with it  
  • 57:49 – Freeze the national construction code for 10 years 
  • 59:49 – Utilising unions to stop corruption and increase productivity  
  • 1:01:22 – The top 4 coalition policies & its challenges  
  • 1:02:10 – What will actually be effective against Australia’s housing problem?  
  • 1:07:30 – Why either policy will benefit existing property investors in the short-term!  
  • 1:08:46 – The Labor vs. Coalition: Whose policies are better?  

And… 

  • 1:11:22 – Life By Design Hack: During election week, 10 minutes reading the news, 10x that on your own financial game plan. 
  • 1:12:24 – WMPN: The most unaffordable electorates across Australia & the Greens’ policy  

 

494 | “The Table of Truth”: Everything You Need to Know About Property & The Budget

 

Folks, the 2024-25 Federal Budget has just dropped, so what does it mean for property investors and the broader economy?   

In this exciting episode, we’re unpacking everything you need to know about the new budget and bringing in a leading financial market expert to help.   

Returning to the couch is Evan Lucas economist, Moorr ambassador and author of the best-selling book Mind Over Money. Basically, we’ve brought in the big guns to tackle:    

💰 Is this budget economically or politically driven?
🏆 Who were the winners & losers?
💸 The drastic spending decisions made by the government (and the resulting deficit)
📈 The secondary inflation wave on the horizon
❓ The #1 big surprise missing from this budget
🏠 Why we will NOT reach the goal of 1.2M new dwellings
 🔄 What would it take to see positive political reforms?   

As Evan says, “Subsidies are not a magic bullet through fixed inflation.”   

To understand this year’s budget and what it means for you, tune in now folks 😊   

   

Free Stuff Mentioned

 

Timestamps

  • 0:00 – “The Table of Truth”: Everything You Need to Know About Property & The Budget 
  • 3:26 – Mindset Minute: “Our Well-Being Lies in Our Actions” 
  • 8:09 – We’ve brought in the big guns: Evan Lucas!  
  • 10:27 – Is the budget economically or politically driven?  
  • 17:00 – What would it take for positive reform to happen?   
  • 28:38 – The drastic spending decisions made by the Gov 
  • 31:03 – …and the staggering deficit in the coming years  
  • 33:31 – The secondary inflation wave coming  
  • 38:49 – Is this budget likely to backfire with rising interest rates?  
  • 44:12 – The 66% increase in childcare subsidies 
  • 51:51 – The winners & losers of the budget  
  • 1:01:30– The big surprise in this budget 
  • 1:04:48 – The Greens votes and rental pressures  
  • 1:07:52 – Why we are NOT going to reach 1.2M new dwellings  
  • 1:12:57 – The PICA Perspective: Negative Gearing and a proposed model  
  • 1:15:46 – What would we do differently?  
  • 1:20:33 – Bryce’s view on the Budget  

And… 

  • 1:21:56 – Lifehack: The Table of Truth  
  • 1:26:15 – WMPN:  The 2 Qs to ask your Buyers Agent 

Bonusisode – Market Wrap with Nerida Conisbee

Folks, this Bonusisode features Bryce’s Live chat with REA Group’s Chief Economist Nerida Conisbee on today’s Monthly Market Wrap… which they kicked off on Facebook Live!

So, what shape is the market in?

 

The Top Insights in this Bonusisode:

  • Nerida’s guess at tomorrow’s cash rate – will there be another drop?
  • Economic insights
  • Auction Clearance Rates
  • The locations with house price growth
  • Market Wrap around the States – Melbourne, Sydney, Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth, Hobart

 

Plus, The Top Performing Properties from the month:

  • The Most Viewed Rental Property
  • The Most Viewed Residential
  • The Most Expensive Property Sold
  • The Most Viewed Property Going To Auction This Weekend

Want to see these properties? Click here to View the Properties (all are in the Comments section)

P.S. Want more from Nerida?

232 | Are All Tenants the Same?

Have you ever thought about WHO will be living in your investment property?

Chances are, you have! Because folks… an investment property is pretty useless without a tenant/s in it!! After all, you need these guys to help pay off your mortgage!

So. Are they all the same??

What TYPES of tenants are out there and what can you expect from each one?

Well, here’s the deal… we think there are FOUR tiers of tenants.

Let’s meet them, shall we?

Oh and FYI: Ben’s “Did You Know” is off the charts… we don’t think we’ve ever seen him this prepared in our podcast history — so make sure you stick around for that!!!

Resources mentioned in today’s show:

Here’s what you’re in for…

Loved the episode? You might also like:

231 | Q&A: How Will Changes to Negative Gearing Impact Investors?

Have you ever wanted to know how the changes to negative gearing will affect YOU???

Because folks, let’s face it… Labor’s policy to turn the lights out on negative gearing isn’t just going to affect the property market and potentially the ENTIRE Australian economy… the policy IS going to impact property investors, whether we like it or not.

So we want you to be prepared and know what’s coming our way! And that’s why earlier in the week, we asked our Facebook Tribe, “What’s your #1 question on Negative Gearing?”

And, as you can imagine, today we’re going to be answering as many of these questions (there were LOTS) as humanly possible (well, without having this episode drag on for a day and a half!)

We’ll also be covering WHAT EXACTLY Labor is proposing to change, when these changes are officially kicking in, how it impacts the losses you can claim, etc.

(See below for the full list of questions).

 

A bit of housekeeping…

*New* ENCORE WEBINAR ANNOUNCED: How to Master The Property Investment Formula That Works in Any Market

When: 2:00PM, Friday 10th May 2019

CLICK HERE to Register & Get FULL Details (Last Chance Encore Webinar)

or go to www.thepropertycouch.com.au/webinar.

 

.. And PICA is also throwing a webinar TONIGHT at 7:00PM Thursday 9th May including a Market Update from Tim Lawless, Director of Research at CoreLogic as well as a deep dive into Negative Gearing and Labor’s policy. To watch, you need to be a PICA Member (or become a member for $5) — If you want to watch, you can find out more about the PICA webinar HERE.

 

FREE RESOURCES MENTIONED

  • To Access Ben’s Negative Gearing Series CLICK HERE
  • To Get Ben’s Latest RBA Cash Rate Announcement CLICK HERE
  • We’ve announced the winner for Denise’s Book Giveaway! Brook Lyn, if you’re reading this, please get in touch with us on Facebook or [email protected]. And for the rest of you who participated, thank you so much as well! We’d love to give you a copy of our newest best-seller, Make Money Simple Again. Just get in touch with us with your name and postal address and we’ll send it to you!

THE QUESTIONS WE ANSWER:

Thank you for sending in your questions! Let’s jump in now and of course, if we’ve answered your question, please do get in touch with us on Facebook or [email protected] and let us know which book you would like (Make Money Simple Again or The Armchair Guide to Property Investing), your name, and where we should send the book to!

Question from Scott
If negative gearing is scrapped and grandfathered what will be the effect on a property you withdraw equity from after the rule is put in place? Will the increased debt on the property keep it negatively geared when you have done the release after the potential rule is put in place?


Question from Pat
If you currently have a PPOR, will you be able to draw equity and use as a negatively geared investment loan AFTER Jan 2020 or whenever they propose the change happens?


Question from Nicholas
If you currently have a PPOR that you plan to change to an investment property in the future, is the grandfathering based on when the property is purchased or when it is switched to investment?


Question from Michelle
Looks like my question is along similar lines to above so no doubt this will be covered. We’ve just purchased PPOR but may look to turn into investment in future. Queries around the timelines for both living in now, then renting out, then selling (6 year rule?) and what impact new government legislation may have?


Question from Jake
Is it the property or the loan that is grandfathered? (Property I assume.) And what, if any, are the considerations when refinancing, assuming the new changes come in?


Question from Anne
If Negative Gearing is scrapped on established properties and only allowed on new constructions, but the construction industry is already slowing to a halt, and capital growth often in the red, how viable is Property Investment as a means of securing your retirement in the next 30 years?


Question from Martin
What is the experience with this type of tax scheme in other countries? Is there evidence of its impact on the real state bubble?


Question from Karen
Why are there policy attacks on LRBA property borrowing? Apparently based on the evils and risk of negative gearing… however, borrowing does not necessarily mean negative gearing, it just means gearing.


Question from Ray
Many economists predict an increase in rental prices if negative gearing is abolished. Since only the initial part of the loan is negatively geared (as it is later positively geared and therefore taxable), will this have as much of a negative impact on the property market as predicted? Or is it the combination of the abolishment of negative gearing as well as the reduction in capital gains discount that will cause the knock on effect over time and make property investment less attractive?


Question from Simeon
Are there any other countries without negative gearing that we can compare with to predict the direction of Australia’s investment property market?


Question from Anastasia
I’d be interested to know your thoughts at a more macroeconomic level around what affect you think this might have on the property market over the medium term. One thing that comes to mind is potentially an increase in larger blocks being subdivided/developed into multiple townhouses for tax purposes.


Question from Jillian
Is negative gearing based on a whole portfolio or individual properties? One is positive and one is negative — do they cancel each other out in your tax return or are they assessed individually? And will this continue to be the case if Labor get in?


Question from Timothy
What would be your preferred solution to the problem? Negative gearing capped to % of income? Fixed maximum deduction? Or something else?


Question from Leo
When will the next election be after the upcoming election? For us investors to know how long we have to purchase some properties.


Question from Alex
Love the content guys! In your opinion does the removal of negative gearing make implementing The Four Pillars any more difficult, and would you recommend purchasing my first property before or after January 1st (when the grandfather rules will take place)? Would love to hear your thoughts as this is currently my big block to buying!


Question from Dale
It seems to be argued that negative gearing should not apply to the super wealthy who own 5, 6, or more properties. Should it be based on the $$$ value on a property or portfolio rather than the number of houses owned?


Question from Liam
Unfortunately, it seems inevitable that it will happen; is there any positives at all we can take from it? Does it change any fundamental principles when it comes to property investment?


Question from Tom
One thing that has not been made clear in all the discussion is what happens to the investment losses if you were to buy an established property after negative gearing was removed? Are the taxable losses you incur simply lost or do you hold onto the losses and they can be used to offset future investment income once the property moves into a positive geared position down the track? I know this is the case for some countries that do not allow negative gearing and then it just makes it a timing issue as you access these benefits in the longer term.


Question from Matt
With regards to the grandfathering that is proposed, is it the property that is grandfathered or the loan? How do they determine this? What happens if I refinance etc.


Question from Tania
I would like to understand better the reasons why Labor repealed the cancelled negative gearing in the 80s. Surely there are some lessons there that we can look to. So I guess the question is: What were the outcomes last time Labor cancelled negative gearing that caused them to re-introduce it?


Question from Mustafa
Most experienced property investors have stated that negative gearing is not a property investment strategy, but most property investors rely on it. If negative gearing is not a property investment strategy (not saying it is or isn’t), then why is it such a hot topic of discussion ever since Labor had intentions of removing it if won? Just curious.

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